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CMCL vs BTG
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Gold
CMCL vs BTG — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Gold | Gold |
| Market Cap | $440M | $6.02B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $264M | $3.06B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $55M | $402M |
| Gross Margin | 52.0% | 50.0% |
| Operating Margin | 44.3% | 45.9% |
| Forward P/E | 6.0x | 5.9x |
| Total Debt | $33M | $629M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $36M | $380M |
CMCL vs BTG — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caledonia Mining Co… (CMCL) | 100 | 146.1 | +46.1% |
| B2Gold Corp. (BTG) | 100 | 81.8 | -18.2% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: CMCL vs BTG
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
CMCL carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 2 yrs, beta 1.28, yield 4.5%
- Rev growth 38.9%, EPS growth 204.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 21.4%
- 428.4% 10Y total return vs BTG's 155.5%
BTG is the clearest fit if your priority is growth and value.
- 60.9% revenue growth vs CMCL's 38.9%
- Lower P/E (5.9x vs 6.0x)
- Beta 0.94 vs CMCL's 1.28
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 60.9% revenue growth vs CMCL's 38.9% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (5.9x vs 6.0x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 20.9% margin vs BTG's 13.1% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.94 vs CMCL's 1.28 | |
| Dividends | 4.5% yield, 2-year raise streak, vs BTG's 1.6% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +67.6% vs BTG's +43.4% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 14.2% ROA vs BTG's 7.3%, ROIC 32.4% vs 30.0% |
CMCL vs BTG — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
CMCL vs BTG — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CMCL leads this category, winning 3 of 5 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
BTG is the larger business by revenue, generating $3.1B annually — 11.6x CMCL's $264M. CMCL is the more profitable business, keeping 20.9% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to BTG's 13.1%. On growth, BTG holds the edge at +110.9% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $264M | $3.1B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $132M | $1.8B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $55M | $402M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $40M | $59M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +52.0% | +50.0% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +44.3% | +45.9% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +20.9% | +13.1% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +15.2% | +1.9% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +49.4% | +110.9% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +73.3% | — |
Valuation Metrics
CMCL leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 8.0x trailing earnings, CMCL trades at a 50% valuation discount to BTG's 16.0x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, CMCL's 3.3x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than BTG's 3.4x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $440M | $6.0B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $436M | $6.3B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 8.05x | 16.00x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 6.05x | 5.88x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.78x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 3.32x | 3.40x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.73x | 1.97x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.57x | 1.83x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 10.13x | 90.65x |
Profitability & Efficiency
CMCL leads this category, winning 9 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
CMCL delivers a 20.7% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $21 in annual profit, vs $12 for BTG. CMCL carries lower financial leverage with a 0.11x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to BTG's 0.17x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), CMCL scores 7/9 vs BTG's 6/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +20.7% | +11.9% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +14.2% | +7.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +32.4% | +30.0% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +35.3% | +31.1% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.11x | 0.17x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$3M | $250M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $36M | $380M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $33M | $629M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 33.33x | 26.91x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
CMCL leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in CMCL five years ago would be worth $17,211 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $10,097 for BTG. Over the past 12 months, CMCL leads with a +67.6% total return vs BTG's +43.4%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors CMCL at 19.6% vs BTG's 6.0% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -13.0% | 0.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +67.6% | +43.4% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +71.1% | +19.1% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +72.1% | +1.0% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +428.4% | +155.5% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +19.6% | +6.0% |
Risk & Volatility
BTG leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
BTG is the less volatile stock with a 0.94 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than CMCL's 1.28 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. BTG currently trades 71.2% from its 52-week high vs CMCL's 58.8% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.28x | 0.94x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $38.75 | $6.29 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $13.05 | $2.86 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +58.8% | +71.2% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 38.8 | 37.6 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 189K | 30.4M |
Analyst Outlook
CMCL leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates CMCL as "Buy" and BTG as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 39.5% upside for BTG (target: $6) vs -24.2% for CMCL (target: $17). For income investors, CMCL offers the higher dividend yield at 4.48% vs BTG's 1.59%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $17.25 | $6.25 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 2 | 9 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +4.5% | +1.6% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 2 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $1.02 | $0.07 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +0.2% |
CMCL leads in 5 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). BTG leads in 1 (Risk & Volatility).
CMCL vs BTG: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is CMCL or BTG a better buy right now?
For growth investors, B2Gold Corp.
(BTG) is the stronger pick with 60. 9% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 38. 9% for Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc (CMCL). Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc (CMCL) offers the better valuation at 8. 0x trailing P/E (6. 0x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc (CMCL) a "Buy" — based on 2 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — CMCL or BTG?
On trailing P/E, Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc (CMCL) is the cheapest at 8.
0x versus B2Gold Corp. at 16. 0x. On forward P/E, B2Gold Corp. is actually cheaper at 5. 9x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — CMCL or BTG?
Over the past 5 years, Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc (CMCL) delivered a total return of +72.
1%, compared to +1. 0% for B2Gold Corp. (BTG). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: CMCL returned +428. 4% versus BTG's +155. 5%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — CMCL or BTG?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), B2Gold Corp.
(BTG) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 94β versus Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc's 1. 28β — meaning CMCL is approximately 36% more volatile than BTG relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc (CMCL) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 11% versus 17% for B2Gold Corp. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — CMCL or BTG?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), B2Gold Corp.
(BTG) is pulling ahead at 60. 9% versus 38. 9% for Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc (CMCL). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc grew EPS 204. 3% year-over-year, compared to 158. 3% for B2Gold Corp.. Over a 3-year CAGR, CMCL leads at 21. 4% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — CMCL or BTG?
Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc (CMCL) is the more profitable company, earning 21.
7% net margin versus 13. 1% for B2Gold Corp. — meaning it keeps 21. 7% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: BTG leads at 45. 9% versus 45. 5% for CMCL. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — CMCL leads at 54. 0%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is CMCL or BTG more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, B2Gold Corp.
(BTG) trades at 5. 9x forward P/E versus 6. 0x for Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc — 0. 2x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for BTG: 39. 5% to $6. 25.
08Which pays a better dividend — CMCL or BTG?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc (CMCL) offers the highest yield at 4. 5%, versus 1. 6% for B2Gold Corp. (BTG).
09Is CMCL or BTG better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, B2Gold Corp.
(BTG) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 94), 1. 6% yield, +155. 5% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (BTG: +155. 5%, CMCL: +428. 4%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between CMCL and BTG?
Both stocks operate in the Basic Materials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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