Real Estate - Development
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4 / 10Stock Comparison
FPH vs FOR vs LEN vs LGIH
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Real Estate - Development
Residential Construction
Residential Construction
FPH vs FOR vs LEN vs LGIH — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Real Estate - Development | Real Estate - Development | Residential Construction | Residential Construction |
| Market Cap | $3.54B | $1.40B | $19.07B | $1.08B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $110M | $1.71B | $34.13B | $1.67B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $41M | $167M | $2.08B | $71M |
| Gross Margin | 40.4% | 21.3% | 17.6% | 20.3% |
| Operating Margin | -1.1% | 12.3% | 7.7% | 4.7% |
| Forward P/E | 16.5x | 9.4x | 14.4x | 16.7x |
| Total Debt | $514M | $817M | $6.32B | $1.66B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $427M | $379M | $3.80B | $61M |
FPH vs FOR vs LEN vs LGIH — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Five Point Holdings… (FPH) | 100 | 98.8 | -1.2% |
| Forestar Group Inc. (FOR) | 100 | 181.2 | +81.2% |
| Lennar Corporation (LEN) | 100 | 146.2 | +46.2% |
| LGI Homes, Inc. (LGIH) | 100 | 55.9 | -44.1% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: FPH vs FOR vs LEN vs LGIH
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
FPH is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if sleep-well-at-night and defensive is your priority.
- Lower volatility, beta 0.89, Low D/E 21.5%, current ratio 4.02x
- Beta 0.89, current ratio 4.02x
- 37.0% margin vs LGIH's 4.2%
- Beta 0.89 vs LGIH's 1.69, lower leverage
FOR carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and valuation efficiency.
- Rev growth 10.1%, EPS growth -17.8%, 3Y rev CAGR 3.1%
- PEG 0.44 vs LEN's 43.78
- 10.1% FFO/revenue growth vs FPH's -53.8%
- Lower P/E (9.4x vs 16.7x)
LEN is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 12 yrs, beta 0.96, yield 2.3%
- 124.0% 10Y total return vs FOR's 119.9%
- 2.3% yield; 12-year raise streak; the other 3 pay no meaningful dividend
- 6.0% ROA vs FPH's 1.3%, ROIC 7.9% vs -0.2%
LGIH lags the leaders in this set but could rank higher in a more targeted comparison.
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 10.1% FFO/revenue growth vs FPH's -53.8% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (9.4x vs 16.7x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 37.0% margin vs LGIH's 4.2% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.89 vs LGIH's 1.69, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 2.3% yield; 12-year raise streak; the other 3 pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +37.5% vs LEN's -17.5% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 6.0% ROA vs FPH's 1.3%, ROIC 7.9% vs -0.2% |
FPH vs FOR vs LEN vs LGIH — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
FPH vs FOR vs LEN vs LGIH — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
FOR leads in 3 of 6 categories
LEN leads 1 • FPH leads 0 • LGIH leads 0 • 2 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
FOR leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
LEN is the larger business by revenue, generating $34.1B annually — 309.1x FPH's $110M. FPH is the more profitable business, keeping 37.0% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to LGIH's 4.2%. On growth, FOR holds the edge at +6.6% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $110M | $1.7B | $34.1B | $1.7B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $2M | $213M | $2.8B | $82M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $41M | $167M | $2.1B | $71M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $4M | $266M | $28M | -$69M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +40.4% | +21.3% | +17.6% | +20.3% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -1.1% | +12.3% | +7.7% | +4.7% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +37.0% | +9.8% | +6.1% | +4.2% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +3.5% | +15.5% | +0.1% | -4.1% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +3.2% | +6.6% | -6.5% | -9.0% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -118.8% | +1.6% | -52.5% | -47.1% |
Valuation Metrics
FOR leads this category, winning 3 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 8.4x trailing earnings, FOR trades at a 44% valuation discount to LGIH's 15.0x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), FOR offers better value at 0.39x vs LEN's 43.78x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $3.5B | $1.4B | $19.1B | $1.1B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $3.6B | $1.8B | $21.6B | $2.7B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 10.31x | 8.36x | 11.08x | 14.96x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 16.50x | 9.37x | 14.40x | 16.70x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 0.39x | 43.78x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 8.64x | 7.48x | 31.81x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 32.18x | 0.84x | 0.56x | 0.63x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.31x | 0.79x | 1.03x | 0.52x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 33.71x | — | 676.64x | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
Evenly matched — FPH and LEN each lead in 4 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
FOR delivers a 9.5% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $9 in annual profit, vs $2 for FPH. FPH carries lower financial leverage with a 0.22x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to LGIH's 0.79x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), FPH scores 4/9 vs FOR's 1/9, reflecting mixed financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +1.8% | +9.5% | +9.2% | +3.4% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +1.3% | +5.3% | +6.0% | +1.8% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -0.2% | +7.8% | +7.9% | +1.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -0.2% | +8.2% | +8.8% | +2.1% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.22x | 0.46x | 0.29x | 0.79x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $88M | $438M | $2.5B | $1.6B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $427M | $379M | $3.8B | $61M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $514M | $817M | $6.3B | $1.7B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | — | — | 198.24x | — |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
