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BJRI vs CAKE
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Restaurants
BJRI vs CAKE — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Restaurants | Restaurants |
| Market Cap | $859M | $3.03B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $1.41B | $3.75B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $44M | $148M |
| Gross Margin | 74.7% | 78.3% |
| Operating Margin | 3.0% | 5.0% |
| Forward P/E | 17.5x | 15.0x |
| Total Debt | $491M | $3.46B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $24M | $216M |
BJRI vs CAKE — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| BJ's Restaurants, I… (BJRI) | 100 | 188.2 | +88.2% |
| The Cheesecake Fact… (CAKE) | 100 | 283.1 | +183.1% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: BJRI vs CAKE
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
BJRI is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 1.40
CAKE carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 4.7%, EPS growth -4.1%, 3Y rev CAGR 4.3%
- 35.6% 10Y total return vs BJRI's -6.3%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.11, current ratio 0.59x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 4.7% revenue growth vs BJRI's 3.1% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (15.0x vs 17.5x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 4.0% margin vs BJRI's 3.1% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.11 vs BJRI's 1.40 | |
| Dividends | 1.8% yield; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +23.5% vs BJRI's +9.0% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 4.7% ROA vs BJRI's 4.4%, ROIC 4.7% vs 4.1% |
BJRI vs CAKE — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
BJRI vs CAKE — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CAKE leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CAKE is the larger business by revenue, generating $3.8B annually — 2.7x BJRI's $1.4B. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 4.0% (CAKE) to 3.1% (BJRI).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $1.4B | $3.8B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $123M | $296M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $44M | $148M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $80M | $155M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +74.7% | +78.3% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +3.0% | +5.0% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +3.1% | +4.0% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +5.7% | +4.1% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +2.9% | +4.4% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -29.3% | -28.6% |
Valuation Metrics
BJRI leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 18.9x trailing earnings, BJRI trades at a 4% valuation discount to CAKE's 19.8x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, BJRI's 10.8x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than CAKE's 21.2x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $859M | $3.0B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $1.3B | $6.3B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 18.93x | 19.80x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 17.51x | 15.04x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 10.79x | 21.19x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.61x | 0.81x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 2.53x | 6.74x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 21.01x | 19.55x |
Profitability & Efficiency
CAKE leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
CAKE delivers a 37.1% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $37 in annual profit, vs $12 for BJRI. BJRI carries lower financial leverage with a 1.34x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to CAKE's 7.93x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), BJRI scores 7/9 vs CAKE's 6/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +12.0% | +37.1% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +4.4% | +4.7% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +4.1% | +4.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +5.5% | +7.8% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.34x | 7.93x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $467M | $3.2B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $24M | $216M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $491M | $3.5B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 15.28x | 16.15x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
CAKE leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in CAKE five years ago would be worth $10,215 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $6,884 for BJRI. Over the past 12 months, CAKE leads with a +23.5% total return vs BJRI's +9.0%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors CAKE at 24.3% vs BJRI's 10.9% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -0.5% | +15.7% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +9.0% | +23.5% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +36.4% | +92.1% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -31.2% | +2.1% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -6.3% | +35.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +10.9% | +24.3% |
Risk & Volatility
CAKE leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
CAKE is the less volatile stock with a 1.11 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than BJRI's 1.40 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.40x | 1.11x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $47.02 | $69.70 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $28.46 | $43.07 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +86.9% | +87.2% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 61.1 | 50.5 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 366K | 1.2M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates BJRI as "Buy" and CAKE as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 7.7% upside for CAKE (target: $66) vs -0.9% for BJRI (target: $41). CAKE is the only dividend payer here at 1.78% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $40.50 | $65.50 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 31 | 48 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +1.8% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $1.08 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +7.9% | +5.1% |
CAKE leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). BJRI leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics).
BJRI vs CAKE: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is BJRI or CAKE a better buy right now?
For growth investors, The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) is the stronger pick with 4.
7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 3. 1% for BJ's Restaurants, Inc. (BJRI). BJ's Restaurants, Inc. (BJRI) offers the better valuation at 18. 9x trailing P/E (17. 5x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate BJ's Restaurants, Inc. (BJRI) a "Buy" — based on 31 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — BJRI or CAKE?
On trailing P/E, BJ's Restaurants, Inc.
(BJRI) is the cheapest at 18. 9x versus The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated at 19. 8x. On forward P/E, The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated is actually cheaper at 15. 0x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — BJRI or CAKE?
Over the past 5 years, The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) delivered a total return of +2.
1%, compared to -31. 2% for BJ's Restaurants, Inc. (BJRI). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: CAKE returned +35. 6% versus BJRI's -6. 3%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — BJRI or CAKE?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) is the lower-risk stock at 1.
11β versus BJ's Restaurants, Inc. 's 1. 40β — meaning BJRI is approximately 26% more volatile than CAKE relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, BJ's Restaurants, Inc. (BJRI) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 134% versus 8% for The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — BJRI or CAKE?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) is pulling ahead at 4.
7% versus 3. 1% for BJ's Restaurants, Inc. (BJRI). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: BJ's Restaurants, Inc. grew EPS 208. 6% year-over-year, compared to -4. 1% for The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated. Over a 3-year CAGR, CAKE leads at 4. 3% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — BJRI or CAKE?
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) is the more profitable company, earning 4.
0% net margin versus 3. 5% for BJ's Restaurants, Inc. — meaning it keeps 4. 0% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: CAKE leads at 5. 0% versus 3. 3% for BJRI. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — CAKE leads at 78. 3%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is BJRI or CAKE more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) trades at 15.
0x forward P/E versus 17. 5x for BJ's Restaurants, Inc. — 2. 5x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for CAKE: 7. 7% to $65. 50.
08Which pays a better dividend — BJRI or CAKE?
In this comparison, CAKE (1.
8% yield) pays a dividend. BJRI does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is BJRI or CAKE better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1.
11), 1. 8% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (CAKE: +35. 6%, BJRI: -6. 3%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between BJRI and CAKE?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
CAKE pays a dividend while BJRI does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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