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GES vs GIII
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Apparel - Manufacturers
GES vs GIII — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Apparel - Retail | Apparel - Manufacturers |
| Market Cap | $877M | $1.32B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $3.14B | $2.96B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $80M | $67M |
| Gross Margin | 42.4% | 38.7% |
| Operating Margin | 3.7% | 5.3% |
| Forward P/E | 10.4x | 10.8x |
| Total Debt | $1.42B | $12M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $188M | $407M |
GES vs GIII — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | Jan 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guess', Inc. (GES) | 100 | 175.7 | +75.7% |
| G-III Apparel Group… (GIII) | 100 | 280.3 | +180.3% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: GES vs GIII
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
GES carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 4 yrs, beta 0.82, yield 5.6%
- Rev growth 7.9%, EPS growth -75.1%, 3Y rev CAGR 4.9%
- 56.6% 10Y total return vs GIII's -27.0%
In this particular matchup, GIII is outpaced on most metrics by others in the set.
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 7.9% revenue growth vs GIII's -7.0% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (10.4x vs 10.8x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 2.6% margin vs GIII's 2.3% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.82 vs GIII's 1.08 | |
| Dividends | 5.6% yield; 4-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +57.5% vs GIII's +21.0% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 2.7% ROA vs GIII's 2.6%, ROIC 7.8% vs 7.5% |
GES vs GIII — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
GES vs GIII — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
GES leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
GES and GIII operate at a comparable scale, with $3.1B and $3.0B in trailing revenue. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 2.6% (GES) to 2.3% (GIII). On growth, GES holds the edge at +7.2% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $3.1B | $3.0B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $150M | $186M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $80M | $67M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $123M | $44M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +42.4% | +38.7% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +3.7% | +5.3% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +2.6% | +2.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +3.9% | +1.5% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +7.2% | -8.1% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +2.0% | -169.7% |
Valuation Metrics
GIII leads this category, winning 3 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 20.7x trailing earnings, GIII trades at a 5% valuation discount to GES's 21.8x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, GIII's 5.0x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than GES's 8.7x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $877M | $1.3B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $2.1B | $926M |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 21.83x | 20.73x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 10.38x | 10.79x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 0.80x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 8.72x | 4.99x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.29x | 0.45x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 2.09x | 0.79x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 24.63x | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
GES leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
GES delivers a 14.2% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $14 in annual profit, vs $4 for GIII. GIII carries lower financial leverage with a 0.01x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to GES's 2.58x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), GES scores 5/9 vs GIII's 3/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +14.2% | +3.9% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +2.7% | +2.6% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +7.8% | +7.5% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +9.3% | +6.1% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 3 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 2.58x | 0.01x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $1.2B | -$395M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $188M | $407M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $1.4B | $12M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 3.90x | 275.62x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
GIII leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in GIII five years ago would be worth $9,133 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $8,055 for GES. Over the past 12 months, GES leads with a +57.5% total return vs GIII's +21.0%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors GIII at 24.8% vs GES's 6.9% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +0.1% | +6.4% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +57.5% | +21.0% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +22.1% | +94.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -19.5% | -8.7% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +56.6% | -27.0% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +6.9% | +24.8% |
Risk & Volatility
GES leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
GES is the less volatile stock with a 0.82 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than GIII's 1.08 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. GES currently trades 98.0% from its 52-week high vs GIII's 89.9% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.82x | 1.08x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $17.15 | $34.83 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $10.29 | $20.33 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +98.0% | +89.9% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 54.4 | 62.9 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 9.1M | 522K |
Analyst Outlook
GES leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates GES as "Hold" and GIII as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 55.8% upside for GES (target: $26) vs 7.8% for GIII (target: $34). GES is the only dividend payer here at 5.57% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $26.19 | $33.75 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 32 | 29 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +5.6% | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 4 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.94 | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +6.9% | 0.0% |
GES leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). GIII leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Total Returns).
GES vs GIII: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is GES or GIII a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Guess', Inc.
(GES) is the stronger pick with 7. 9% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -7. 0% for G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. (GIII). G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. (GIII) offers the better valuation at 20. 7x trailing P/E (10. 8x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. (GIII) a "Buy" — based on 29 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — GES or GIII?
On trailing P/E, G-III Apparel Group, Ltd.
(GIII) is the cheapest at 20. 7x versus Guess', Inc. at 21. 8x. On forward P/E, Guess', Inc. is actually cheaper at 10. 4x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — GES or GIII?
Over the past 5 years, G-III Apparel Group, Ltd.
(GIII) delivered a total return of -8. 7%, compared to -19. 5% for Guess', Inc. (GES). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: GES returned +56. 6% versus GIII's -27. 0%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — GES or GIII?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Guess', Inc.
(GES) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 82β versus G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. 's 1. 08β — meaning GIII is approximately 31% more volatile than GES relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. (GIII) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 1% versus 3% for Guess', Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — GES or GIII?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Guess', Inc.
(GES) is pulling ahead at 7. 9% versus -7. 0% for G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. (GIII). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. grew EPS -64. 0% year-over-year, compared to -75. 1% for Guess', Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, GES leads at 4. 9% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — GES or GIII?
G-III Apparel Group, Ltd.
(GIII) is the more profitable company, earning 2. 3% net margin versus 2. 0% for Guess', Inc. — meaning it keeps 2. 3% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: GES leads at 5. 8% versus 5. 3% for GIII. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — GES leads at 43. 4%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is GES or GIII more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Guess', Inc.
(GES) trades at 10. 4x forward P/E versus 10. 8x for G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. — 0. 4x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for GES: 55. 8% to $26. 19.
08Which pays a better dividend — GES or GIII?
In this comparison, GES (5.
6% yield) pays a dividend. GIII does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is GES or GIII better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Guess', Inc.
(GES) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 82), 5. 6% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (GES: +56. 6%, GIII: -27. 0%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between GES and GIII?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: GES is a small-cap income-oriented stock; GIII is a small-cap quality compounder stock. GES pays a dividend while GIII does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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