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CNL vs KGC
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Gold
CNL vs KGC — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Gold | Gold |
| Market Cap | $1.63B | $36.43B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $0.00 | $7.94B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-46M | $2.86B |
| Gross Margin | — | 52.8% |
| Operating Margin | — | 48.2% |
| Forward P/E | — | 9.7x |
| Total Debt | $156K | $777M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $39M | $1.75B |
CNL vs KGC — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Jul 24 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Collective Mining L… (CNL) | 100 | 663.7 | +563.7% |
| Kinross Gold Corpor… (KGC) | 100 | 335.8 | +235.8% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: CNL vs KGC
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
CNL is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding and sleep-well-at-night.
- 5.4% 10Y total return vs KGC's 499.1%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.07, Low D/E 0.4%, current ratio 7.23x
KGC carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 2 yrs, beta 0.69, yield 0.4%
- Rev growth 39.3%, EPS growth 158.4%, 3Y rev CAGR 27.6%
- Beta 0.69, yield 0.4%, current ratio 2.35x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 39.3% revenue growth vs CNL's -102.3% | |
| Quality / Margins | 36.0% margin vs CNL's 2.0% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.69 vs CNL's 1.07 | |
| Dividends | 0.4% yield; 2-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +95.7% vs CNL's +79.5% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 23.4% ROA vs CNL's -58.5% |
CNL vs KGC — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
CNL vs KGC — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
KGC leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
KGC and CNL operate at a comparable scale, with $7.9B and $0 in trailing revenue.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $0 | $7.9B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$33M | $5.0B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$46M | $2.9B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$30M | $3.0B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | — | +52.8% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | — | +48.2% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | — | +36.0% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | — | +38.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | — | +58.6% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -40.8% | +130.0% |
Valuation Metrics
Evenly matched — CNL and KGC each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $1.6B | $36.4B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $1.6B | $35.5B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -46.63x | 15.29x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 9.72x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 1.23x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 8.30x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | — | 5.08x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 32.75x | 4.29x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 14.18x |
Profitability & Efficiency
KGC leads this category, winning 6 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
KGC delivers a 33.9% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $34 in annual profit, vs $-75 for CNL. CNL carries lower financial leverage with a 0.00x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to KGC's 0.09x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), KGC scores 9/9 vs CNL's 4/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -75.3% | +33.9% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -58.5% | +23.4% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | — | +29.9% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -91.0% | +29.8% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 9 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.00x | 0.09x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$39M | -$975M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $39M | $1.8B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $155,527 | $777M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -140.67x | 58.61x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
CNL leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in CNL five years ago would be worth $63,971 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $40,136 for KGC. Over the past 12 months, KGC leads with a +95.7% total return vs CNL's +79.5%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors CNL at 85.6% vs KGC's 79.7% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +27.4% | +7.6% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +79.5% | +95.7% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +539.7% | +480.5% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +539.7% | +301.4% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +539.7% | +499.1% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +85.6% | +79.7% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — CNL and KGC each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
KGC is the less volatile stock with a 0.69 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than CNL's 1.07 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.07x | 0.69x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $21.97 | $39.11 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $8.30 | $13.28 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +80.7% | +77.8% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 47.4 | 47.5 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 58K | 8.9M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates CNL as "Buy" and KGC as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 41.1% upside for CNL (target: $25) vs 38.9% for KGC (target: $42). KGC is the only dividend payer here at 0.42% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $25.00 | $42.25 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 2 | 28 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +0.4% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 2 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $0.13 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +1.7% |
KGC leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). CNL leads in 1 (Total Returns). 2 tied.
CNL vs KGC: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is CNL or KGC a better buy right now?
Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) offers the better valuation at 15.
3x trailing P/E (9. 7x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Collective Mining Ltd. (CNL) a "Buy" — based on 2 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — CNL or KGC?
Over the past 5 years, Collective Mining Ltd.
(CNL) delivered a total return of +539. 7%, compared to +301. 4% for Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: CNL returned +539. 7% versus KGC's +499. 1%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — CNL or KGC?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
69β versus Collective Mining Ltd. 's 1. 07β — meaning CNL is approximately 56% more volatile than KGC relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Collective Mining Ltd. (CNL) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 0% versus 9% for Kinross Gold Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — CNL or KGC?
On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Kinross Gold Corporation grew EPS 158.
4% year-over-year, compared to -15. 2% for Collective Mining Ltd.. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — CNL or KGC?
Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) is the more profitable company, earning 33.
9% net margin versus 0. 0% for Collective Mining Ltd. — meaning it keeps 33. 9% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: KGC leads at 43. 2% versus 0. 0% for CNL. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — KGC leads at 47. 5%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is CNL or KGC more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for CNL: 41.
1% to $25. 00.
07Which pays a better dividend — CNL or KGC?
In this comparison, KGC (0.
4% yield) pays a dividend. CNL does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
08Is CNL or KGC better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
69), +499. 1% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (KGC: +499. 1%, CNL: +539. 7%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between CNL and KGC?
Both stocks operate in the Basic Materials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: CNL is a small-cap quality compounder stock; KGC is a mid-cap high-growth stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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