FOR leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in FOR five years ago would be worth $10,996 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $2,577 for LGIH. Over the past 12 months, FOR leads with a +37.5% total return vs LEN's -17.5%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors FPH at 27.8% vs LGIH's -26.2% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -9.0% | +13.0% | -14.2% | +11.9% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -7.8% | +37.5% | -17.5% | -16.1% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +108.9% | +38.6% | -18.0% | -59.9% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -32.9% | +10.0% | -10.4% | -74.2% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -67.1% | +119.9% | +124.0% | +57.7% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +27.8% | +11.5% | -6.4% | -26.2% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — FPH and FOR each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
FPH is the less volatile stock with a 0.89 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than LGIH's 1.69 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. FOR currently trades 89.4% from its 52-week high vs LEN's 61.3% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.89x | 1.12x | 0.96x | 1.69x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $6.64 | $30.74 | $144.24 | $69.50 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $4.72 | $18.50 | $83.03 | $33.59 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +74.5% | +89.4% | +61.3% | +67.2% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 44.0 | 53.5 | 43.5 | 54.8 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 185K | 131K | 2.9M | 488K |
Analyst Outlook
LEN leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: FPH as "Hold", FOR as "Buy", LEN as "Buy", LGIH as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 90.3% upside for LGIH (target: $89) vs 3.2% for FOR (target: $28). LEN is the only dividend payer here at 2.29% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | $28.38 | $102.14 | $88.80 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 5 | 12 | 50 | 13 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — | +2.3% | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 1 | 12 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — | $2.02 | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +0.1% | +9.5% | 0.0% |
FOR leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). LEN leads in 1 (Analyst Outlook). 2 tied.
FPH vs FOR vs LEN vs LGIH: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is FPH or FOR or LEN or LGIH a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Forestar Group Inc.
(FOR) is the stronger pick with 10. 1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -53. 8% for Five Point Holdings, LLC (FPH). Forestar Group Inc. (FOR) offers the better valuation at 8. 4x trailing P/E (9. 4x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Forestar Group Inc. (FOR) a "Buy" — based on 12 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — FPH or FOR or LEN or LGIH?
On trailing P/E, Forestar Group Inc.
(FOR) is the cheapest at 8. 4x versus LGI Homes, Inc. at 15. 0x. On forward P/E, Forestar Group Inc. is actually cheaper at 9. 4x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Forestar Group Inc. wins at 0. 44x versus Lennar Corporation's 43. 78x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — FPH or FOR or LEN or LGIH?
Over the past 5 years, Forestar Group Inc.
(FOR) delivered a total return of +10. 0%, compared to -74. 2% for LGI Homes, Inc. (LGIH). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: LEN returned +124. 0% versus FPH's -67. 1%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — FPH or FOR or LEN or LGIH?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Five Point Holdings, LLC (FPH) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
89β versus LGI Homes, Inc. 's 1. 69β — meaning LGIH is approximately 90% more volatile than FPH relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Five Point Holdings, LLC (FPH) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 22% versus 79% for LGI Homes, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — FPH or FOR or LEN or LGIH?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Forestar Group Inc.
(FOR) is pulling ahead at 10. 1% versus -53. 8% for Five Point Holdings, LLC (FPH). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Forestar Group Inc. grew EPS -17. 8% year-over-year, compared to -62. 4% for LGI Homes, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, FPH leads at 37. 1% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — FPH or FOR or LEN or LGIH?
Five Point Holdings, LLC (FPH) is the more profitable company, earning 64.
5% net margin versus 4. 3% for LGI Homes, Inc. — meaning it keeps 64. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: FOR leads at 12. 6% versus -6. 7% for FPH. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — FPH leads at 48. 4%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is FPH or FOR or LEN or LGIH more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Forestar Group Inc. (FOR) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 44x versus Lennar Corporation's 43. 78x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Forestar Group Inc. (FOR) trades at 9. 4x forward P/E versus 16. 7x for LGI Homes, Inc. — 7. 3x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for LGIH: 90. 3% to $88. 80.
08Which pays a better dividend — FPH or FOR or LEN or LGIH?
In this comparison, LEN (2.
3% yield) pays a dividend. FPH, FOR, LGIH do not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is FPH or FOR or LEN or LGIH better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Lennar Corporation (LEN) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
96), 2. 3% yield, +124. 0% 10Y return). LGI Homes, Inc. (LGIH) carries a higher beta of 1. 69 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (LEN: +124. 0%, LGIH: +57. 7%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between FPH and FOR and LEN and LGIH?
These companies operate in different sectors (FPH (Real Estate) and FOR (Real Estate) and LEN (Consumer Cyclical) and LGIH (Consumer Cyclical)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
LEN pays a dividend while FPH, FOR, LGIH do not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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