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MAIN vs TPVG
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Asset Management
MAIN vs TPVG — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Asset Management | Asset Management |
| Market Cap | $5.13B | $226M |
| Revenue (TTM) | $725M | $97M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $537M | $46M |
| Gross Margin | 83.0% | 83.5% |
| Operating Margin | 74.3% | 77.9% |
| Forward P/E | 14.2x | 6.0x |
| Total Debt | $2.12B | $469M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $78M | $20M |
MAIN vs TPVG — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main Street Capital… (MAIN) | 100 | 183.8 | +83.8% |
| TriplePoint Venture… (TPVG) | 100 | 55.6 | -44.4% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: MAIN vs TPVG
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
MAIN is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding and valuation efficiency.
- 182.8% 10Y total return vs TPVG's 87.8%
- PEG 0.61 vs TPVG's 5.96
- NIM 8.2% vs TPVG's 7.4%
TPVG carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 0.83, yield 18.4%
- Rev growth 36.6%, EPS growth 48.8%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.83
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 36.6% NII/revenue growth vs MAIN's 18.3% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (6.0x vs 14.2x) | |
| Quality / Margins | Efficiency ratio 0.1% vs MAIN's 0.1% (lower = leaner) | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.83 vs MAIN's 0.87 | |
| Dividends | 6.3% yield, 4-year raise streak, vs TPVG's 18.4% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +16.3% vs TPVG's +8.6% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | Efficiency ratio 0.1% vs MAIN's 0.1% |
MAIN vs TPVG — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MAIN leads this category, winning 3 of 5 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MAIN is the larger business by revenue, generating $725M annually — 7.5x TPVG's $97M. MAIN is the more profitable business, keeping 70.1% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to TPVG's 50.6%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $725M | $97M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $555M | $63M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $537M | $46M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $396M | $35M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +83.0% | +83.5% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +74.3% | +77.9% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +70.1% | +50.6% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -12.0% | -58.7% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | — | — |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -2.8% | -100.0% |
Valuation Metrics
TPVG leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 4.6x trailing earnings, TPVG trades at a 53% valuation discount to MAIN's 9.8x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), MAIN offers better value at 0.42x vs TPVG's 4.50x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $5.1B | $226M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $7.2B | $674M |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 9.80x | 4.57x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 14.18x | 6.04x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.42x | 4.50x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 13.32x | 8.90x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 7.08x | 2.32x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.81x | 0.63x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
MAIN leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
MAIN delivers a 18.3% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $18 in annual profit, vs $13 for TPVG. MAIN carries lower financial leverage with a 0.76x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to TPVG's 1.33x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), TPVG scores 5/9 vs MAIN's 3/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +18.3% | +13.1% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +10.2% | +5.6% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +8.8% | +7.2% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +11.4% | +9.4% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 3 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.76x | 1.33x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $2.0B | $449M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $78M | $20M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $2.1B | $469M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 4.26x | 2.15x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
MAIN leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in MAIN five years ago would be worth $18,086 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $8,097 for TPVG. Over the past 12 months, MAIN leads with a +16.3% total return vs TPVG's +8.6%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors MAIN at 19.0% vs TPVG's -2.6% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -5.0% | -12.7% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +16.3% | +8.6% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +68.6% | -7.5% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +80.9% | -19.0% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +182.8% | +87.8% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +19.0% | -2.6% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — MAIN and TPVG each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
TPVG is the less volatile stock with a 0.83 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than MAIN's 0.87 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. MAIN currently trades 84.6% from its 52-week high vs TPVG's 74.0% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.87x | 0.83x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $67.77 | $7.53 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $50.77 | $4.48 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +84.6% | +74.0% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 59.5 | 55.8 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 806K | 498K |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — MAIN and TPVG each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates MAIN as "Hold" and TPVG as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 60.7% upside for TPVG (target: $9) vs 16.9% for MAIN (target: $67). For income investors, TPVG offers the higher dividend yield at 18.40% vs MAIN's 6.31%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $67.00 | $8.95 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 14 | 12 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +6.3% | +18.4% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 4 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $3.62 | $1.02 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.1% | 0.0% |
MAIN leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). TPVG leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 2 tied.
MAIN vs TPVG: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is MAIN or TPVG a better buy right now?
For growth investors, TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp.
(TPVG) is the stronger pick with 36. 6% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 18. 3% for Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN). TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. (TPVG) offers the better valuation at 4. 6x trailing P/E (6. 0x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN) a "Hold" — based on 14 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — MAIN or TPVG?
On trailing P/E, TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp.
(TPVG) is the cheapest at 4. 6x versus Main Street Capital Corporation at 9. 8x. On forward P/E, TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. is actually cheaper at 6. 0x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Main Street Capital Corporation wins at 0. 61x versus TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. 's 5. 96x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — MAIN or TPVG?
Over the past 5 years, Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN) delivered a total return of +80.
9%, compared to -19. 0% for TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. (TPVG). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: MAIN returned +182. 8% versus TPVG's +87. 8%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — MAIN or TPVG?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp.
(TPVG) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 83β versus Main Street Capital Corporation's 0. 87β — meaning MAIN is approximately 4% more volatile than TPVG relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 76% versus 133% for TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — MAIN or TPVG?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp.
(TPVG) is pulling ahead at 36. 6% versus 18. 3% for Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. grew EPS 48. 8% year-over-year, compared to 11. 9% for Main Street Capital Corporation. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — MAIN or TPVG?
Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN) is the more profitable company, earning 70.
1% net margin versus 50. 6% for TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. — meaning it keeps 70. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: TPVG leads at 77. 9% versus 74. 3% for MAIN. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — TPVG leads at 83. 5%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is MAIN or TPVG more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 61x versus TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. 's 5. 96x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. (TPVG) trades at 6. 0x forward P/E versus 14. 2x for Main Street Capital Corporation — 8. 1x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for TPVG: 60. 7% to $8. 95.
08Which pays a better dividend — MAIN or TPVG?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. (TPVG) offers the highest yield at 18. 4%, versus 6. 3% for Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN).
09Is MAIN or TPVG better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
87), 6. 3% yield, +182. 8% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (MAIN: +182. 8%, TPVG: +87. 8%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between MAIN and TPVG?
Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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