Paper, Lumber & Forest Products
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ITP vs PKG
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Packaging & Containers
ITP vs PKG — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Paper, Lumber & Forest Products | Packaging & Containers |
| Market Cap | $3M | $20.43B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $79M | $8.99B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-11M | $773M |
| Gross Margin | 5.7% | 21.0% |
| Operating Margin | -12.6% | 13.6% |
| Forward P/E | — | 22.1x |
| Total Debt | $10M | $4.36B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $6M | $529M |
ITP vs PKG — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Jun 20 | Jun 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| IT Tech Packaging, … (ITP) | 100 | 3.1 | -96.9% |
| Packaging Corporati… (PKG) | 100 | 229.5 | +129.5% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: ITP vs PKG
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
ITP is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 0.86
- Better valuation composite
PKG carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 7.2%, EPS growth -3.9%, 3Y rev CAGR 2.0%
- 297.9% 10Y total return vs ITP's -98.2%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.75, Low D/E 94.9%, current ratio 3.17x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 7.2% revenue growth vs ITP's -12.4% | |
| Value | Better valuation composite | |
| Quality / Margins | 8.6% margin vs ITP's -13.9% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.75 vs ITP's 0.86 | |
| Dividends | 2.2% yield; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +25.8% vs ITP's -3.3% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 7.7% ROA vs ITP's -6.2%, ROIC 12.6% vs -3.7% |
ITP vs PKG — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
ITP vs PKG — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
PKG leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
PKG is the larger business by revenue, generating $9.0B annually — 113.9x ITP's $79M. PKG is the more profitable business, keeping 8.6% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to ITP's -13.9%. On growth, PKG holds the edge at +10.1% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $79M | $9.0B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $5M | $1.9B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$11M | $773M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $4M | $729M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +5.7% | +21.0% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -12.6% | +13.6% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -13.9% | +8.6% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +4.8% | +8.1% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +2.1% | +10.1% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +40.0% | -53.9% |
Valuation Metrics
ITP leads this category, winning 5 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, ITP's 1.1x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than PKG's 12.7x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $3M | $20.4B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $7M | $24.3B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -0.19x | 26.69x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 22.13x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 2.21x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 1.15x | 12.72x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.04x | 2.27x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.01x | 4.46x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 0.54x | 28.04x |
Profitability & Efficiency
PKG leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
PKG delivers a 16.7% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $17 in annual profit, vs $-7 for ITP. ITP carries lower financial leverage with a 0.06x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to PKG's 0.95x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), ITP scores 6/9 vs PKG's 3/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -7.1% | +16.7% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -6.2% | +7.7% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -3.7% | +12.6% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -5.0% | +14.2% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 3 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.06x | 0.95x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $4M | $3.8B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $6M | $529M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $10M | $4.4B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -16.46x | 13.99x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
PKG leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in PKG five years ago would be worth $19,098 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $417 for ITP. Over the past 12 months, PKG leads with a +25.8% total return vs ITP's -3.3%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors PKG at 22.9% vs ITP's -25.5% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -20.8% | +9.8% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -3.3% | +25.8% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -58.7% | +85.5% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -95.8% | +91.0% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -98.2% | +297.9% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -25.5% | +22.9% |
Risk & Volatility
PKG leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
PKG is the less volatile stock with a 0.75 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than ITP's 0.86 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. PKG currently trades 91.8% from its 52-week high vs ITP's 48.7% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.86x | 0.75x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $0.39 | $249.51 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $0.16 | $184.76 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +48.7% | +91.8% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 46.7 | 58.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.9M | 691K |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
PKG is the only dividend payer here at 2.19% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | — | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | $251.60 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | — | 26 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +2.2% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $5.02 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +0.7% |
PKG leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). ITP leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics).
ITP vs PKG: Frequently Asked Questions
8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is ITP or PKG a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) is the stronger pick with 7.
2% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -12. 4% for IT Tech Packaging, Inc. (ITP). Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) offers the better valuation at 26. 7x trailing P/E (22. 1x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) a "Hold" — based on 26 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — ITP or PKG?
Over the past 5 years, Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) delivered a total return of +91.
0%, compared to -95. 8% for IT Tech Packaging, Inc. (ITP). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: PKG returned +297. 9% versus ITP's -98. 2%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — ITP or PKG?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
75β versus IT Tech Packaging, Inc. 's 0. 86β — meaning ITP is approximately 14% more volatile than PKG relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, IT Tech Packaging, Inc. (ITP) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 6% versus 95% for Packaging Corporation of America — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — ITP or PKG?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) is pulling ahead at 7.
2% versus -12. 4% for IT Tech Packaging, Inc. (ITP). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: IT Tech Packaging, Inc. grew EPS 1. 0% year-over-year, compared to -3. 9% for Packaging Corporation of America. Over a 3-year CAGR, PKG leads at 2. 0% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — ITP or PKG?
Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) is the more profitable company, earning 8.
6% net margin versus -13. 0% for IT Tech Packaging, Inc. — meaning it keeps 8. 6% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: PKG leads at 14. 0% versus -10. 8% for ITP. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — PKG leads at 21. 0%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Which pays a better dividend — ITP or PKG?
In this comparison, PKG (2.
2% yield) pays a dividend. ITP does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
07Is ITP or PKG better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
75), 2. 2% yield, +297. 9% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (PKG: +297. 9%, ITP: -98. 2%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
08What are the main differences between ITP and PKG?
These companies operate in different sectors (ITP (Basic Materials) and PKG (Consumer Cyclical)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
PKG pays a dividend while ITP does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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