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NCMI vs IPG
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Advertising Agencies
NCMI vs IPG — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Advertising Agencies | Advertising Agencies |
| Market Cap | $334M | $8.93B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $243M | $10.21B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-11M | $552M |
| Gross Margin | 30.3% | 18.2% |
| Operating Margin | -5.7% | 9.7% |
| Forward P/E | — | 7.8x |
| Total Debt | $23M | $4.25B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $75M | $2.19B |
NCMI vs IPG — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| National CineMedia,… (NCMI) | 100 | 13.0 | -87.0% |
| The Interpublic Gro… (IPG) | 100 | 150.0 | +50.0% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: NCMI vs IPG
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
NCMI is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and sleep-well-at-night.
- Rev growth 1.0%, EPS growth 52.2%, 3Y rev CAGR -0.8%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.26, Low D/E 5.5%, current ratio 2.42x
- 1.0% revenue growth vs IPG's -1.8%
IPG carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 16 yrs, beta 0.65, yield 5.4%
- 45.6% 10Y total return vs NCMI's -71.7%
- Beta 0.65, yield 5.4%, current ratio 1.09x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 1.0% revenue growth vs IPG's -1.8% | |
| Value | Better valuation composite | |
| Quality / Margins | 5.4% margin vs NCMI's -4.4% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.65 vs NCMI's 1.26 | |
| Dividends | 5.4% yield, 16-year raise streak, vs NCMI's 3.4% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +0.8% vs NCMI's -36.2% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 3.2% ROA vs NCMI's -2.1%, ROIC 14.7% vs -2.9% |
NCMI vs IPG — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
NCMI vs IPG — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
IPG leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
IPG is the larger business by revenue, generating $10.2B annually — 42.0x NCMI's $243M. IPG is the more profitable business, keeping 5.4% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to NCMI's -4.4%. On growth, NCMI holds the edge at +7.9% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $243M | $10.2B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $24M | $1.2B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$11M | $552M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $4M | $807M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +30.3% | +18.2% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -5.7% | +9.7% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -4.4% | +5.4% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +1.8% | +7.9% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +7.9% | -5.1% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +24.0% | +5.4% |
Valuation Metrics
IPG leads this category, winning 3 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, IPG's 7.5x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than NCMI's 11.7x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $334M | $8.9B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $281M | $11.0B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -32.55x | 13.43x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 7.78x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 7.78x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 11.72x | 7.52x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.37x | 0.83x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.82x | 2.37x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 119.27x | 9.77x |
Profitability & Efficiency
IPG leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
IPG delivers a 14.6% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $15 in annual profit, vs $-3 for NCMI. NCMI carries lower financial leverage with a 0.05x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to IPG's 1.09x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), IPG scores 8/9 vs NCMI's 7/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -2.9% | +14.6% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -2.1% | +3.2% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -2.9% | +14.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -2.8% | +13.7% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 8 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.05x | 1.09x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$53M | $2.1B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $75M | $2.2B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $23M | $4.3B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -23.17x | 4.90x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
IPG leads this category, winning 3 of 5 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in IPG five years ago would be worth $9,138 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $1,465 for NCMI. Over the past 12 months, IPG leads with a +0.8% total return vs NCMI's -36.2%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors NCMI at 6.9% vs IPG's -8.4% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -6.0% | — |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -36.2% | +0.8% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +22.3% | -23.0% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -85.3% | -8.6% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -71.7% | +45.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +6.9% | -8.4% |
Risk & Volatility
IPG leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
IPG is the less volatile stock with a 0.65 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than NCMI's 1.26 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. IPG currently trades 86.5% from its 52-week high vs NCMI's 60.9% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.26x | 0.65x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $5.88 | $28.42 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $2.92 | $22.55 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +60.9% | +86.5% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 51.9 | 45.1 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 485K | 81.3M |
Analyst Outlook
IPG leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates NCMI as "Hold" and IPG as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 109.5% upside for NCMI (target: $8) vs 48.8% for IPG (target: $37). For income investors, IPG offers the higher dividend yield at 5.35% vs NCMI's 3.38%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $7.50 | $36.57 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 17 | 34 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +3.4% | +5.4% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 16 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.12 | $1.31 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +6.6% | +2.6% |
IPG leads in 6 of 6 categories — strongest in Income & Cash Flow and Valuation Metrics.
NCMI vs IPG: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is NCMI or IPG a better buy right now?
For growth investors, National CineMedia, Inc.
(NCMI) is the stronger pick with 1. 0% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -1. 8% for The Interpublic Group of Companies, Inc. (IPG). The Interpublic Group of Companies, Inc. (IPG) offers the better valuation at 13. 4x trailing P/E (7. 8x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate National CineMedia, Inc. (NCMI) a "Hold" — based on 17 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — NCMI or IPG?
Over the past 5 years, The Interpublic Group of Companies, Inc.
(IPG) delivered a total return of -8. 6%, compared to -85. 3% for National CineMedia, Inc. (NCMI). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: IPG returned +45. 6% versus NCMI's -71. 7%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — NCMI or IPG?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), The Interpublic Group of Companies, Inc.
(IPG) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 65β versus National CineMedia, Inc. 's 1. 26β — meaning NCMI is approximately 93% more volatile than IPG relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, National CineMedia, Inc. (NCMI) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 5% versus 109% for The Interpublic Group of Companies, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — NCMI or IPG?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), National CineMedia, Inc.
(NCMI) is pulling ahead at 1. 0% versus -1. 8% for The Interpublic Group of Companies, Inc. (IPG). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: National CineMedia, Inc. grew EPS 52. 2% year-over-year, compared to -35. 8% for The Interpublic Group of Companies, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, IPG leads at 1. 4% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — NCMI or IPG?
The Interpublic Group of Companies, Inc.
(IPG) is the more profitable company, earning 6. 4% net margin versus -4. 4% for National CineMedia, Inc. — meaning it keeps 6. 4% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: IPG leads at 11. 3% versus -5. 7% for NCMI. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — NCMI leads at 30. 3%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is NCMI or IPG more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for NCMI: 109.
5% to $7. 50.
07Which pays a better dividend — NCMI or IPG?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
The Interpublic Group of Companies, Inc. (IPG) offers the highest yield at 5. 4%, versus 3. 4% for National CineMedia, Inc. (NCMI).
08Is NCMI or IPG better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, The Interpublic Group of Companies, Inc.
(IPG) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 65), 5. 4% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (IPG: +45. 6%, NCMI: -71. 7%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between NCMI and IPG?
Both stocks operate in the Communication Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: NCMI is a small-cap income-oriented stock; IPG is a small-cap deep-value stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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- Sector: Communication Services
- Market Cap > $100B
- Revenue Growth > 5%
- Gross Margin > 18%
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