Agricultural Inputs
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IPI vs CF
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Agricultural Inputs
IPI vs CF — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Agricultural Inputs | Agricultural Inputs |
| Market Cap | $519M | $18.24B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $299M | $7.41B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $14M | $1.76B |
| Gross Margin | 18.5% | 40.4% |
| Operating Margin | 5.0% | 35.7% |
| Forward P/E | 40.5x | 8.4x |
| Total Debt | $3M | $3.95B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $84M | $1.98B |
IPI vs CF — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Intrepid Potash, In… (IPI) | 100 | 313.9 | +213.9% |
| CF Industries Holdi… (CF) | 100 | 404.3 | +304.3% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: IPI vs CF
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
IPI is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 0.12
- Rev growth 17.1%, EPS growth 105.1%, 3Y rev CAGR -4.0%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.12, Low D/E 0.7%, current ratio 4.38x
CF carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for long-term compounding.
- 338.1% 10Y total return vs IPI's 311.2%
- 19.3% revenue growth vs IPI's 17.1%
- Lower P/E (8.4x vs 40.5x)
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 19.3% revenue growth vs IPI's 17.1% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (8.4x vs 40.5x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 23.7% margin vs IPI's 4.7% | |
| Stability / Safety | Lower D/E ratio (0.7% vs 50.8%) | |
| Dividends | 1.7% yield; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +49.6% vs IPI's +2.0% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 12.4% ROA vs IPI's 2.2%, ROIC 18.7% vs 2.7% |
IPI vs CF — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
IPI vs CF — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CF leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CF is the larger business by revenue, generating $7.4B annually — 24.8x IPI's $299M. CF is the more profitable business, keeping 23.7% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to IPI's 4.7%. On growth, CF holds the edge at +19.4% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $299M | $7.4B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $58M | $3.5B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $14M | $1.8B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $44M | $1.6B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +18.5% | +40.4% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +5.0% | +35.7% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +4.7% | +23.7% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +14.8% | +21.9% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +0.9% | +19.4% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +60.0% | +115.1% |
Valuation Metrics
CF leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 13.2x trailing earnings, CF trades at a 71% valuation discount to IPI's 45.4x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, CF's 6.2x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than IPI's 7.5x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $519M | $18.2B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $438M | $20.2B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 45.42x | 13.24x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 40.49x | 8.41x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 0.30x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 7.47x | 6.19x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.74x | 2.57x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.03x | 2.48x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 20.31x | 10.12x |
Profitability & Efficiency
CF leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
CF delivers a 22.3% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $22 in annual profit, vs $3 for IPI. IPI carries lower financial leverage with a 0.01x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to CF's 0.51x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), CF scores 8/9 vs IPI's 7/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +2.9% | +22.3% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +2.2% | +12.4% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +2.7% | +18.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +2.7% | +18.3% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 8 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.01x | 0.51x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$80M | $2.0B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $84M | $2.0B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $3M | $3.9B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 160.34x | 16.31x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
CF leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in CF five years ago would be worth $23,091 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $14,342 for IPI. Over the past 12 months, CF leads with a +49.6% total return vs IPI's +2.0%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors IPI at 24.2% vs CF's 22.6% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +36.8% | +48.8% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +2.0% | +49.6% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +91.4% | +84.1% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +43.4% | +130.9% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +311.2% | +338.1% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +24.2% | +22.6% |
Risk & Volatility
CF leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
CF is the less volatile stock with a -0.62 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than IPI's 0.12 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. CF currently trades 83.6% from its 52-week high vs IPI's 76.7% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.12x | -0.62x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $50.34 | $141.96 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $22.55 | $75.42 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +76.7% | +83.6% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 46.3 | 47.0 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 374K | 4.9M |
Analyst Outlook
IPI leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates IPI as "Hold" and CF as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply -8.3% upside for CF (target: $109) vs -37.8% for IPI (target: $24). CF is the only dividend payer here at 1.69% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $24.00 | $108.89 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 26 | 41 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +1.7% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $2.01 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
CF leads in 5 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). IPI leads in 1 (Analyst Outlook).
IPI vs CF: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is IPI or CF a better buy right now?
For growth investors, CF Industries Holdings, Inc.
(CF) is the stronger pick with 19. 3% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 17. 1% for Intrepid Potash, Inc. (IPI). CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) offers the better valuation at 13. 2x trailing P/E (8. 4x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) a "Buy" — based on 41 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — IPI or CF?
On trailing P/E, CF Industries Holdings, Inc.
(CF) is the cheapest at 13. 2x versus Intrepid Potash, Inc. at 45. 4x. On forward P/E, CF Industries Holdings, Inc. is actually cheaper at 8. 4x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — IPI or CF?
Over the past 5 years, CF Industries Holdings, Inc.
(CF) delivered a total return of +130. 9%, compared to +43. 4% for Intrepid Potash, Inc. (IPI). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: CF returned +338. 1% versus IPI's +311. 2%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — IPI or CF?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), CF Industries Holdings, Inc.
(CF) is the lower-risk stock at -0. 62β versus Intrepid Potash, Inc. 's 0. 12β — meaning IPI is approximately -120% more volatile than CF relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Intrepid Potash, Inc. (IPI) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 1% versus 51% for CF Industries Holdings, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — IPI or CF?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), CF Industries Holdings, Inc.
(CF) is pulling ahead at 19. 3% versus 17. 1% for Intrepid Potash, Inc. (IPI). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Intrepid Potash, Inc. grew EPS 105. 1% year-over-year, compared to 33. 1% for CF Industries Holdings, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, IPI leads at -4. 0% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — IPI or CF?
CF Industries Holdings, Inc.
(CF) is the more profitable company, earning 20. 5% net margin versus 3. 7% for Intrepid Potash, Inc. — meaning it keeps 20. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: CF leads at 33. 4% versus 5. 2% for IPI. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — CF leads at 38. 5%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is IPI or CF more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, CF Industries Holdings, Inc.
(CF) trades at 8. 4x forward P/E versus 40. 5x for Intrepid Potash, Inc. — 32. 1x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for CF: -8. 3% to $108. 89.
08Which pays a better dividend — IPI or CF?
In this comparison, CF (1.
7% yield) pays a dividend. IPI does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is IPI or CF better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, CF Industries Holdings, Inc.
(CF) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β -0. 62), 1. 7% yield, +338. 1% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (CF: +338. 1%, IPI: +311. 2%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between IPI and CF?
Both stocks operate in the Basic Materials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
CF pays a dividend while IPI does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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