Real Estate - Development
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2 / 10Stock Comparison
FOR vs TMHC
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Residential Construction
FOR vs TMHC — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Real Estate - Development | Residential Construction |
| Market Cap | $1.39B | $5.56B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $1.71B | $7.61B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $167M | $672M |
| Gross Margin | 21.3% | 22.4% |
| Operating Margin | 12.3% | 13.2% |
| Forward P/E | 9.2x | 11.2x |
| Total Debt | $817M | $2.36B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $379M | $851M |
FOR vs TMHC — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forestar Group Inc. (FOR) | 100 | 179.7 | +79.7% |
| Taylor Morrison Hom… (TMHC) | 100 | 307.7 | +207.7% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: FOR vs TMHC
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
FOR carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 1.14
- Rev growth 10.1%, EPS growth -17.8%, 3Y rev CAGR 3.1%
- 10.1% FFO/revenue growth vs TMHC's -0.6%
TMHC is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding and sleep-well-at-night.
- 321.2% 10Y total return vs FOR's 118.1%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.92, Low D/E 37.4%, current ratio 6.24x
- PEG 0.34 vs FOR's 0.44
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 10.1% FFO/revenue growth vs TMHC's -0.6% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (9.2x vs 11.2x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 9.8% margin vs TMHC's 8.8% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.92 vs FOR's 1.14, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +39.4% vs TMHC's +2.0% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 6.9% ROA vs FOR's 5.3%, ROIC 11.0% vs 7.8% |
FOR vs TMHC — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
FOR vs TMHC — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
FOR leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
TMHC is the larger business by revenue, generating $7.6B annually — 4.5x FOR's $1.7B. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 9.8% (FOR) to 8.8% (TMHC). On growth, FOR holds the edge at +6.6% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $1.7B | $7.6B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $213M | $1.0B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $167M | $672M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $266M | $710M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +21.3% | +22.4% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +12.3% | +13.2% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +9.8% | +8.8% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +15.5% | +9.3% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +6.6% | -26.8% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +1.6% | -51.2% |
Valuation Metrics
TMHC leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 7.7x trailing earnings, TMHC trades at a 8% valuation discount to FOR's 8.3x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), TMHC offers better value at 0.23x vs FOR's 0.39x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $1.4B | $5.6B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $1.8B | $7.1B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 8.29x | 7.65x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 9.22x | 11.22x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.39x | 0.23x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 8.59x | 6.18x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.83x | 0.68x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.78x | 0.95x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 6.88x |
Profitability & Efficiency
TMHC leads this category, winning 6 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
TMHC delivers a 10.8% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $11 in annual profit, vs $9 for FOR. TMHC carries lower financial leverage with a 0.37x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to FOR's 0.46x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), TMHC scores 4/9 vs FOR's 1/9, reflecting mixed financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +9.5% | +10.8% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +5.3% | +6.9% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +7.8% | +11.0% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +8.2% | +13.2% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 1 | 4 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.46x | 0.37x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $438M | $1.5B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $379M | $851M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $817M | $2.4B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | — | 19.94x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
FOR leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in TMHC five years ago would be worth $18,573 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $10,800 for FOR. Over the past 12 months, FOR leads with a +39.4% total return vs TMHC's +2.0%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors FOR at 11.2% vs TMHC's 11.2% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +12.1% | +1.1% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +39.4% | +2.0% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +37.4% | +37.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +8.0% | +85.7% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +118.1% | +321.2% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +11.2% | +11.2% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — FOR and TMHC each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
TMHC is the less volatile stock with a 0.92 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than FOR's 1.14 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. FOR currently trades 88.7% from its 52-week high vs TMHC's 82.0% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.14x | 0.92x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $30.74 | $72.50 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $18.50 | $54.58 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +88.7% | +82.0% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 52.5 | 49.0 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 134K | 1.1M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates FOR as "Buy" and TMHC as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 24.0% upside for TMHC (target: $74) vs 4.1% for FOR (target: $28).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $28.38 | $73.75 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 12 | 30 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.1% | +6.9% |
FOR leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Total Returns). TMHC leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). 1 tied.
FOR vs TMHC: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is FOR or TMHC a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Forestar Group Inc.
(FOR) is the stronger pick with 10. 1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -0. 6% for Taylor Morrison Home Corporation (TMHC). Taylor Morrison Home Corporation (TMHC) offers the better valuation at 7. 7x trailing P/E (11. 2x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Forestar Group Inc. (FOR) a "Buy" — based on 12 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — FOR or TMHC?
On trailing P/E, Taylor Morrison Home Corporation (TMHC) is the cheapest at 7.
7x versus Forestar Group Inc. at 8. 3x. On forward P/E, Forestar Group Inc. is actually cheaper at 9. 2x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Taylor Morrison Home Corporation wins at 0. 34x versus Forestar Group Inc. 's 0. 44x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — FOR or TMHC?
Over the past 5 years, Taylor Morrison Home Corporation (TMHC) delivered a total return of +85.
7%, compared to +8. 0% for Forestar Group Inc. (FOR). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: TMHC returned +321. 2% versus FOR's +118. 1%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — FOR or TMHC?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Taylor Morrison Home Corporation (TMHC) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
92β versus Forestar Group Inc. 's 1. 14β — meaning FOR is approximately 23% more volatile than TMHC relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Taylor Morrison Home Corporation (TMHC) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 37% versus 46% for Forestar Group Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — FOR or TMHC?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Forestar Group Inc.
(FOR) is pulling ahead at 10. 1% versus -0. 6% for Taylor Morrison Home Corporation (TMHC). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Taylor Morrison Home Corporation grew EPS -6. 0% year-over-year, compared to -17. 8% for Forestar Group Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, FOR leads at 3. 1% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — FOR or TMHC?
Forestar Group Inc.
(FOR) is the more profitable company, earning 10. 1% net margin versus 9. 6% for Taylor Morrison Home Corporation — meaning it keeps 10. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: TMHC leads at 14. 0% versus 12. 6% for FOR. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — TMHC leads at 23. 0%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is FOR or TMHC more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Taylor Morrison Home Corporation (TMHC) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 34x versus Forestar Group Inc. 's 0. 44x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Forestar Group Inc. (FOR) trades at 9. 2x forward P/E versus 11. 2x for Taylor Morrison Home Corporation — 2. 0x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for TMHC: 24. 0% to $73. 75.
08Which pays a better dividend — FOR or TMHC?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
09Is FOR or TMHC better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Taylor Morrison Home Corporation (TMHC) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
92), +321. 2% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (TMHC: +321. 2%, FOR: +118. 1%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between FOR and TMHC?
These companies operate in different sectors (FOR (Real Estate) and TMHC (Consumer Cyclical)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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