Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
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HPK vs SOC
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Oil & Gas Drilling
HPK vs SOC — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Oil & Gas Exploration & Production | Oil & Gas Drilling |
| Market Cap | $706M | $1.84T |
| Revenue (TTM) | $813M | $1M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $19M | $-498M |
| Gross Margin | 22.5% | -8.7% |
| Operating Margin | 18.5% | -367.6% |
| Forward P/E | 43.0x | 7.5x |
| Total Debt | $1.19B | $0.00 |
| Cash & Equiv. | $162M | $98M |
HPK vs SOC — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Apr 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| HighPeak Energy, In… (HPK) | 100 | 58.2 | -41.8% |
| Sable Offshore Corp. (SOC) | 100 | 132.5 | +32.5% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: HPK vs SOC
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
HPK carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 3 yrs, beta 0.25, yield 3.3%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.25, Low D/E 74.9%, current ratio 1.13x
- Beta 0.25, yield 3.3%, current ratio 1.13x
SOC is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- EPS growth 40.6%
- 32.4% 10Y total return vs HPK's -35.7%
- 9.5% revenue growth vs HPK's -19.3%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 9.5% revenue growth vs HPK's -19.3% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (7.5x vs 43.0x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 2.3% margin vs SOC's -391.5% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.25 vs SOC's 1.51 | |
| Dividends | 3.3% yield; 3-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | -29.7% vs SOC's -36.8% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 0.6% ROA vs SOC's -28.9%, ROIC 4.3% vs -44.6% |
HPK vs SOC — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
HPK vs SOC — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
HPK leads this category, winning 4 of 5 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
HPK is the larger business by revenue, generating $813M annually — 639.3x SOC's $1M. HPK is the more profitable business, keeping 2.3% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to SOC's -391.5%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $813M | $1M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $572M | -$454M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $19M | -$498M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $46M | -$611M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +22.5% | -8.7% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +18.5% | -367.6% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +2.3% | -391.5% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +5.6% | -480.4% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -29.4% | — |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -4.3% | -5.4% |
Valuation Metrics
Evenly matched — HPK and SOC each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $706M | $1.84T |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $1.7B | $1.84T |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 43.00x | -3.07x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 7.50x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 3.03x | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.82x | — |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.44x | 2359.43x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
HPK leads this category, winning 6 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
HPK delivers a 1.2% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $1 in annual profit, vs $-114 for SOC. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), HPK scores 5/9 vs SOC's 2/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +1.2% | -113.8% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +0.6% | -28.9% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +4.3% | -44.6% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +5.1% | -37.5% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 2 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.75x | — |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $1.0B | -$98M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $162M | $98M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $1.2B | $0 |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 1.01x | -2.28x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
SOC leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in SOC five years ago would be worth $13,264 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $6,428 for HPK. Over the past 12 months, HPK leads with a -29.7% total return vs SOC's -36.8%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors SOC at 8.2% vs HPK's -28.6% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +25.1% | +9.5% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -29.7% | -36.8% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -63.7% | +26.5% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -35.7% | +32.6% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -35.7% | +32.4% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -28.6% | +8.2% |
Risk & Volatility
HPK leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
HPK is the less volatile stock with a 0.25 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than SOC's 1.51 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. HPK currently trades 46.6% from its 52-week high vs SOC's 36.7% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.25x | 1.51x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $12.00 | $35.00 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $3.85 | $3.72 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +46.6% | +36.7% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 46.8 | 45.8 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.1M | 5.4M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates HPK as "Buy" and SOC as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 114.7% upside for HPK (target: $12) vs 110.3% for SOC (target: $27). HPK is the only dividend payer here at 3.29% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $12.00 | $27.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 4 | 4 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +3.3% | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 3 | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.18 | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
HPK leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). SOC leads in 1 (Total Returns). 1 tied.
HPK vs SOC: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is HPK or SOC a better buy right now?
HighPeak Energy, Inc.
(HPK) offers the better valuation at 43. 0x trailing P/E, making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK) a "Buy" — based on 4 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — HPK or SOC?
Over the past 5 years, Sable Offshore Corp.
(SOC) delivered a total return of +32. 6%, compared to -35. 7% for HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: SOC returned +32. 4% versus HPK's -35. 7%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — HPK or SOC?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), HighPeak Energy, Inc.
(HPK) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 25β versus Sable Offshore Corp. 's 1. 51β — meaning SOC is approximately 509% more volatile than HPK relative to the S&P 500.
04Which is growing faster — HPK or SOC?
On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Sable Offshore Corp.
grew EPS 40. 6% year-over-year, compared to -80. 6% for HighPeak Energy, Inc.. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — HPK or SOC?
HighPeak Energy, Inc.
(HPK) is the more profitable company, earning 2. 2% net margin versus -391. 5% for Sable Offshore Corp. — meaning it keeps 2. 2% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: HPK leads at 17. 4% versus -367. 6% for SOC. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — HPK leads at 20. 7%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is HPK or SOC more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for HPK: 114.
7% to $12. 00.
07Which pays a better dividend — HPK or SOC?
In this comparison, HPK (3.
3% yield) pays a dividend. SOC does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
08Is HPK or SOC better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, HighPeak Energy, Inc.
(HPK) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 25), 3. 3% yield). Sable Offshore Corp. (SOC) carries a higher beta of 1. 51 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (HPK: -35. 7%, SOC: +32. 4%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between HPK and SOC?
Both stocks operate in the Energy sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: HPK is a small-cap income-oriented stock; SOC is a mega-cap quality compounder stock. HPK pays a dividend while SOC does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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