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HLP vs NUE vs STLD vs CMC
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Steel
Steel
Steel
HLP vs NUE vs STLD vs CMC — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Steel | Steel | Steel | Steel |
| Market Cap | $62M | $51.64B | $33.75B | $7.83B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $30M | $34.16B | $19.01B | $8.01B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-1M | $2.33B | $1.37B | $438M |
| Gross Margin | 32.4% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 16.5% |
| Operating Margin | -1.9% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.5% |
| Forward P/E | — | 16.2x | 15.6x | 10.8x |
| Total Debt | $9M | $7.12B | $4.21B | $1.35B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $910K | $2.26B | $770M | $1.04B |
HLP vs NUE vs STLD vs CMC — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Mar 23 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hongli Group Inc. (HLP) | 100 | 24.2 | -75.8% |
| Nucor Corporation (NUE) | 100 | 146.8 | +46.8% |
| Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD) | 100 | 206.0 | +106.0% |
| Commercial Metals C… (CMC) | 100 | 144.2 | +44.2% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: HLP vs NUE vs STLD vs CMC
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
HLP is the clearest fit if your priority is sleep-well-at-night.
- Lower volatility, beta 0.81, Low D/E 17.5%, current ratio 1.45x
- Beta 0.81 vs CMC's 1.53, lower leverage
NUE has the current edge in this matchup, primarily because of its strength in income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 15 yrs, beta 1.03, yield 1.0%
- Rev growth 5.7%, EPS growth -11.1%, 3Y rev CAGR -7.8%
- Beta 1.03, yield 1.0%, current ratio 2.94x
- 5.7% revenue growth vs HLP's -11.8%
STLD is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if long-term compounding and valuation efficiency is your priority.
- 9.4% 10Y total return vs NUE's 426.7%
- PEG 0.62 vs NUE's 0.62
- 7.2% margin vs HLP's -3.4%
- 8.5% ROA vs HLP's -1.6%, ROIC 9.2% vs -2.6%
CMC is the clearest fit if your priority is value and dividends.
- Lower P/E (10.8x vs 16.2x)
- 1.0% yield, 4-year raise streak, vs NUE's 1.0%, (1 stock pays no dividend)
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 5.7% revenue growth vs HLP's -11.8% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (10.8x vs 16.2x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 7.2% margin vs HLP's -3.4% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.81 vs CMC's 1.53, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 1.0% yield, 4-year raise streak, vs NUE's 1.0%, (1 stock pays no dividend) | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +98.8% vs HLP's -31.6% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 8.5% ROA vs HLP's -1.6%, ROIC 9.2% vs -2.6% |
HLP vs NUE vs STLD vs CMC — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
HLP vs NUE vs STLD vs CMC — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
STLD leads in 2 of 6 categories
NUE leads 1 • CMC leads 1 • HLP leads 0 • 2 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NUE leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NUE is the larger business by revenue, generating $34.2B annually — 1134.7x HLP's $30M. STLD is the more profitable business, keeping 7.2% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to HLP's -3.4%. On growth, NUE holds the edge at +21.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $30M | $34.2B | $19.0B | $8.0B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $1M | $4.9B | $2.4B | $890M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$1M | $2.3B | $1.4B | $438M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$2M | $532M | $665M | $296M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +32.4% | +14.0% | +14.0% | +16.5% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -1.9% | +10.0% | +9.4% | +7.5% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -3.4% | +6.8% | +7.2% | +5.5% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -6.4% | +1.6% | +3.5% | +3.7% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +0.9% | +21.3% | +19.1% | +11.0% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | — | +3.8% | +93.1% | +2.0% |
Valuation Metrics
CMC leads this category, winning 4 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 29.2x trailing earnings, STLD trades at a 69% valuation discount to CMC's 95.3x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), STLD offers better value at 1.15x vs NUE's 1.16x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $62M | $51.6B | $33.7B | $7.8B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $70M | $56.5B | $37.2B | $8.1B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -32.85x | 30.15x | 29.15x | 95.27x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 16.15x | 15.64x | 10.77x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 1.16x | 1.15x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 13.65x | 18.34x | 10.10x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 4.38x | 1.59x | 1.86x | 1.00x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.15x | 2.37x | 3.87x | 1.92x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — | 67.29x | 25.06x |
Profitability & Efficiency
STLD leads this category, winning 4 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
STLD delivers a 15.3% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $15 in annual profit, vs $-2 for HLP. HLP carries lower financial leverage with a 0.18x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to STLD's 0.47x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), NUE scores 7/9 vs HLP's 3/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -1.9% | +10.6% | +15.3% | +10.1% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -1.6% | +6.7% | +8.5% | +4.7% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -2.6% | +7.7% | +9.2% | +8.5% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -3.9% | +8.9% | +10.9% | +8.7% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 4 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.18x | 0.32x | 0.47x | 0.32x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $8M | $4.9B | $3.4B | $311M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $909,716 | $2.3B | $770M | $1.0B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $9M | $7.1B | $4.2B | $1.4B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -0.00x | 29.72x | 20.39x | 9.84x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
