Integrated Freight & Logistics
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GXO vs SPIR
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Specialty Business Services
GXO vs SPIR — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Integrated Freight & Logistics | Specialty Business Services |
| Market Cap | $5.97B | $529.86B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $13.50B | $72M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $128M | $-25.02B |
| Gross Margin | 12.7% | 40.8% |
| Operating Margin | 3.1% | -121.4% |
| Forward P/E | 17.2x | 10.0x |
| Total Debt | $7.90B | $8.76B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $854M | $24.81B |
GXO vs SPIR — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Jul 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| GXO Logistics, Inc. (GXO) | 100 | 89.4 | -10.6% |
| Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR) | 100 | 20.2 | -79.8% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: GXO vs SPIR
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
GXO carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- beta 1.45
- Rev growth 12.5%, EPS growth -75.0%, 3Y rev CAGR 13.6%
- -4.8% 10Y total return vs SPIR's -78.8%
SPIR is the clearest fit if your priority is value and momentum.
- Lower P/E (10.0x vs 17.2x)
- +73.1% vs GXO's +36.2%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 12.5% revenue growth vs SPIR's -35.2% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (10.0x vs 17.2x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 0.9% margin vs SPIR's -349.6% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.45 vs SPIR's 2.93 | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +73.1% vs GXO's +36.2% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 1.1% ROA vs SPIR's -47.3%, ROIC 3.6% vs -0.1% |
GXO vs SPIR — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
GXO vs SPIR — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
GXO leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
GXO is the larger business by revenue, generating $13.5B annually — 188.7x SPIR's $72M. GXO is the more profitable business, keeping 0.9% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to SPIR's -349.6%. On growth, GXO holds the edge at +10.8% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $13.5B | $72M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $886M | -$74M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $128M | -$25.0B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $428M | -$16.2B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +12.7% | +40.8% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +3.1% | -121.4% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +0.9% | -349.6% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +3.2% | -227.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +10.8% | -26.9% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +104.3% | +59.5% |
Valuation Metrics
GXO leads this category, winning 2 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 10.0x trailing earnings, SPIR trades at a 95% valuation discount to GXO's 185.3x P/E.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $6.0B | $529.9B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $13.0B | $513.8B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 185.29x | 10.01x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 17.24x | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 14.75x | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.45x | 7405.21x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 2.00x | 4.56x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 9999.00x | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
GXO leads this category, winning 5 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
GXO delivers a 4.3% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $4 in annual profit, vs $-88 for SPIR. SPIR carries lower financial leverage with a 0.08x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to GXO's 2.62x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +4.3% | -88.4% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +1.1% | -47.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +3.6% | -0.1% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +5.2% | -0.1% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 2.62x | 0.08x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $7.0B | -$16.1B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $854M | $24.8B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $7.9B | $8.8B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 3.51x | 9.20x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
SPIR leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in GXO five years ago would be worth $9,519 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $2,035 for SPIR. Over the past 12 months, SPIR leads with a +73.1% total return vs GXO's +36.2%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors SPIR at 43.9% vs GXO's -0.8% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -4.5% | +106.4% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +36.2% | +73.1% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -2.5% | +198.1% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -4.8% | -79.6% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -4.8% | -78.8% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -0.8% | +43.9% |
Risk & Volatility
GXO leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
GXO is the less volatile stock with a 1.45 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than SPIR's 2.93 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. GXO currently trades 77.6% from its 52-week high vs SPIR's 68.3% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.45x | 2.93x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $66.85 | $23.59 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $37.97 | $6.60 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +77.6% | +68.3% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 39.0 | 55.5 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.2M | 1.6M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates GXO as "Buy" and SPIR as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 40.2% upside for GXO (target: $73) vs 7.0% for SPIR (target: $17).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $72.71 | $17.25 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 18 | 12 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +3.4% | 0.0% |
GXO leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). SPIR leads in 1 (Total Returns).
GXO vs SPIR: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is GXO or SPIR a better buy right now?
For growth investors, GXO Logistics, Inc.
(GXO) is the stronger pick with 12. 5% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -35. 2% for Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR). Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR) offers the better valuation at 10. 0x trailing P/E, making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate GXO Logistics, Inc. (GXO) a "Buy" — based on 18 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — GXO or SPIR?
On trailing P/E, Spire Global, Inc.
(SPIR) is the cheapest at 10. 0x versus GXO Logistics, Inc. at 185. 3x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — GXO or SPIR?
Over the past 5 years, GXO Logistics, Inc.
(GXO) delivered a total return of -4. 8%, compared to -79. 6% for Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: GXO returned -4. 8% versus SPIR's -78. 8%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — GXO or SPIR?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), GXO Logistics, Inc.
(GXO) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 45β versus Spire Global, Inc. 's 2. 93β — meaning SPIR is approximately 102% more volatile than GXO relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 8% versus 3% for GXO Logistics, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — GXO or SPIR?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), GXO Logistics, Inc.
(GXO) is pulling ahead at 12. 5% versus -35. 2% for Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Spire Global, Inc. grew EPS 137. 8% year-over-year, compared to -75. 0% for GXO Logistics, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, GXO leads at 13. 6% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — GXO or SPIR?
Spire Global, Inc.
(SPIR) is the more profitable company, earning 71. 7% net margin versus 0. 2% for GXO Logistics, Inc. — meaning it keeps 71. 7% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: GXO leads at 3. 2% versus -121. 4% for SPIR. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — SPIR leads at 40. 8%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is GXO or SPIR more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for GXO: 40.
2% to $72. 71.
08Which pays a better dividend — GXO or SPIR?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
09Is GXO or SPIR better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, GXO Logistics, Inc.
(GXO) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding. Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR) carries a higher beta of 2. 93 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (GXO: -4. 8%, SPIR: -78. 8%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between GXO and SPIR?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: GXO is a small-cap quality compounder stock; SPIR is a large-cap deep-value stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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