Financial - Credit Services
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QD vs CNF
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Financial - Mortgages
QD vs CNF — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Financial - Credit Services | Financial - Mortgages |
| Market Cap | $287M | $1M |
| Revenue (TTM) | $216M | $626M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $527M | $-51M |
| Gross Margin | 7.1% | 87.0% |
| Operating Margin | -142.4% | -11.2% |
| Forward P/E | 38.2x | 4.3x |
| Total Debt | $787M | $4.22B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $4.26B | $338M |
QD vs CNF — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | Feb 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Qudian Inc. (QD) | 100 | 182.0 | +82.0% |
| CNFinance Holdings … (CNF) | 100 | 16.4 | -83.6% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: QD vs CNF
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
QD is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 71.3%, EPS growth 172.2%
- -90.6% 10Y total return vs CNF's -96.0%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.19, Low D/E 7.0%, current ratio 9.02x
CNF carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and defensive.
- beta 0.10
- Beta 0.10, current ratio 0.46x
- Lower P/E (4.3x vs 38.2x)
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 71.3% NII/revenue growth vs CNF's -60.9% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (4.3x vs 38.2x) | |
| Quality / Margins | Efficiency ratio 1.0% vs QD's 1.5% (lower = leaner) | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.10 vs QD's 1.19 | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | -5.5% vs CNF's -57.6% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | Efficiency ratio 1.0% vs QD's 1.5% |
QD vs CNF — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
QD vs CNF — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CNF leads this category, winning 3 of 5 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CNF is the larger business by revenue, generating $626M annually — 2.9x QD's $216M. QD is the more profitable business, keeping 42.4% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to CNF's -73.1%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $216M | $626M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$308M | $198M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $527M | -$51M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $0 | $0 |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +7.1% | +87.0% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -142.4% | -11.2% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +42.4% | -73.1% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -198.2% | +12.6% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | — | — |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +2.5% | -8.5% |
Valuation Metrics
CNF leads this category, winning 3 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $287M | $1M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | -$219M | $571M |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 38.22x | -0.02x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 4.29x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 9.10x | 0.01x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.31x | 0.00x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 0.09x |
Profitability & Efficiency
QD leads this category, winning 6 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
QD delivers a 4.6% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $5 in annual profit, vs $-1 for CNF. QD carries lower financial leverage with a 0.07x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to CNF's 1.18x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +4.6% | -1.2% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +4.2% | -0.4% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -1.9% | -0.6% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -2.7% | -0.9% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.07x | 1.18x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$3.5B | $3.9B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $4.3B | $338M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $787M | $4.2B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 0.65x | -0.14x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
QD leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in QD five years ago would be worth $14,837 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $859 for CNF. Over the past 12 months, QD leads with a -5.5% total return vs CNF's -57.6%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors QD at 28.4% vs CNF's -51.4% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -22.2% | -49.2% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -5.5% | -57.6% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +111.6% | -88.5% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +48.4% | -91.4% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -90.6% | -96.0% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +28.4% | -51.4% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — QD and CNF each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
CNF is the less volatile stock with a 0.10 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than QD's 1.19 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. QD currently trades 53.7% from its 52-week high vs CNF's 34.7% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.19x | 0.10x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $5.08 | $8.80 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $2.72 | $2.36 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +53.7% | +34.7% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 28.1 | 47.8 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 152K | 5K |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | — |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | — |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 7 | — |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +27.1% | +24.8% |
CNF leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). QD leads in 2 (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns). 1 tied.
QD vs CNF: Frequently Asked Questions
8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is QD or CNF a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Qudian Inc.
(QD) is the stronger pick with 71. 3% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -60. 9% for CNFinance Holdings Limited (CNF). Qudian Inc. (QD) offers the better valuation at 38. 2x trailing P/E, making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Qudian Inc. (QD) a "Hold" — based on 7 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — QD or CNF?
Over the past 5 years, Qudian Inc.
(QD) delivered a total return of +48. 4%, compared to -91. 4% for CNFinance Holdings Limited (CNF). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: QD returned -90. 6% versus CNF's -96. 0%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — QD or CNF?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), CNFinance Holdings Limited (CNF) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
10β versus Qudian Inc. 's 1. 19β — meaning QD is approximately 1104% more volatile than CNF relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Qudian Inc. (QD) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 7% versus 118% for CNFinance Holdings Limited — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — QD or CNF?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Qudian Inc.
(QD) is pulling ahead at 71. 3% versus -60. 9% for CNFinance Holdings Limited (CNF). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Qudian Inc. grew EPS 172. 2% year-over-year, compared to -122. 3% for CNFinance Holdings Limited. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — QD or CNF?
Qudian Inc.
(QD) is the more profitable company, earning 42. 4% net margin versus -73. 1% for CNFinance Holdings Limited — meaning it keeps 42. 4% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: CNF leads at -11. 2% versus -142. 4% for QD. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — CNF leads at 87. 0%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Which pays a better dividend — QD or CNF?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
07Is QD or CNF better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, CNFinance Holdings Limited (CNF) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
10)). Both have compounded well over 10 years (CNF: -96. 0%, QD: -90. 6%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
08What are the main differences between QD and CNF?
Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: QD is a small-cap high-growth stock; CNF is a small-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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