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GPK vs NEM
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Gold
GPK vs NEM — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Packaging & Containers | Gold |
| Market Cap | $3.15B | $129.09B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $8.65B | $17.23B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $274M | $5.26B |
| Gross Margin | 13.4% | 52.1% |
| Operating Margin | 7.5% | 49.3% |
| Forward P/E | 12.5x | 11.2x |
| Total Debt | $5.57B | $474M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $261M | $7.65B |
GPK vs NEM — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Graphic Packaging H… (GPK) | 100 | 73.5 | -26.5% |
| Newmont Corporation (NEM) | 100 | 199.3 | +99.3% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: GPK vs NEM
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
GPK is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and valuation efficiency.
- Dividend streak 3 yrs, beta 0.95, yield 4.1%
- PEG 0.63 vs NEM's 0.87
- PEG 0.63 vs 0.87
NEM carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 19.1%, EPS growth 124.1%, 3Y rev CAGR 22.7%
- 302.6% 10Y total return vs GPK's 9.6%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.86, Low D/E 1.4%, current ratio 1.72x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 19.1% revenue growth vs GPK's -2.2% | |
| Value | PEG 0.63 vs 0.87 | |
| Quality / Margins | 30.5% margin vs GPK's 3.2% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.86 vs GPK's 0.95, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 4.1% yield, 3-year raise streak, vs NEM's 0.9% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +122.4% vs GPK's -50.4% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 9.4% ROA vs GPK's 2.3%, ROIC 24.9% vs 7.7% |
GPK vs NEM — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
GPK vs NEM — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NEM leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NEM is the larger business by revenue, generating $17.2B annually — 2.0x GPK's $8.7B. NEM is the more profitable business, keeping 30.5% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to GPK's 3.2%. On growth, GPK holds the edge at +1.7% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $8.7B | $17.2B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $1.1B | $12.7B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $274M | $5.3B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $293M | $12.9B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +13.4% | +52.1% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +7.5% | +49.3% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +3.2% | +30.5% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +3.4% | +75.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +1.7% | -100.0% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -133.3% | -100.0% |
Valuation Metrics
GPK leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 7.2x trailing earnings, GPK trades at a 60% valuation discount to NEM's 18.2x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), GPK offers better value at 0.36x vs NEM's 1.42x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $3.1B | $129.1B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $8.5B | $121.9B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 7.18x | 18.18x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 12.46x | 11.17x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.36x | 1.42x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 6.02x | 9.29x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.36x | 5.84x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.95x | 3.79x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 17.69x |
Profitability & Efficiency
NEM leads this category, winning 9 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
NEM delivers a 15.6% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $16 in annual profit, vs $8 for GPK. NEM carries lower financial leverage with a 0.01x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to GPK's 1.67x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), NEM scores 9/9 vs GPK's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +8.4% | +15.6% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +2.3% | +9.4% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +7.7% | +24.9% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +9.3% | +20.7% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 9 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.67x | 0.01x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $5.3B | -$7.2B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $261M | $7.6B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $5.6B | $474M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 5.47x | 50.54x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
NEM leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in NEM five years ago would be worth $18,174 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $6,462 for GPK. Over the past 12 months, NEM leads with a +122.4% total return vs GPK's -50.4%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors NEM at 35.4% vs GPK's -22.9% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -29.1% | +15.4% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -50.4% | +122.4% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -54.2% | +148.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -35.4% | +81.7% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +9.6% | +302.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -22.9% | +35.4% |
Risk & Volatility
NEM leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
NEM is the less volatile stock with a 0.86 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than GPK's 0.95 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. NEM currently trades 86.4% from its 52-week high vs GPK's 44.7% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.95x | 0.86x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $23.76 | $134.88 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $8.79 | $48.27 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +44.7% | +86.4% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 65.7 | 51.5 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 7.1M | 9.1M |
Analyst Outlook
GPK leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates GPK as "Buy" and NEM as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 18.0% upside for NEM (target: $138) vs 14.8% for GPK (target: $12). For income investors, GPK offers the higher dividend yield at 4.06% vs NEM's 0.86%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $12.20 | $137.50 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 27 | 36 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +4.1% | +0.9% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 3 | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.43 | $1.00 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +5.9% | +1.8% |
NEM leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). GPK leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Analyst Outlook).
GPK vs NEM: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is GPK or NEM a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Newmont Corporation (NEM) is the stronger pick with 19.
1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -2. 2% for Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK). Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) offers the better valuation at 7. 2x trailing P/E (12. 5x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) a "Buy" — based on 27 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — GPK or NEM?
On trailing P/E, Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) is the cheapest at 7.
2x versus Newmont Corporation at 18. 2x. On forward P/E, Newmont Corporation is actually cheaper at 11. 2x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Graphic Packaging Holding Company wins at 0. 63x versus Newmont Corporation's 0. 87x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — GPK or NEM?
Over the past 5 years, Newmont Corporation (NEM) delivered a total return of +81.
7%, compared to -35. 4% for Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: NEM returned +302. 6% versus GPK's +9. 6%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — GPK or NEM?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Newmont Corporation (NEM) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
86β versus Graphic Packaging Holding Company's 0. 95β — meaning GPK is approximately 10% more volatile than NEM relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Newmont Corporation (NEM) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 1% versus 167% for Graphic Packaging Holding Company — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — GPK or NEM?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Newmont Corporation (NEM) is pulling ahead at 19.
1% versus -2. 2% for Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Newmont Corporation grew EPS 124. 1% year-over-year, compared to -31. 5% for Graphic Packaging Holding Company. Over a 3-year CAGR, NEM leads at 22. 7% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — GPK or NEM?
Newmont Corporation (NEM) is the more profitable company, earning 32.
1% net margin versus 5. 2% for Graphic Packaging Holding Company — meaning it keeps 32. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: NEM leads at 46. 9% versus 10. 1% for GPK. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — NEM leads at 49. 8%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is GPK or NEM more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 63x versus Newmont Corporation's 0. 87x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Newmont Corporation (NEM) trades at 11. 2x forward P/E versus 12. 5x for Graphic Packaging Holding Company — 1. 3x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for NEM: 18. 0% to $137. 50.
08Which pays a better dividend — GPK or NEM?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) offers the highest yield at 4. 1%, versus 0. 9% for Newmont Corporation (NEM).
09Is GPK or NEM better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Newmont Corporation (NEM) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
86), 0. 9% yield, +302. 6% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (NEM: +302. 6%, GPK: +9. 6%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between GPK and NEM?
These companies operate in different sectors (GPK (Consumer Cyclical) and NEM (Basic Materials)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: GPK is a small-cap deep-value stock; NEM is a mid-cap high-growth stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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