Industrial - Machinery
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HWM vs TDG
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Aerospace & Defense
HWM vs TDG — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Industrial - Machinery | Aerospace & Defense |
| Market Cap | $102.81B | $69.67B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $8.25B | $9.11B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $1.51B | $1.97B |
| Gross Margin | 30.7% | 59.0% |
| Operating Margin | 25.8% | 46.5% |
| Forward P/E | 55.2x | 31.8x |
| Total Debt | $3.05B | $30.03B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $742M | $2.81B |
HWM vs TDG — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Howmet Aerospace In… (HWM) | 100 | 1960.5 | +1860.5% |
| TransDigm Group Inc… (TDG) | 100 | 290.4 | +190.4% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: HWM vs TDG
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
HWM is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding.
- 10.9% 10Y total return vs TDG's 6.0%
- 0.2% yield, 5-year raise streak, vs TDG's 13.4%
- +64.9% vs TDG's -4.9%
TDG carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 2 yrs, beta 0.79, yield 13.4%
- Rev growth 11.2%, EPS growth 25.2%, 3Y rev CAGR 17.6%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.79, current ratio 3.21x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 11.2% revenue growth vs HWM's 11.1% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (31.8x vs 55.2x), PEG 1.02 vs 1.09 | |
| Quality / Margins | 21.6% margin vs HWM's 18.3% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.79 vs HWM's 0.93 | |
| Dividends | 0.2% yield, 5-year raise streak, vs TDG's 13.4% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +64.9% vs TDG's -4.9% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 13.5% ROA vs TDG's 8.6%, ROIC 21.1% vs 20.9% |
HWM vs TDG — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
HWM vs TDG — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
TDG leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
TDG and HWM operate at a comparable scale, with $9.1B and $8.3B in trailing revenue. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 21.6% (TDG) to 18.3% (HWM).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $8.3B | $9.1B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $2.4B | $4.6B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $1.5B | $2.0B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $1.2B | $1.9B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +30.7% | +59.0% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +25.8% | +46.5% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +18.3% | +21.6% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +14.7% | +20.6% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +14.6% | +13.9% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +19.5% | -13.1% |
Valuation Metrics
TDG leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 38.5x trailing earnings, TDG trades at a 44% valuation discount to HWM's 69.1x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), TDG offers better value at 1.24x vs HWM's 1.37x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $102.8B | $69.7B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $105.1B | $96.9B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 69.12x | 38.46x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 55.20x | 31.79x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 1.37x | 1.24x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 43.56x | 21.38x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 12.46x | 7.89x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 19.45x | — |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 71.85x | 38.36x |
Profitability & Efficiency
HWM leads this category, winning 7 of 7 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), HWM scores 8/9 vs TDG's 6/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +28.2% | — |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +13.5% | +8.6% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +21.1% | +20.9% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +23.2% | +20.8% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 8 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.57x | — |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $2.3B | $27.2B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $742M | $2.8B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $3.0B | $30.0B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 13.91x | 2.55x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
HWM leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in HWM five years ago would be worth $79,963 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $24,241 for TDG. Over the past 12 months, HWM leads with a +64.9% total return vs TDG's -4.9%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors HWM at 80.4% vs TDG's 22.9% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +21.2% | -9.2% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +64.9% | -4.9% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +487.4% | +85.6% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +699.6% | +142.4% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +1088.5% | +596.5% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +80.4% | +22.9% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — HWM and TDG each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
TDG is the less volatile stock with a 0.79 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than HWM's 0.93 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. HWM currently trades 95.9% from its 52-week high vs TDG's 76.0% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.93x | 0.79x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $267.31 | $1623.83 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $150.63 | $1123.61 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +95.9% | +76.0% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 49.4 | 49.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 2.0M | 371K |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — HWM and TDG each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates HWM as "Buy" and TDG as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 31.1% upside for TDG (target: $1618) vs 7.1% for HWM (target: $275). For income investors, TDG offers the higher dividend yield at 13.41% vs HWM's 0.17%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $274.67 | $1617.88 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 23 | 39 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +0.2% | +13.4% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 5 | 2 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.45 | $165.45 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.7% | +0.7% |
TDG leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). HWM leads in 2 (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns). 2 tied.
HWM vs TDG: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is HWM or TDG a better buy right now?
For growth investors, TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) is the stronger pick with 11.
2% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 11. 1% for Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM). TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) offers the better valuation at 38. 5x trailing P/E (31. 8x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) a "Buy" — based on 23 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — HWM or TDG?
On trailing P/E, TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) is the cheapest at 38.
5x versus Howmet Aerospace Inc. at 69. 1x. On forward P/E, TransDigm Group Incorporated is actually cheaper at 31. 8x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: TransDigm Group Incorporated wins at 1. 02x versus Howmet Aerospace Inc. 's 1. 09x — a reasonable growth-adjusted valuation.
03Which is the better long-term investment — HWM or TDG?
Over the past 5 years, Howmet Aerospace Inc.
(HWM) delivered a total return of +699. 6%, compared to +142. 4% for TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: HWM returned +1089% versus TDG's +596. 5%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — HWM or TDG?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
79β versus Howmet Aerospace Inc. 's 0. 93β — meaning HWM is approximately 19% more volatile than TDG relative to the S&P 500.
05Which is growing faster — HWM or TDG?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) is pulling ahead at 11.
2% versus 11. 1% for Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Howmet Aerospace Inc. grew EPS 32. 0% year-over-year, compared to 25. 2% for TransDigm Group Incorporated. Over a 3-year CAGR, TDG leads at 17. 6% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — HWM or TDG?
TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) is the more profitable company, earning 23.
5% net margin versus 18. 3% for Howmet Aerospace Inc. — meaning it keeps 23. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: TDG leads at 47. 2% versus 25. 8% for HWM. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — TDG leads at 60. 1%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is HWM or TDG more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 1. 02x versus Howmet Aerospace Inc. 's 1. 09x. A PEG below 1. 5 suggests fair-to-attractive pricing relative to expected growth. On forward earnings alone, TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) trades at 31. 8x forward P/E versus 55. 2x for Howmet Aerospace Inc. — 23. 4x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for TDG: 31. 1% to $1617. 88.
08Which pays a better dividend — HWM or TDG?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) offers the highest yield at 13. 4%, versus 0. 2% for Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM).
09Is HWM or TDG better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
79), 13. 4% yield, +596. 5% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (TDG: +596. 5%, HWM: +1089%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between HWM and TDG?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: HWM is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; TDG is a mid-cap income-oriented stock. TDG pays a dividend while HWM does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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