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CAKE vs BLMN
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Restaurants
CAKE vs BLMN — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Restaurants | Restaurants |
| Market Cap | $3.02B | $692M |
| Revenue (TTM) | $3.75B | $3.96B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $148M | $8M |
| Gross Margin | 78.3% | 55.7% |
| Operating Margin | 5.0% | 0.9% |
| Forward P/E | 15.0x | 9.7x |
| Total Debt | $3.46B | $3.07B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $216M | $59M |
CAKE vs BLMN — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Cheesecake Fact… (CAKE) | 100 | 282.2 | +182.2% |
| Bloomin' Brands, In… (BLMN) | 100 | 71.2 | -28.8% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: CAKE vs BLMN
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
CAKE carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 1.11, yield 1.8%
- Rev growth 4.7%, EPS growth -4.1%, 3Y rev CAGR 4.3%
- 37.3% 10Y total return vs BLMN's -34.6%
BLMN is the clearest fit if your priority is value and dividends.
- Lower P/E (9.7x vs 15.0x)
- 5.5% yield, vs CAKE's 1.8%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 4.7% revenue growth vs BLMN's 0.1% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (9.7x vs 15.0x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 4.0% margin vs BLMN's 0.2% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.11 vs BLMN's 1.82, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 5.5% yield, vs CAKE's 1.8% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +24.7% vs BLMN's +6.2% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 4.7% ROA vs BLMN's 0.3%, ROIC 4.7% vs 4.3% |
CAKE vs BLMN — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
CAKE vs BLMN — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CAKE leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
BLMN and CAKE operate at a comparable scale, with $4.0B and $3.8B in trailing revenue. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 4.0% (CAKE) to 0.2% (BLMN). On growth, BLMN holds the edge at +63.2% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $3.8B | $4.0B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $296M | $215M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $148M | $8M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $155M | $97M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +78.3% | +55.7% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +5.0% | +0.9% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +4.0% | +0.2% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +4.1% | +2.4% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +4.4% | +63.2% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -28.6% | +83.0% |
Valuation Metrics
BLMN leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 19.7x trailing earnings, CAKE trades at a 85% valuation discount to BLMN's 128.7x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, BLMN's 10.9x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than CAKE's 21.2x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $3.0B | $692M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $6.3B | $3.7B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 19.75x | 128.68x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 14.99x | 9.73x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 21.16x | 10.87x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.81x | 0.17x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 6.72x | 2.05x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 19.49x | 7.15x |
Profitability & Efficiency
CAKE leads this category, winning 6 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
CAKE delivers a 37.1% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $37 in annual profit, vs $2 for BLMN. CAKE carries lower financial leverage with a 7.93x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to BLMN's 9.10x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +37.1% | +2.2% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +4.7% | +0.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +4.7% | +4.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +7.8% | +6.9% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 7.93x | 9.10x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $3.2B | $3.0B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $216M | $59M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $3.5B | $3.1B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 16.15x | 0.93x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
CAKE leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in CAKE five years ago would be worth $10,435 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $3,734 for BLMN. Over the past 12 months, CAKE leads with a +24.7% total return vs BLMN's +6.2%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors CAKE at 24.2% vs BLMN's -24.0% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +15.4% | +27.3% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +24.7% | +6.2% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +91.5% | -56.2% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +4.4% | -62.7% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +37.3% | -34.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +24.2% | -24.0% |
Risk & Volatility
CAKE leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
CAKE is the less volatile stock with a 1.11 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than BLMN's 1.82 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. CAKE currently trades 87.0% from its 52-week high vs BLMN's 75.9% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.11x | 1.82x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $69.70 | $10.70 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $43.07 | $5.19 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +87.0% | +75.9% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 52.4 | 43.2 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.2M | 2.8M |
Analyst Outlook
BLMN leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates CAKE as "Hold" and BLMN as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 8.1% upside for CAKE (target: $66) vs 4.7% for BLMN (target: $9). For income investors, BLMN offers the higher dividend yield at 5.53% vs CAKE's 1.78%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $65.50 | $8.50 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 48 | 28 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +1.8% | +5.5% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $1.08 | $0.45 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +5.1% | 0.0% |
CAKE leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). BLMN leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Analyst Outlook).
CAKE vs BLMN: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is CAKE or BLMN a better buy right now?
For growth investors, The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) is the stronger pick with 4.
7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 0. 1% for Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN). The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) offers the better valuation at 19. 7x trailing P/E (15. 0x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) a "Hold" — based on 48 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — CAKE or BLMN?
On trailing P/E, The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) is the cheapest at 19.
7x versus Bloomin' Brands, Inc. at 128. 7x. On forward P/E, Bloomin' Brands, Inc. is actually cheaper at 9. 7x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — CAKE or BLMN?
Over the past 5 years, The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) delivered a total return of +4.
4%, compared to -62. 7% for Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: CAKE returned +37. 3% versus BLMN's -34. 6%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — CAKE or BLMN?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) is the lower-risk stock at 1.
11β versus Bloomin' Brands, Inc. 's 1. 82β — meaning BLMN is approximately 63% more volatile than CAKE relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 8% versus 9% for Bloomin' Brands, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — CAKE or BLMN?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) is pulling ahead at 4.
7% versus 0. 1% for Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Bloomin' Brands, Inc. grew EPS 104. 2% year-over-year, compared to -4. 1% for The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated. Over a 3-year CAGR, CAKE leads at 4. 3% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — CAKE or BLMN?
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) is the more profitable company, earning 4.
0% net margin versus 0. 1% for Bloomin' Brands, Inc. — meaning it keeps 4. 0% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: CAKE leads at 5. 0% versus 4. 1% for BLMN. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — CAKE leads at 78. 3%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is CAKE or BLMN more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Bloomin' Brands, Inc.
(BLMN) trades at 9. 7x forward P/E versus 15. 0x for The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated — 5. 3x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for CAKE: 8. 1% to $65. 50.
08Which pays a better dividend — CAKE or BLMN?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN) offers the highest yield at 5. 5%, versus 1. 8% for The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE).
09Is CAKE or BLMN better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1.
11), 1. 8% yield). Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN) carries a higher beta of 1. 82 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (CAKE: +37. 3%, BLMN: -34. 6%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between CAKE and BLMN?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: CAKE is a small-cap quality compounder stock; BLMN is a small-cap income-oriented stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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