STLD leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in STLD five years ago would be worth $38,057 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $2,403 for HLP. Over the past 12 months, NUE leads with a +98.8% total return vs HLP's -31.6%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors STLD at 34.6% vs HLP's -29.5% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -17.2% | +34.2% | +32.6% | -1.3% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -31.6% | +98.8% | +79.8% | +58.2% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -65.0% | +64.7% | +143.7% | +63.7% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -76.0% | +140.0% | +280.6% | +127.3% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -76.0% | +426.7% | +940.9% | +356.4% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -29.5% | +18.1% | +34.6% | +17.9% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — HLP and NUE each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
HLP is the less volatile stock with a 0.81 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than CMC's 1.53 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. NUE currently trades 96.3% from its 52-week high vs HLP's 46.2% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.81x | 1.03x | 1.32x | 1.53x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $1.82 | $235.44 | $243.72 | $84.87 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $0.61 | $106.21 | $119.89 | $44.67 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +46.2% | +96.3% | +95.6% | +83.1% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 45.5 | 85.9 | 81.6 | 63.2 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 164K | 1.4M | 1.1M | 1.1M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — NUE and STLD and CMC each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: NUE as "Buy", STLD as "Buy", CMC as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 17.4% upside for CMC (target: $83) vs -19.1% for STLD (target: $188). For income investors, CMC offers the higher dividend yield at 1.01% vs STLD's 0.84%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | — | Buy | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | $222.83 | $188.40 | $82.75 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | — | 32 | 27 | 26 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +1.0% | +0.8% | +1.0% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 15 | 15 | 4 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $2.22 | $1.96 | $0.71 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +1.4% | +2.7% | +2.7% |
STLD leads in 2 of 6 categories (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns). NUE leads in 1 (Income & Cash Flow). 2 tied.
HLP vs NUE vs STLD vs CMC: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is HLP or NUE or STLD or CMC a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Nucor Corporation (NUE) is the stronger pick with 5.
7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -11. 8% for Hongli Group Inc. (HLP). Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD) offers the better valuation at 29. 2x trailing P/E (15. 6x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Nucor Corporation (NUE) a "Buy" — based on 32 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — HLP or NUE or STLD or CMC?
On trailing P/E, Steel Dynamics, Inc.
(STLD) is the cheapest at 29. 2x versus Commercial Metals Company at 95. 3x. On forward P/E, Commercial Metals Company is actually cheaper at 10. 8x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Steel Dynamics, Inc. wins at 0. 62x versus Nucor Corporation's 0. 62x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — HLP or NUE or STLD or CMC?
Over the past 5 years, Steel Dynamics, Inc.
(STLD) delivered a total return of +280. 6%, compared to -76. 0% for Hongli Group Inc. (HLP). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: STLD returned +940. 9% versus HLP's -76. 0%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — HLP or NUE or STLD or CMC?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Hongli Group Inc.
(HLP) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 81β versus Commercial Metals Company's 1. 53β — meaning CMC is approximately 88% more volatile than HLP relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Hongli Group Inc. (HLP) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 18% versus 47% for Steel Dynamics, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — HLP or NUE or STLD or CMC?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Nucor Corporation (NUE) is pulling ahead at 5.
7% versus -11. 8% for Hongli Group Inc. (HLP). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Nucor Corporation grew EPS -11. 1% year-over-year, compared to -134. 8% for Hongli Group Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, CMC leads at -4. 4% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — HLP or NUE or STLD or CMC?
Steel Dynamics, Inc.
(STLD) is the more profitable company, earning 6. 5% net margin versus -13. 3% for Hongli Group Inc. — meaning it keeps 6. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: NUE leads at 8. 2% versus -11. 2% for HLP. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — HLP leads at 32. 0%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is HLP or NUE or STLD or CMC more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 62x versus Nucor Corporation's 0. 62x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Commercial Metals Company (CMC) trades at 10. 8x forward P/E versus 16. 2x for Nucor Corporation — 5. 4x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for CMC: 17. 4% to $82. 75.
08Which pays a better dividend — HLP or NUE or STLD or CMC?
In this comparison, CMC (1.
0% yield), NUE (1. 0% yield), STLD (0. 8% yield) pay a dividend. HLP does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is HLP or NUE or STLD or CMC better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Steel Dynamics, Inc.
(STLD) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (0. 8% yield, +940. 9% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (STLD: +940. 9%, HLP: -76. 0%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between HLP and NUE and STLD and CMC?
Both stocks operate in the Basic Materials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
NUE, STLD, CMC pay a dividend while HLP does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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