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GERN vs JNJ
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Drug Manufacturers - General
GERN vs JNJ — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Biotechnology | Drug Manufacturers - General |
| Market Cap | $1000M | $541.31B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $196M | $92.15B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-70M | $25.12B |
| Gross Margin | 61.0% | 68.1% |
| Operating Margin | -18.9% | 26.1% |
| Forward P/E | — | 19.4x |
| Total Debt | $252M | $36.63B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $79M | $24.11B |
GERN vs JNJ — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Geron Corporation (GERN) | 100 | 96.9 | -3.1% |
| Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) | 100 | 151.0 | +51.0% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: GERN vs JNJ
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
GERN is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure.
- Rev growth 138.8%, EPS growth 51.9%, 3Y rev CAGR 5.8%
- 138.8% revenue growth vs JNJ's 4.3%
JNJ carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 36 yrs, beta 0.06, yield 2.2%
- 136.2% 10Y total return vs GERN's -41.6%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.06, Low D/E 51.2%, current ratio 1.11x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 138.8% revenue growth vs JNJ's 4.3% | |
| Quality / Margins | 27.3% margin vs GERN's -35.5% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.06 vs GERN's 1.89, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 2.2% yield; 36-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +48.8% vs GERN's +18.2% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 13.0% ROA vs GERN's -12.7%, ROIC 20.7% vs -11.2% |
GERN vs JNJ — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
GERN vs JNJ — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
JNJ leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
JNJ is the larger business by revenue, generating $92.1B annually — 469.9x GERN's $196M. JNJ is the more profitable business, keeping 27.3% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to GERN's -35.5%. On growth, GERN holds the edge at +30.9% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $196M | $92.1B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$36M | $31.4B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$70M | $25.1B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$126M | $19.1B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +61.0% | +68.1% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -18.9% | +26.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -35.5% | +27.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -64.4% | +20.7% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +30.9% | +6.8% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +66.7% | +91.0% |
Valuation Metrics
GERN leads this category, winning 3 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $1000M | $541.3B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $1.2B | $553.8B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -12.00x | 38.79x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 19.39x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 34.49x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 18.78x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 5.44x | 6.09x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 4.60x | 7.63x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 27.28x |
Profitability & Efficiency
JNJ leads this category, winning 7 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
JNJ delivers a 31.7% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $32 in annual profit, vs $-29 for GERN. JNJ carries lower financial leverage with a 0.51x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to GERN's 1.11x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), JNJ scores 5/9 vs GERN's 2/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -28.9% | +31.7% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -12.7% | +13.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -11.2% | +20.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -11.2% | +17.6% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 2 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.11x | 0.51x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $172M | $12.5B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $79M | $24.1B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $252M | $36.6B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -2.40x | 48.23x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
JNJ leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in JNJ five years ago would be worth $14,803 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $11,642 for GERN. Over the past 12 months, JNJ leads with a +48.8% total return vs GERN's +18.2%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors JNJ at 13.9% vs GERN's -17.2% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +18.2% | +9.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +18.2% | +48.8% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -43.3% | +47.6% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +16.4% | +48.0% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -41.6% | +136.2% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -17.2% | +13.9% |
Risk & Volatility
JNJ leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
JNJ is the less volatile stock with a 0.06 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than GERN's 1.89 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. JNJ currently trades 89.2% from its 52-week high vs GERN's 77.6% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.89x | 0.06x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $2.01 | $251.71 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $1.04 | $146.12 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +77.6% | +89.2% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 55.5 | 38.3 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 17.5M | 7.0M |
Analyst Outlook
JNJ leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates GERN as "Buy" and JNJ as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 277.6% upside for GERN (target: $6) vs 11.0% for JNJ (target: $249). JNJ is the only dividend payer here at 2.17% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $5.89 | $249.27 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 22 | 40 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +2.2% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 36 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $4.87 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +0.4% |
JNJ leads in 5 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). GERN leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics).
GERN vs JNJ: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is GERN or JNJ a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Geron Corporation (GERN) is the stronger pick with 138.
8% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 4. 3% for Johnson & Johnson (JNJ). Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) offers the better valuation at 38. 8x trailing P/E (19. 4x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Geron Corporation (GERN) a "Buy" — based on 22 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — GERN or JNJ?
Over the past 5 years, Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) delivered a total return of +48.
0%, compared to +16. 4% for Geron Corporation (GERN). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: JNJ returned +136. 2% versus GERN's -41. 6%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — GERN or JNJ?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
06β versus Geron Corporation's 1. 89β — meaning GERN is approximately 3219% more volatile than JNJ relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 51% versus 111% for Geron Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — GERN or JNJ?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Geron Corporation (GERN) is pulling ahead at 138.
8% versus 4. 3% for Johnson & Johnson (JNJ). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Geron Corporation grew EPS 51. 9% year-over-year, compared to -57. 8% for Johnson & Johnson. Over a 3-year CAGR, GERN leads at 575. 7% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — GERN or JNJ?
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) is the more profitable company, earning 15.
8% net margin versus -46. 7% for Geron Corporation — meaning it keeps 15. 8% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: JNJ leads at 24. 9% versus -29. 3% for GERN. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — GERN leads at 97. 4%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is GERN or JNJ more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for GERN: 277.
6% to $5. 89.
07Which pays a better dividend — GERN or JNJ?
In this comparison, JNJ (2.
2% yield) pays a dividend. GERN does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
08Is GERN or JNJ better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
06), 2. 2% yield, +136. 2% 10Y return). Geron Corporation (GERN) carries a higher beta of 1. 89 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (JNJ: +136. 2%, GERN: -41. 6%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between GERN and JNJ?
Both stocks operate in the Healthcare sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: GERN is a small-cap high-growth stock; JNJ is a large-cap quality compounder stock. JNJ pays a dividend while GERN does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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