Packaging & Containers
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GPK vs SON
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Packaging & Containers
GPK vs SON — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Packaging & Containers | Packaging & Containers |
| Market Cap | $3.15B | $5.09B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $8.65B | $7.49B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $274M | $1.04B |
| Gross Margin | 13.4% | 20.9% |
| Operating Margin | 7.5% | 8.7% |
| Forward P/E | 12.5x | 8.9x |
| Total Debt | $5.57B | $4.85B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $261M | $378M |
GPK vs SON — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Graphic Packaging H… (GPK) | 100 | 73.5 | -26.5% |
| Sonoco Products Com… (SON) | 100 | 99.5 | -0.5% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: GPK vs SON
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
GPK is the clearest fit if your priority is defensive.
- Beta 0.95, yield 4.1%, current ratio 1.30x
- 4.1% yield, 3-year raise streak, vs SON's 4.1%
SON carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 30 yrs, beta 0.53, yield 4.1%
- Rev growth 41.7%, EPS growth 141.2%, 3Y rev CAGR 8.7%
- 49.4% 10Y total return vs GPK's 9.6%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 41.7% revenue growth vs GPK's -2.2% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (8.9x vs 12.5x), PEG 0.62 vs 0.63 | |
| Quality / Margins | 13.8% margin vs GPK's 3.2% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.53 vs GPK's 0.95, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 4.1% yield, 3-year raise streak, vs SON's 4.1% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +20.4% vs GPK's -50.4% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 9.0% ROA vs GPK's 2.3%, ROIC 6.2% vs 7.7% |
GPK vs SON — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
GPK vs SON — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
SON leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
GPK and SON operate at a comparable scale, with $8.7B and $7.5B in trailing revenue. SON is the more profitable business, keeping 13.8% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to GPK's 3.2%. On growth, GPK holds the edge at +1.7% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $8.7B | $7.5B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $1.1B | $1.2B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $274M | $1.0B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $293M | $266M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +13.4% | +20.9% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +7.5% | +8.7% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +3.2% | +13.8% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +3.4% | +3.6% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +1.7% | -1.9% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -133.3% | +23.6% |
Valuation Metrics
GPK leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 7.2x trailing earnings, GPK trades at a 45% valuation discount to SON's 13.0x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), GPK offers better value at 0.36x vs SON's 0.91x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $3.1B | $5.1B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $8.5B | $9.6B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 7.18x | 12.95x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 12.46x | 8.86x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.36x | 0.91x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 6.02x | 7.76x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.36x | 0.68x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.95x | 1.41x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 12.95x |
Profitability & Efficiency
SON leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
SON delivers a 30.0% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $30 in annual profit, vs $8 for GPK. SON carries lower financial leverage with a 1.34x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to GPK's 1.67x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), SON scores 7/9 vs GPK's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +8.4% | +30.0% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +2.3% | +9.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +7.7% | +6.2% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +9.3% | +8.3% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.67x | 1.34x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $5.3B | $4.5B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $261M | $378M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $5.6B | $4.9B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 5.47x | 4.60x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
SON leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in SON five years ago would be worth $9,000 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $6,462 for GPK. Over the past 12 months, SON leads with a +20.4% total return vs GPK's -50.4%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors SON at -0.8% vs GPK's -22.9% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -29.1% | +18.6% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -50.4% | +20.4% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -54.2% | -2.5% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -35.4% | -10.0% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +9.6% | +49.4% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -22.9% | -0.8% |
Risk & Volatility
SON leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
SON is the less volatile stock with a 0.53 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than GPK's 0.95 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. SON currently trades 88.2% from its 52-week high vs GPK's 44.7% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.95x | 0.53x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $23.76 | $58.43 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $8.79 | $38.65 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +44.7% | +88.2% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 65.7 | 48.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 7.1M | 1.1M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — GPK and SON each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates GPK as "Buy" and SON as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 14.8% upside for GPK (target: $12) vs 14.4% for SON (target: $59). For income investors, GPK offers the higher dividend yield at 4.06% vs SON's 4.05%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $12.20 | $59.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 27 | 21 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +4.1% | +4.1% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 3 | 30 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.43 | $2.09 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +5.9% | +0.2% |
SON leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). GPK leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 1 tied.
GPK vs SON: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is GPK or SON a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Sonoco Products Company (SON) is the stronger pick with 41.
7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -2. 2% for Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK). Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) offers the better valuation at 7. 2x trailing P/E (12. 5x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) a "Buy" — based on 27 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — GPK or SON?
On trailing P/E, Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) is the cheapest at 7.
2x versus Sonoco Products Company at 13. 0x. On forward P/E, Sonoco Products Company is actually cheaper at 8. 9x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Sonoco Products Company wins at 0. 62x versus Graphic Packaging Holding Company's 0. 63x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — GPK or SON?
Over the past 5 years, Sonoco Products Company (SON) delivered a total return of -10.
0%, compared to -35. 4% for Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: SON returned +49. 4% versus GPK's +9. 6%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — GPK or SON?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Sonoco Products Company (SON) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
53β versus Graphic Packaging Holding Company's 0. 95β — meaning GPK is approximately 78% more volatile than SON relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Sonoco Products Company (SON) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 134% versus 167% for Graphic Packaging Holding Company — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — GPK or SON?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Sonoco Products Company (SON) is pulling ahead at 41.
7% versus -2. 2% for Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Sonoco Products Company grew EPS 141. 2% year-over-year, compared to -31. 5% for Graphic Packaging Holding Company. Over a 3-year CAGR, SON leads at 8. 7% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — GPK or SON?
Sonoco Products Company (SON) is the more profitable company, earning 5.
3% net margin versus 5. 2% for Graphic Packaging Holding Company — meaning it keeps 5. 3% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: GPK leads at 10. 1% versus 9. 5% for SON. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — SON leads at 20. 9%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is GPK or SON more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Sonoco Products Company (SON) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 62x versus Graphic Packaging Holding Company's 0. 63x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Sonoco Products Company (SON) trades at 8. 9x forward P/E versus 12. 5x for Graphic Packaging Holding Company — 3. 6x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for GPK: 14. 8% to $12. 20.
08Which pays a better dividend — GPK or SON?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) offers the highest yield at 4. 1%, versus 4. 1% for Sonoco Products Company (SON).
09Is GPK or SON better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Sonoco Products Company (SON) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
53), 4. 1% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (SON: +49. 4%, GPK: +9. 6%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between GPK and SON?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: GPK is a small-cap deep-value stock; SON is a small-cap high-growth stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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