Aerospace & Defense
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ERJ vs TDG
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Aerospace & Defense
ERJ vs TDG — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Aerospace & Defense | Aerospace & Defense |
| Market Cap | $12.00B | $69.67B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $7.26B | $9.11B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $315M | $1.97B |
| Gross Margin | 18.2% | 59.0% |
| Operating Margin | 9.2% | 46.5% |
| Forward P/E | 4.4x | 31.8x |
| Total Debt | $2.60B | $30.03B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $1.56B | $2.81B |
ERJ vs TDG — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | Jan 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Embraer S.A. (ERJ) | 100 | 1191.8 | +1091.8% |
| TransDigm Group Inc… (TDG) | 100 | 313.0 | +213.0% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: ERJ vs TDG
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
ERJ is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure.
- Rev growth 21.4%, EPS growth 118.2%, 3Y rev CAGR 15.0%
- 21.4% revenue growth vs TDG's 11.2%
- Lower P/E (4.4x vs 31.8x)
TDG carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 2 yrs, beta 0.79, yield 13.4%
- 6.0% 10Y total return vs ERJ's 203.7%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.79, current ratio 3.21x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 21.4% revenue growth vs TDG's 11.2% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (4.4x vs 31.8x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 21.6% margin vs ERJ's 4.3% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.79 vs ERJ's 0.87 | |
| Dividends | 13.4% yield; 2-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +41.5% vs TDG's -4.9% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 8.6% ROA vs ERJ's 2.6%, ROIC 20.9% vs 11.4% |
ERJ vs TDG — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
ERJ vs TDG — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
TDG leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
TDG and ERJ operate at a comparable scale, with $9.1B and $7.3B in trailing revenue. TDG is the more profitable business, keeping 21.6% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to ERJ's 4.3%. On growth, ERJ holds the edge at +20.4% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $7.3B | $9.1B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $893M | $4.6B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $315M | $2.0B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $703M | $1.9B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +18.2% | +59.0% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +9.2% | +46.5% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +4.3% | +21.6% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +9.7% | +20.6% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +20.4% | +13.9% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -33.3% | -13.1% |
Valuation Metrics
ERJ leads this category, winning 5 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 34.1x trailing earnings, ERJ trades at a 11% valuation discount to TDG's 38.5x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, ERJ's 14.3x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than TDG's 21.4x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $12.0B | $69.7B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $13.0B | $96.9B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 34.08x | 38.46x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 4.42x | 31.79x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 1.24x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 14.31x | 21.38x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.88x | 7.89x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 3.59x | — |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 29.63x | 38.36x |
Profitability & Efficiency
TDG leads this category, winning 4 of 7 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), ERJ scores 8/9 vs TDG's 6/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +8.8% | — |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +2.6% | +8.6% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +11.4% | +20.9% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +9.2% | +20.8% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 8 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.78x | — |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $1.0B | $27.2B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $1.6B | $2.8B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $2.6B | $30.0B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 2.01x | 2.55x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
ERJ leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in ERJ five years ago would be worth $54,814 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $24,241 for TDG. Over the past 12 months, ERJ leads with a +41.5% total return vs TDG's -4.9%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors ERJ at 71.7% vs TDG's 22.9% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | 0.0% | -9.2% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +41.5% | -4.9% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +405.9% | +85.6% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +448.1% | +142.4% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +203.7% | +596.5% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +71.7% | +22.9% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — ERJ and TDG each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
TDG is the less volatile stock with a 0.79 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than ERJ's 0.87 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. ERJ currently trades 97.0% from its 52-week high vs TDG's 76.0% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.87x | 0.79x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $67.44 | $1623.83 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $43.80 | $1123.61 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +97.0% | +76.0% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 52.4 | 49.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 525K | 371K |
Analyst Outlook
TDG leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates ERJ as "Buy" and TDG as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 31.1% upside for TDG (target: $1618) vs -38.8% for ERJ (target: $40). TDG is the only dividend payer here at 13.41% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $40.04 | $1617.88 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 21 | 39 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +13.4% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 2 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $165.45 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +0.7% |
TDG leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). ERJ leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Total Returns). 1 tied.
ERJ vs TDG: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is ERJ or TDG a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Embraer S.
A. (ERJ) is the stronger pick with 21. 4% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 11. 2% for TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG). Embraer S. A. (ERJ) offers the better valuation at 34. 1x trailing P/E (4. 4x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Embraer S. A. (ERJ) a "Buy" — based on 21 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — ERJ or TDG?
On trailing P/E, Embraer S.
A. (ERJ) is the cheapest at 34. 1x versus TransDigm Group Incorporated at 38. 5x. On forward P/E, Embraer S. A. is actually cheaper at 4. 4x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — ERJ or TDG?
Over the past 5 years, Embraer S.
A. (ERJ) delivered a total return of +448. 1%, compared to +142. 4% for TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: TDG returned +596. 5% versus ERJ's +203. 7%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — ERJ or TDG?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
79β versus Embraer S. A. 's 0. 87β — meaning ERJ is approximately 11% more volatile than TDG relative to the S&P 500.
05Which is growing faster — ERJ or TDG?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Embraer S.
A. (ERJ) is pulling ahead at 21. 4% versus 11. 2% for TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Embraer S. A. grew EPS 118. 2% year-over-year, compared to 25. 2% for TransDigm Group Incorporated. Over a 3-year CAGR, TDG leads at 17. 6% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — ERJ or TDG?
TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) is the more profitable company, earning 23.
5% net margin versus 5. 5% for Embraer S. A. — meaning it keeps 23. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: TDG leads at 47. 2% versus 10. 4% for ERJ. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — TDG leads at 60. 1%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is ERJ or TDG more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Embraer S.
A. (ERJ) trades at 4. 4x forward P/E versus 31. 8x for TransDigm Group Incorporated — 27. 4x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for TDG: 31. 1% to $1617. 88.
08Which pays a better dividend — ERJ or TDG?
In this comparison, TDG (13.
4% yield) pays a dividend. ERJ does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is ERJ or TDG better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
79), 13. 4% yield, +596. 5% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (TDG: +596. 5%, ERJ: +203. 7%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between ERJ and TDG?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: ERJ is a mid-cap high-growth stock; TDG is a mid-cap income-oriented stock. TDG pays a dividend while ERJ does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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