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NDLS vs CAVA
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Restaurants
NDLS vs CAVA — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Restaurants | Restaurants |
| Market Cap | $71M | $9.82B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $495M | $848M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-37M | $38M |
| Gross Margin | 10.0% | 67.4% |
| Operating Margin | 0.1% | 4.7% |
| Forward P/E | — | 161.5x |
| Total Debt | $264M | $466M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $1M | $283M |
NDLS vs CAVA — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Jun 23 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Noodles & Company (NDLS) | 100 | 44.4 | -55.6% |
| CAVA Group, Inc. (CAVA) | 100 | 206.4 | +106.4% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: NDLS vs CAVA
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
NDLS carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- beta 0.59
- Rev growth 0.4%, EPS growth -15.0%, 3Y rev CAGR -1.0%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.59, current ratio 0.31x
CAVA is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding.
- 93.1% 10Y total return vs NDLS's -86.3%
- 4.5% margin vs NDLS's -7.5%
- 2.8% ROA vs NDLS's -13.6%, ROIC 5.0% vs -1.5%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 0.4% revenue growth vs CAVA's -12.0% | |
| Quality / Margins | 4.5% margin vs NDLS's -7.5% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.59 vs CAVA's 1.83 | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +48.5% vs CAVA's -9.9% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 2.8% ROA vs NDLS's -13.6%, ROIC 5.0% vs -1.5% |
NDLS vs CAVA — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
NDLS vs CAVA — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CAVA leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CAVA is the larger business by revenue, generating $848M annually — 1.7x NDLS's $495M. CAVA is the more profitable business, keeping 4.5% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to NDLS's -7.5%. On growth, NDLS holds the edge at -0.0% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $495M | $848M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $26M | $113M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$37M | $38M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$2M | $26M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +10.0% | +67.4% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +0.1% | +4.7% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -7.5% | +4.5% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -0.5% | +3.1% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -0.0% | -125.0% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +63.7% | -127.3% |
Valuation Metrics
NDLS leads this category, winning 3 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, NDLS's 15.2x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than CAVA's 77.5x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $71M | $9.8B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $333M | $10.0B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -1.63x | 156.52x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 161.48x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 15.18x | 77.54x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.14x | 11.58x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | — | 12.79x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 375.47x |
Profitability & Efficiency
CAVA leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), CAVA scores 5/9 vs NDLS's 3/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | — | +4.9% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -13.6% | +2.8% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -1.5% | +5.0% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -2.2% | +4.9% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 3 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | — | 0.60x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $263M | $183M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $1M | $283M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $264M | $466M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 0.12x | — |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
CAVA leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in CAVA five years ago would be worth $19,306 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $1,238 for NDLS. Over the past 12 months, NDLS leads with a +48.5% total return vs CAVA's -9.9%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors CAVA at 24.5% vs NDLS's -31.9% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +102.4% | +39.6% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +48.5% | -9.9% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -68.5% | +93.1% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -87.6% | +93.1% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -86.3% | +93.1% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -31.9% | +24.5% |
Risk & Volatility
NDLS leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
NDLS is the less volatile stock with a 0.59 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than CAVA's 1.83 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.59x | 1.83x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $13.95 | $101.50 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $0.77 | $43.41 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +86.0% | +83.3% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 61.4 | 50.9 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 91K | 2.8M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates NDLS as "Hold" and CAVA as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 300.0% upside for NDLS (target: $48) vs -2.2% for CAVA (target: $83).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $48.00 | $82.63 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 18 | 23 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
CAVA leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). NDLS leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Risk & Volatility).
NDLS vs CAVA: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is NDLS or CAVA a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Noodles & Company (NDLS) is the stronger pick with 0.
4% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -12. 0% for CAVA Group, Inc. (CAVA). CAVA Group, Inc. (CAVA) offers the better valuation at 156. 5x trailing P/E (161. 5x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate CAVA Group, Inc. (CAVA) a "Buy" — based on 23 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — NDLS or CAVA?
Over the past 5 years, CAVA Group, Inc.
(CAVA) delivered a total return of +93. 1%, compared to -87. 6% for Noodles & Company (NDLS). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: CAVA returned +93. 1% versus NDLS's -86. 3%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — NDLS or CAVA?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Noodles & Company (NDLS) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
59β versus CAVA Group, Inc. 's 1. 83β — meaning CAVA is approximately 210% more volatile than NDLS relative to the S&P 500.
04Which is growing faster — NDLS or CAVA?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Noodles & Company (NDLS) is pulling ahead at 0.
4% versus -12. 0% for CAVA Group, Inc. (CAVA). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Noodles & Company grew EPS -15. 0% year-over-year, compared to -50. 9% for CAVA Group, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, CAVA leads at 14. 5% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — NDLS or CAVA?
CAVA Group, Inc.
(CAVA) is the more profitable company, earning 7. 5% net margin versus -8. 6% for Noodles & Company — meaning it keeps 7. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: CAVA leads at 6. 5% versus -1. 0% for NDLS. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — CAVA leads at 67. 4%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is NDLS or CAVA more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for NDLS: 300.
0% to $48. 00.
07Which pays a better dividend — NDLS or CAVA?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
08Is NDLS or CAVA better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Noodles & Company (NDLS) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
59)). CAVA Group, Inc. (CAVA) carries a higher beta of 1. 83 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (NDLS: -86. 3%, CAVA: +93. 1%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between NDLS and CAVA?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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