Airlines, Airports & Air Services
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LUV vs ULCC
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Airlines, Airports & Air Services
LUV vs ULCC — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Airlines, Airports & Air Services | Airlines, Airports & Air Services |
| Market Cap | $20.38B | $1.10B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $28.88B | $3.80B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $817M | $-366M |
| Gross Margin | 16.5% | 31.2% |
| Operating Margin | 3.4% | -10.1% |
| Forward P/E | 15.6x | — |
| Total Debt | $5.98B | $5.46B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $3.23B | $671M |
LUV vs ULCC — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Apr 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southwest Airlines … (LUV) | 100 | 66.1 | -33.9% |
| Frontier Group Hold… (ULCC) | 100 | 22.7 | -77.3% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: LUV vs ULCC
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
LUV carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 1.45, yield 1.7%
- Rev growth 2.1%, EPS growth 5.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 5.6%
- 10.9% 10Y total return vs ULCC's -74.6%
In this particular matchup, ULCC is outpaced on most metrics by others in the set.
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 2.1% revenue growth vs ULCC's -1.4% | |
| Quality / Margins | 2.8% margin vs ULCC's -9.6% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.45 vs ULCC's 2.84, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 1.7% yield; 1-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +41.5% vs ULCC's +39.4% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 2.8% ROA vs ULCC's -5.3%, ROIC 3.0% vs -2.3% |
LUV vs ULCC — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
LUV vs ULCC — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
LUV leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
LUV is the larger business by revenue, generating $28.9B annually — 7.6x ULCC's $3.8B. LUV is the more profitable business, keeping 2.8% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to ULCC's -9.6%. On growth, LUV holds the edge at +12.8% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $28.9B | $3.8B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $2.5B | -$253M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $817M | -$366M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$401M | -$509M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +16.5% | +31.2% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +3.4% | -10.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +2.8% | -9.6% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -1.4% | -13.4% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +12.8% | +8.8% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +2.7% | -5.2% |
Valuation Metrics
ULCC leads this category, winning 3 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $20.4B | $1.1B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $23.1B | $5.9B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 52.53x | -7.97x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 15.58x | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 11.63x | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.73x | 0.29x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 2.90x | 2.24x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
LUV leads this category, winning 8 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
LUV delivers a 10.7% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $11 in annual profit, vs $-89 for ULCC. LUV carries lower financial leverage with a 0.75x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to ULCC's 11.13x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), LUV scores 8/9 vs ULCC's 0/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +10.7% | -88.6% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +2.8% | -5.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +3.0% | -2.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +2.2% | -3.2% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 8 | 0 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.75x | 11.13x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $2.8B | $4.8B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $3.2B | $671M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $6.0B | $5.5B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 9.62x | -40.00x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
LUV leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in LUV five years ago would be worth $7,253 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $2,385 for ULCC. Over the past 12 months, LUV leads with a +41.5% total return vs ULCC's +39.4%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors LUV at 13.8% vs ULCC's -16.1% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +0.9% | +4.6% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +41.5% | +39.4% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +47.5% | -41.0% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -27.5% | -76.1% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +10.9% | -74.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +13.8% | -16.1% |
Risk & Volatility
LUV leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
LUV is the less volatile stock with a 1.45 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than ULCC's 2.84 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. LUV currently trades 75.6% from its 52-week high vs ULCC's 71.8% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.45x | 2.84x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $54.89 | $6.66 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $28.98 | $3.02 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +75.6% | +71.8% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 50.2 | 59.2 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 8.2M | 5.6M |
Analyst Outlook
LUV leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates LUV as "Hold" and ULCC as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 39.5% upside for ULCC (target: $7) vs 20.2% for LUV (target: $50). LUV is the only dividend payer here at 1.72% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $49.89 | $6.67 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 45 | 13 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +1.7% | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.72 | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +12.5% | 0.0% |
LUV leads in 5 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). ULCC leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics).
LUV vs ULCC: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is LUV or ULCC a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Southwest Airlines Co.
(LUV) is the stronger pick with 2. 1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -1. 4% for Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC). Southwest Airlines Co. (LUV) offers the better valuation at 52. 5x trailing P/E (15. 6x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Southwest Airlines Co. (LUV) a "Hold" — based on 45 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — LUV or ULCC?
Over the past 5 years, Southwest Airlines Co.
(LUV) delivered a total return of -27. 5%, compared to -76. 1% for Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: LUV returned +10. 9% versus ULCC's -74. 6%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — LUV or ULCC?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Southwest Airlines Co.
(LUV) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 45β versus Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. 's 2. 84β — meaning ULCC is approximately 96% more volatile than LUV relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Southwest Airlines Co. (LUV) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 75% versus 11% for Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — LUV or ULCC?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Southwest Airlines Co.
(LUV) is pulling ahead at 2. 1% versus -1. 4% for Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Southwest Airlines Co. grew EPS 5. 3% year-over-year, compared to -257. 9% for Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, LUV leads at 5. 6% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — LUV or ULCC?
Southwest Airlines Co.
(LUV) is the more profitable company, earning 1. 6% net margin versus -3. 7% for Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. — meaning it keeps 1. 6% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: LUV leads at 1. 5% versus -4. 0% for ULCC. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — ULCC leads at 35. 5%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is LUV or ULCC more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for ULCC: 39.
5% to $6. 67.
07Which pays a better dividend — LUV or ULCC?
In this comparison, LUV (1.
7% yield) pays a dividend. ULCC does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
08Is LUV or ULCC better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Southwest Airlines Co.
(LUV) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (1. 7% yield). Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC) carries a higher beta of 2. 84 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (LUV: +10. 9%, ULCC: -74. 6%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between LUV and ULCC?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
LUV pays a dividend while ULCC does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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