Banks - Regional
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Side-by-side financial analysisStock Comparison
NBHC vs SFNC vs JPM
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Banks - Regional
Banks - Diversified
NBHC vs SFNC vs JPM — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Banks - Regional | Banks - Regional | Banks - Diversified |
| Market Cap | $1.67B | $3.27B | $896.00B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $584M | $618M | $280.33B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $110M | $-398M | $57.05B |
| Gross Margin | 69.2% | 4.5% | 60.0% |
| Operating Margin | 24.4% | -85.4% | 25.9% |
| Forward P/E | 12.6x | 10.9x | 14.4x |
| Total Debt | $72M | $641M | $942.38B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $417M | $380M | $343.34B |
NBHC vs SFNC vs JPM — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Jun 20 | Jun 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Bank Holdi… (NBHC) | 100 | 162.0 | +62.0% |
| Simmons First Natio… (SFNC) | 100 | 131.6 | +31.6% |
| JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) | 100 | 341.0 | +241.0% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: NBHC vs SFNC vs JPM
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
NBHC is the clearest fit if your priority is sleep-well-at-night and bank quality.
- Lower volatility, beta 0.84, Low D/E 5.2%, current ratio 0.27x
- NIM 3.5% vs JPM's 2.2%
- Beta 0.84 vs JPM's 0.94, lower leverage
SFNC has the current edge in this matchup, primarily because of its strength in income & stability and defensive.
- Dividend streak 14 yrs, beta 0.89, yield 3.8%
- Beta 0.89, yield 3.8%, current ratio 0.86x
- Lower P/E (10.9x vs 14.4x)
JPM is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 3.3%, EPS growth 1.5%
- 465.8% 10Y total return vs NBHC's 151.6%
- 3.3% NII/revenue growth vs SFNC's -56.7%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 3.3% NII/revenue growth vs SFNC's -56.7% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (10.9x vs 14.4x) | |
| Quality / Margins | Efficiency ratio 0.3% vs SFNC's 0.9% (lower = leaner) | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.84 vs JPM's 0.94, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 3.8% yield, 14-year raise streak, vs JPM's 1.9% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +23.0% vs NBHC's +21.3% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | Efficiency ratio 0.3% vs SFNC's 0.9% |
NBHC vs SFNC vs JPM — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
NBHC vs SFNC vs JPM — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 3 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — SFNC and JPM each lead in 2 of 5 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
JPM is the larger business by revenue, generating $280.3B annually — 480.1x NBHC's $584M. JPM is the more profitable business, keeping 20.4% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to SFNC's -64.3%.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $584M | $618M | $280.3B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $165M | -$444M | $81.4B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $110M | -$398M | $57.0B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $114M | $410M | $100.9B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +69.2% | +4.5% | +60.0% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +24.4% | -85.4% | +25.9% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +18.8% | -64.3% | +20.4% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +19.6% | +66.4% | +36.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | — | — | — |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -42.5% | +42.1% | +16.0% |
Valuation Metrics
SFNC leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 15.3x trailing earnings, NBHC trades at a 4% valuation discount to JPM's 16.0x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, NBHC's 8.1x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than JPM's 18.4x.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $1.7B | $3.3B | $896.0B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $1.3B | $3.5B | $1.50T |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 15.35x | -7.63x | 16.00x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 12.61x | 10.90x | 14.40x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — | 0.90x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 8.05x | — | 18.36x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 2.86x | 5.21x | 3.20x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.21x | 0.89x | 2.47x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 12.60x | 7.73x | 8.88x |
Profitability & Efficiency
NBHC leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
JPM delivers a 15.9% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $16 in annual profit, vs $-11 for SFNC. NBHC carries lower financial leverage with a 0.05x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to JPM's 2.60x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), NBHC scores 7/9 vs SFNC's 4/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +8.1% | -11.5% | +15.9% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +1.1% | -1.6% | +1.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +7.4% | -9.1% | +4.5% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +3.6% | -4.2% | +8.9% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 4 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.05x | 0.19x | 2.60x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$345M | $261M | $599.0B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $417M | $380M | $343.3B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $72M | $641M | $942.4B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 0.83x | -1.01x | 0.74x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
