Industrial - Pollution & Treatment Controls
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FSS vs MIDD
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Industrial - Machinery
FSS vs MIDD — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Industrial - Pollution & Treatment Controls | Industrial - Machinery |
| Market Cap | $7.35B | $7.38B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $2.34B | $3.73B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $271M | $-278M |
| Gross Margin | 28.4% | 37.9% |
| Operating Margin | 16.7% | -2.5% |
| Forward P/E | 25.2x | 17.0x |
| Total Debt | $595M | $2.17B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $64M | $222M |
FSS vs MIDD — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Federal Signal Corp… (FSS) | 100 | 413.4 | +313.4% |
| The Middleby Corpor… (MIDD) | 100 | 232.3 | +132.3% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: FSS vs MIDD
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
FSS carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 12 yrs, beta 1.20, yield 0.5%
- Rev growth 17.1%, EPS growth 14.6%, 3Y rev CAGR 15.0%
- 8.6% 10Y total return vs MIDD's 46.1%
MIDD is the clearest fit if your priority is value.
- Lower P/E (17.0x vs 25.2x)
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 17.1% revenue growth vs MIDD's -17.4% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (17.0x vs 25.2x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 11.6% margin vs MIDD's -7.4% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.20 vs MIDD's 1.22, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 0.5% yield; 12-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +37.1% vs MIDD's +20.2% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 12.4% ROA vs MIDD's -4.1%, ROIC 16.4% vs 8.7% |
FSS vs MIDD — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
FSS vs MIDD — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
FSS leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MIDD is the larger business by revenue, generating $3.7B annually — 1.6x FSS's $2.3B. FSS is the more profitable business, keeping 11.6% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to MIDD's -7.4%. On growth, FSS holds the edge at +34.9% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $2.3B | $3.7B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $477M | $26M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $271M | -$278M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $291M | $559M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +28.4% | +37.9% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +16.7% | -2.5% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +11.6% | -7.4% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +12.4% | +15.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +34.9% | -14.5% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +52.0% | -64.3% |
Valuation Metrics
MIDD leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, MIDD's 13.6x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than FSS's 18.0x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $7.3B | $7.4B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $7.9B | $9.3B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 30.04x | -29.41x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 25.17x | 17.03x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 1.45x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 18.01x | 13.56x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 3.37x | 2.30x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 5.36x | 2.94x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 32.36x | 13.21x |
Profitability & Efficiency
FSS leads this category, winning 8 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
FSS delivers a 20.1% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $20 in annual profit, vs $-9 for MIDD. FSS carries lower financial leverage with a 0.43x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to MIDD's 0.78x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +20.1% | -8.5% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +12.4% | -4.1% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +16.4% | +8.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +19.6% | +10.1% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.43x | 0.78x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $531M | $2.0B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $64M | $222M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $595M | $2.2B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 20.81x | -1.20x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
FSS leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in FSS five years ago would be worth $28,481 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $8,654 for MIDD. Over the past 12 months, FSS leads with a +37.1% total return vs MIDD's +20.2%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors FSS at 32.0% vs MIDD's 2.8% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +8.2% | +4.9% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +37.1% | +20.2% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +130.2% | +8.6% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +184.8% | -13.5% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +862.0% | +46.1% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +32.0% | +2.8% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — FSS and MIDD each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
FSS is the less volatile stock with a 1.20 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than MIDD's 1.22 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.20x | 1.22x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $132.89 | $169.44 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $87.35 | $110.82 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +90.6% | +93.4% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 62.5 | 52.2 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 483K | 571K |
Analyst Outlook
FSS leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates FSS as "Buy" and MIDD as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 16.2% upside for FSS (target: $140) vs 11.7% for MIDD (target: $177). FSS is the only dividend payer here at 0.46% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $140.00 | $176.67 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 11 | 20 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +0.5% | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 12 | 3 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.55 | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.5% | +9.8% |
FSS leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). MIDD leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 1 tied.
FSS vs MIDD: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is FSS or MIDD a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Federal Signal Corporation (FSS) is the stronger pick with 17.
1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -17. 4% for The Middleby Corporation (MIDD). Federal Signal Corporation (FSS) offers the better valuation at 30. 0x trailing P/E (25. 2x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Federal Signal Corporation (FSS) a "Buy" — based on 11 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — FSS or MIDD?
On forward P/E, The Middleby Corporation is actually cheaper at 17.
0x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — FSS or MIDD?
Over the past 5 years, Federal Signal Corporation (FSS) delivered a total return of +184.
8%, compared to -13. 5% for The Middleby Corporation (MIDD). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: FSS returned +862. 0% versus MIDD's +46. 1%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — FSS or MIDD?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Federal Signal Corporation (FSS) is the lower-risk stock at 1.
20β versus The Middleby Corporation's 1. 22β — meaning MIDD is approximately 1% more volatile than FSS relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Federal Signal Corporation (FSS) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 43% versus 78% for The Middleby Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — FSS or MIDD?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Federal Signal Corporation (FSS) is pulling ahead at 17.
1% versus -17. 4% for The Middleby Corporation (MIDD). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Federal Signal Corporation grew EPS 14. 6% year-over-year, compared to -168. 1% for The Middleby Corporation. Over a 3-year CAGR, FSS leads at 15. 0% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — FSS or MIDD?
Federal Signal Corporation (FSS) is the more profitable company, earning 11.
3% net margin versus -8. 7% for The Middleby Corporation — meaning it keeps 11. 3% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: MIDD leads at 18. 4% versus 16. 4% for FSS. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — MIDD leads at 39. 1%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is FSS or MIDD more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, The Middleby Corporation (MIDD) trades at 17.
0x forward P/E versus 25. 2x for Federal Signal Corporation — 8. 1x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for FSS: 16. 2% to $140. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — FSS or MIDD?
In this comparison, FSS (0.
5% yield) pays a dividend. MIDD does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is FSS or MIDD better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Federal Signal Corporation (FSS) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1.
20), +862. 0% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (FSS: +862. 0%, MIDD: +46. 1%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between FSS and MIDD?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: FSS is a small-cap high-growth stock; MIDD is a small-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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