Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries
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MGPI vs WMT
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Specialty Retail
MGPI vs WMT — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries | Specialty Retail |
| Market Cap | $408M | $1.04T |
| Revenue (TTM) | $521M | $703.06B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-240M | $22.91B |
| Gross Margin | 36.4% | 24.9% |
| Operating Margin | -51.2% | 4.1% |
| Forward P/E | 12.1x | 44.7x |
| Total Debt | $267M | $67.09B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $18M | $10.73B |
MGPI vs WMT — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| MGP Ingredients, In… (MGPI) | 100 | 50.9 | -49.1% |
| Walmart Inc. (WMT) | 100 | 314.9 | +214.9% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: MGPI vs WMT
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
MGPI is the clearest fit if your priority is sleep-well-at-night and defensive.
- Lower volatility, beta 0.63, Low D/E 37.2%, current ratio 2.61x
- Beta 0.63, yield 2.5%, current ratio 2.61x
- Lower P/E (12.1x vs 44.7x)
WMT carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 37 yrs, beta 0.12, yield 0.7%
- Rev growth 4.7%, EPS growth 13.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 5.3%
- 499.5% 10Y total return vs MGPI's -17.3%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 4.7% revenue growth vs MGPI's -23.8% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (12.1x vs 44.7x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 3.3% margin vs MGPI's -46.0% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.12 vs MGPI's 0.63 | |
| Dividends | 2.5% yield, 2-year raise streak, vs WMT's 0.7% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +32.7% vs MGPI's -38.0% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 7.9% ROA vs MGPI's -19.1%, ROIC 14.7% vs -6.7% |
MGPI vs WMT — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
MGPI vs WMT — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
WMT leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
WMT is the larger business by revenue, generating $703.1B annually — 1349.1x MGPI's $521M. WMT is the more profitable business, keeping 3.3% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to MGPI's -46.0%. On growth, WMT holds the edge at +5.8% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $521M | $703.1B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$249M | $42.8B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$240M | $22.9B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $54M | $15.3B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +36.4% | +24.9% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -51.2% | +4.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -46.0% | +3.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +10.4% | +2.2% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -12.5% | +5.8% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -44.0% | +35.1% |
Valuation Metrics
MGPI leads this category, winning 5 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $408M | $1.04T |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $656M | $1.09T |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -3.83x | 47.69x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 12.10x | 44.71x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 4.33x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 24.85x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.76x | 1.46x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.57x | 10.45x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 5.37x | 24.97x |
Profitability & Efficiency
WMT leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
WMT delivers a 22.3% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $22 in annual profit, vs $-32 for MGPI. MGPI carries lower financial leverage with a 0.37x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to WMT's 0.67x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), WMT scores 6/9 vs MGPI's 4/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -32.1% | +22.3% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -19.1% | +7.9% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -6.7% | +14.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -8.1% | +17.5% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.37x | 0.67x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $248M | $56.4B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $18M | $10.7B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $267M | $67.1B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -40.23x | 11.85x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
WMT leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in WMT five years ago would be worth $28,695 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $3,401 for MGPI. Over the past 12 months, WMT leads with a +32.7% total return vs MGPI's -38.0%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors WMT at 37.6% vs MGPI's -41.3% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -20.3% | +15.7% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -38.0% | +32.7% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -79.8% | +160.5% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -66.0% | +186.9% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -17.3% | +499.5% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -41.3% | +37.6% |
Risk & Volatility
WMT leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
WMT is the less volatile stock with a 0.12 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than MGPI's 0.63 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. WMT currently trades 96.7% from its 52-week high vs MGPI's 54.6% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.63x | 0.12x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $34.99 | $134.69 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $16.45 | $91.89 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +54.6% | +96.7% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 47.6 | 55.9 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 279K | 17.2M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — MGPI and WMT each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates MGPI as "Buy" and WMT as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 51.9% upside for MGPI (target: $29) vs 5.3% for WMT (target: $137). For income investors, MGPI offers the higher dividend yield at 2.53% vs WMT's 0.72%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $29.00 | $137.04 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 14 | 64 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +2.5% | +0.7% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 2 | 37 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.48 | $0.94 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.3% | +0.8% |
WMT leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). MGPI leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 1 tied.
MGPI vs WMT: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is MGPI or WMT a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Walmart Inc.
(WMT) is the stronger pick with 4. 7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -23. 8% for MGP Ingredients, Inc. (MGPI). Walmart Inc. (WMT) offers the better valuation at 47. 7x trailing P/E (44. 7x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate MGP Ingredients, Inc. (MGPI) a "Buy" — based on 14 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — MGPI or WMT?
On forward P/E, MGP Ingredients, Inc.
is actually cheaper at 12. 1x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — MGPI or WMT?
Over the past 5 years, Walmart Inc.
(WMT) delivered a total return of +186. 9%, compared to -66. 0% for MGP Ingredients, Inc. (MGPI). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: WMT returned +499. 5% versus MGPI's -17. 3%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — MGPI or WMT?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Walmart Inc.
(WMT) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 12β versus MGP Ingredients, Inc. 's 0. 63β — meaning MGPI is approximately 440% more volatile than WMT relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, MGP Ingredients, Inc. (MGPI) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 37% versus 67% for Walmart Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — MGPI or WMT?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Walmart Inc.
(WMT) is pulling ahead at 4. 7% versus -23. 8% for MGP Ingredients, Inc. (MGPI). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Walmart Inc. grew EPS 13. 3% year-over-year, compared to -419. 9% for MGP Ingredients, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, WMT leads at 5. 3% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — MGPI or WMT?
Walmart Inc.
(WMT) is the more profitable company, earning 3. 1% net margin versus -20. 1% for MGP Ingredients, Inc. — meaning it keeps 3. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: WMT leads at 4. 2% versus -17. 6% for MGPI. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — MGPI leads at 37. 2%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is MGPI or WMT more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, MGP Ingredients, Inc.
(MGPI) trades at 12. 1x forward P/E versus 44. 7x for Walmart Inc. — 32. 6x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for MGPI: 51. 9% to $29. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — MGPI or WMT?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
MGP Ingredients, Inc. (MGPI) offers the highest yield at 2. 5%, versus 0. 7% for Walmart Inc. (WMT).
09Is MGPI or WMT better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Walmart Inc.
(WMT) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 12), 0. 7% yield, +499. 5% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (WMT: +499. 5%, MGPI: -17. 3%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between MGPI and WMT?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Defensive sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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