Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
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NEXT vs NFE
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Regulated Gas
NEXT vs NFE — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Oil & Gas Exploration & Production | Regulated Gas |
| Market Cap | $1.98B | $211M |
| Revenue (TTM) | $0.00 | $1.50B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-306M | $-1.84B |
| Gross Margin | — | 20.6% |
| Operating Margin | — | -34.4% |
| Total Debt | $8.66B | $8.57B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $144M | $357M |
NEXT vs NFE — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| NextDecade Corporat… (NEXT) | 100 | 494.7 | +394.7% |
| New Fortress Energy… (NFE) | 100 | 5.3 | -94.7% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: NEXT vs NFE
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
NEXT carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta -0.14
- EPS growth -387.5%
- -24.5% 10Y total return vs NFE's -58.4%
NFE is the clearest fit if your priority is growth and dividends.
- -36.4% revenue growth vs NEXT's -429.6%
- 1.7% yield; the other pay no meaningful dividend
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | -36.4% revenue growth vs NEXT's -429.6% | |
| Quality / Margins | -1.4% margin vs NFE's -122.6% | |
| Stability / Safety | Lower D/E ratio (376.2% vs 27.7%) | |
| Dividends | 1.7% yield; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +1.9% vs NFE's -87.2% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | -3.3% ROA vs NFE's -15.5%, ROIC -2.1% vs -1.3% |
NEXT vs NFE — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
NEXT vs NFE — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NFE leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NFE and NEXT operate at a comparable scale, with $1.5B and $0 in trailing revenue.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $0 | $1.5B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$211M | -$274M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$306M | -$1.8B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$5.3B | -$122M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | — | +20.6% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | — | -34.4% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | — | -122.6% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | — | -8.1% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | — | -40.4% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -172.0% | -150.5% |
Valuation Metrics
Evenly matched — NEXT and NFE each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $2.0B | $211M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $10.5B | $8.4B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -6.38x | -0.11x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 117.45x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | — | 0.14x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.85x | 0.66x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
NFE leads this category, winning 5 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
NEXT delivers a -15.6% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $-16 in annual profit, vs $-158 for NFE. NEXT carries lower financial leverage with a 3.76x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to NFE's 27.68x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -15.6% | -158.3% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -3.3% | -15.5% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -2.1% | -1.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -2.7% | -2.6% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 1 | 1 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 3.76x | 27.68x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $8.5B | $8.2B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $144M | $357M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $8.7B | $8.6B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -2.76x | -0.22x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
NEXT leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in NEXT five years ago would be worth $36,618 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $1,265 for NFE. Over the past 12 months, NEXT leads with a +1.9% total return vs NFE's -87.2%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors NEXT at 8.2% vs NFE's -64.8% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +38.8% | -33.4% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +1.9% | -87.2% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +26.6% | -95.6% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +266.2% | -87.4% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -24.5% | -58.4% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +8.2% | -64.8% |
Risk & Volatility
NEXT leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
NEXT is the less volatile stock with a -0.14 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than NFE's 1.54 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. NEXT currently trades 61.6% from its 52-week high vs NFE's 10.0% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | -0.14x | 1.54x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $12.12 | $7.37 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $4.75 | $0.56 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +61.6% | +10.0% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 55.5 | 62.3 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 5.1M | 13.7M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates NEXT as "Hold" and NFE as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 1962.8% upside for NFE (target: $15) vs -6.3% for NEXT (target: $7). NFE is the only dividend payer here at 1.69% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $7.00 | $15.25 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 9 | 16 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +1.7% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $0.01 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.9% | 0.0% |
NFE leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). NEXT leads in 2 (Total Returns, Risk & Volatility). 1 tied.
NEXT vs NFE: Frequently Asked Questions
8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is NEXT or NFE a better buy right now?
Analysts rate New Fortress Energy Inc.
(NFE) a "Buy" — based on 16 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — NEXT or NFE?
Over the past 5 years, NextDecade Corporation (NEXT) delivered a total return of +266.
2%, compared to -87. 4% for New Fortress Energy Inc. (NFE). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: NEXT returned -24. 5% versus NFE's -58. 4%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — NEXT or NFE?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), NextDecade Corporation (NEXT) is the lower-risk stock at -0.
14β versus New Fortress Energy Inc. 's 1. 54β — meaning NFE is approximately -1220% more volatile than NEXT relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, NextDecade Corporation (NEXT) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 4% versus 28% for New Fortress Energy Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — NEXT or NFE?
On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: NextDecade Corporation grew EPS -387.
5% year-over-year, compared to -430. 4% for New Fortress Energy Inc.. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — NEXT or NFE?
NextDecade Corporation (NEXT) is the more profitable company, earning 0.
0% net margin versus -122. 6% for New Fortress Energy Inc. — meaning it keeps 0. 0% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: NEXT leads at 0. 0% versus -11. 3% for NFE. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — NFE leads at 9. 1%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Which pays a better dividend — NEXT or NFE?
In this comparison, NFE (1.
7% yield) pays a dividend. NEXT does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
07Is NEXT or NFE better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, NextDecade Corporation (NEXT) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β -0.
14)). New Fortress Energy Inc. (NFE) carries a higher beta of 1. 54 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (NEXT: -24. 5%, NFE: -58. 4%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
08What are the main differences between NEXT and NFE?
These companies operate in different sectors (NEXT (Energy) and NFE (Utilities)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
NFE pays a dividend while NEXT does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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