JPM leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in JPM five years ago would be worth $21,820 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $8,847 for SFNC. Over the past 12 months, SFNC leads with a +23.0% total return vs NBHC's +21.3%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors JPM at 33.6% vs SFNC's 11.1% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +17.1% | +20.7% | -0.5% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +21.3% | +23.0% | +21.8% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +45.0% | +37.1% | +138.2% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +25.1% | -11.5% | +118.2% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +151.6% | +26.2% | +465.8% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +13.2% | +11.1% | +33.6% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — NBHC and SFNC each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
NBHC is the less volatile stock with a 0.84 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than JPM's 0.94 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. SFNC currently trades 99.5% from its 52-week high vs JPM's 95.1% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.84x | 0.89x | 0.94x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $44.02 | $22.62 | $337.25 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $35.06 | $17.00 | $262.71 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +99.4% | +99.5% | +95.1% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 58.5 | 63.7 | 59.1 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 295K | 1.1M | 7.0M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — SFNC and JPM each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: NBHC as "Hold", SFNC as "Buy", JPM as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 18.9% upside for NBHC (target: $52) vs 2.2% for SFNC (target: $23). For income investors, SFNC offers the higher dividend yield at 3.79% vs JPM's 1.86%.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $52.00 | $23.00 | $339.75 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 10 | 9 | 61 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +2.8% | +3.8% | +1.9% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 10 | 14 | 15 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $1.21 | $0.85 | $5.95 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.9% | 0.0% | +3.9% |
SFNC leads in 1 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics). NBHC leads in 1 (Profitability & Efficiency). 3 tied.
NBHC vs SFNC vs JPM: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is NBHC or SFNC or JPM a better buy right now?
For growth investors, JPMorgan Chase & Co.
(JPM) is the stronger pick with 3. 3% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -56. 7% for Simmons First National Corporation (SFNC). National Bank Holdings Corporation (NBHC) offers the better valuation at 15. 3x trailing P/E (12. 6x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Simmons First National Corporation (SFNC) a "Buy" — based on 9 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — NBHC or SFNC or JPM?
On trailing P/E, National Bank Holdings Corporation (NBHC) is the cheapest at 15.
3x versus JPMorgan Chase & Co. at 16. 0x. On forward P/E, Simmons First National Corporation is actually cheaper at 10. 9x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — NBHC or SFNC or JPM?
Over the past 5 years, JPMorgan Chase & Co.
(JPM) delivered a total return of +118. 2%, compared to -11. 5% for Simmons First National Corporation (SFNC). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: JPM returned +465. 8% versus SFNC's +26. 2%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — NBHC or SFNC or JPM?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), National Bank Holdings Corporation (NBHC) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
84β versus JPMorgan Chase & Co. 's 0. 94β — meaning JPM is approximately 12% more volatile than NBHC relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, National Bank Holdings Corporation (NBHC) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 5% versus 3% for JPMorgan Chase & Co. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — NBHC or SFNC or JPM?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), JPMorgan Chase & Co.
(JPM) is pulling ahead at 3. 3% versus -56. 7% for Simmons First National Corporation (SFNC). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: JPMorgan Chase & Co. grew EPS 1. 5% year-over-year, compared to -343. 8% for Simmons First National Corporation. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — NBHC or SFNC or JPM?
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
(JPM) is the more profitable company, earning 20. 4% net margin versus -63. 4% for Simmons First National Corporation — meaning it keeps 20. 4% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: JPM leads at 26. 0% versus -84. 2% for SFNC. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — NBHC leads at 69. 2%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is NBHC or SFNC or JPM more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Simmons First National Corporation (SFNC) trades at 10.
9x forward P/E versus 14. 4x for JPMorgan Chase & Co. — 3. 5x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for NBHC: 18. 9% to $52. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — NBHC or SFNC or JPM?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Simmons First National Corporation (SFNC) offers the highest yield at 3. 8%, versus 1. 9% for JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM).
09Is NBHC or SFNC or JPM better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, JPMorgan Chase & Co.
(JPM) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 94), 1. 9% yield, +465. 8% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (JPM: +465. 8%, SFNC: +26. 2%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between NBHC and SFNC and JPM?
Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: NBHC is a small-cap deep-value stock; SFNC is a small-cap income-oriented stock; JPM is a large-cap deep-value stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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