Packaged Foods
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FLO vs SJM
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Packaged Foods
FLO vs SJM — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Packaged Foods | Packaged Foods |
| Market Cap | $1.81B | $10.58B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $5.26B | $8.93B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $84M | $-1.26B |
| Gross Margin | 48.1% | 33.6% |
| Operating Margin | 6.0% | -8.0% |
| Forward P/E | 10.3x | 11.0x |
| Total Debt | $2.33B | $7.76B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $12M | $70M |
FLO vs SJM — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flowers Foods, Inc. (FLO) | 100 | 36.3 | -63.7% |
| The J. M. Smucker C… (SJM) | 100 | 87.3 | -12.7% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: FLO vs SJM
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
FLO carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 19 yrs, beta 0.32, yield 11.5%
- Rev growth 3.0%, EPS growth -65.8%, 3Y rev CAGR 3.0%
- Lower P/E (10.3x vs 11.0x)
SJM is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding and sleep-well-at-night.
- 5.6% 10Y total return vs FLO's -14.3%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.04, current ratio 0.81x
- Beta 0.04, yield 4.3%, current ratio 0.81x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 6.7% revenue growth vs FLO's 3.0% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (10.3x vs 11.0x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 1.6% margin vs SJM's -14.1% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.04 vs FLO's 0.32, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 11.5% yield, 19-year raise streak, vs SJM's 4.3% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | -7.5% vs FLO's -45.0% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 2.0% ROA vs SJM's -7.7%, ROIC 8.1% vs -3.4% |
FLO vs SJM — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
FLO vs SJM — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
FLO leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
SJM is the larger business by revenue, generating $8.9B annually — 1.7x FLO's $5.3B. FLO is the more profitable business, keeping 1.6% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to SJM's -14.1%. On growth, FLO holds the edge at +11.0% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $5.3B | $8.9B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $482M | -$595M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $84M | -$1.3B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $329M | $971M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +48.1% | +33.6% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +6.0% | -8.0% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +1.6% | -14.1% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +6.3% | +10.9% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +11.0% | +7.0% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -2.6% | -9.3% |
Valuation Metrics
FLO leads this category, winning 4 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $1.8B | $10.6B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $4.1B | $18.3B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 21.43x | -8.59x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 10.31x | 11.01x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 8.06x | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.34x | 1.21x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.39x | 1.74x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 5.67x | 12.96x |
Profitability & Efficiency
FLO leads this category, winning 7 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
FLO delivers a 6.4% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $6 in annual profit, vs $-24 for SJM. SJM carries lower financial leverage with a 1.28x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to FLO's 1.79x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), SJM scores 5/9 vs FLO's 4/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +6.4% | -24.0% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +2.0% | -7.7% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +8.1% | -3.4% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +11.4% | -4.3% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.79x | 1.28x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $2.3B | $7.7B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $12M | $70M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $2.3B | $7.8B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 4.52x | -1.88x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
SJM leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in SJM five years ago would be worth $8,802 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $5,374 for FLO. Over the past 12 months, SJM leads with a -7.5% total return vs FLO's -45.0%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors SJM at -10.6% vs FLO's -26.3% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -18.3% | +4.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -45.0% | -7.5% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -59.9% | -28.5% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -46.3% | -12.0% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -14.3% | +5.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -26.3% | -10.6% |
Risk & Volatility
SJM leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
SJM is the less volatile stock with a 0.04 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than FLO's 0.32 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. SJM currently trades 83.3% from its 52-week high vs FLO's 48.5% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.32x | 0.04x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $17.68 | $119.39 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $7.86 | $88.25 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +48.5% | +83.3% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 48.6 | 50.1 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 4.9M | 2.1M |
Analyst Outlook
FLO leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates FLO as "Hold" and SJM as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 16.7% upside for FLO (target: $10) vs 14.0% for SJM (target: $113). For income investors, FLO offers the higher dividend yield at 11.51% vs SJM's 4.30%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $10.00 | $113.38 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 20 | 29 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +11.5% | +4.3% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 19 | 15 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.99 | $4.28 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.3% | +0.0% |
FLO leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). SJM leads in 2 (Total Returns, Risk & Volatility).
FLO vs SJM: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is FLO or SJM a better buy right now?
For growth investors, The J.
M. Smucker Company (SJM) is the stronger pick with 6. 7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 3. 0% for Flowers Foods, Inc. (FLO). Flowers Foods, Inc. (FLO) offers the better valuation at 21. 4x trailing P/E (10. 3x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Flowers Foods, Inc. (FLO) a "Hold" — based on 20 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — FLO or SJM?
On forward P/E, Flowers Foods, Inc.
is actually cheaper at 10. 3x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — FLO or SJM?
Over the past 5 years, The J.
M. Smucker Company (SJM) delivered a total return of -12. 0%, compared to -46. 3% for Flowers Foods, Inc. (FLO). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: SJM returned +5. 6% versus FLO's -14. 3%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — FLO or SJM?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), The J.
M. Smucker Company (SJM) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 04β versus Flowers Foods, Inc. 's 0. 32β — meaning FLO is approximately 654% more volatile than SJM relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, The J. M. Smucker Company (SJM) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 128% versus 179% for Flowers Foods, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — FLO or SJM?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), The J.
M. Smucker Company (SJM) is pulling ahead at 6. 7% versus 3. 0% for Flowers Foods, Inc. (FLO). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Flowers Foods, Inc. grew EPS -65. 8% year-over-year, compared to -262. 3% for The J. M. Smucker Company. Over a 3-year CAGR, FLO leads at 3. 0% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — FLO or SJM?
Flowers Foods, Inc.
(FLO) is the more profitable company, earning 1. 6% net margin versus -14. 1% for The J. M. Smucker Company — meaning it keeps 1. 6% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: FLO leads at 6. 6% versus -7. 7% for SJM. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — FLO leads at 45. 7%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is FLO or SJM more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Flowers Foods, Inc.
(FLO) trades at 10. 3x forward P/E versus 11. 0x for The J. M. Smucker Company — 0. 7x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for FLO: 16. 7% to $10. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — FLO or SJM?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Flowers Foods, Inc. (FLO) offers the highest yield at 11. 5%, versus 4. 3% for The J. M. Smucker Company (SJM).
09Is FLO or SJM better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, The J.
M. Smucker Company (SJM) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 04), 4. 3% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (SJM: +5. 6%, FLO: -14. 3%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between FLO and SJM?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Defensive sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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