Aerospace & Defense
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RGR vs KTOS vs AVAV vs SWBI
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Aerospace & Defense
Aerospace & Defense
Aerospace & Defense
RGR vs KTOS vs AVAV vs SWBI — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Aerospace & Defense | Aerospace & Defense | Aerospace & Defense | Aerospace & Defense |
| Market Cap | $623M | $10.68B | $8.40B | $655M |
| Revenue (TTM) | $552M | $1.42B | $1.61B | $486M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-12M | $29M | $-224M | $12M |
| Gross Margin | 14.4% | 18.3% | 21.8% | 26.4% |
| Operating Margin | -4.1% | 1.8% | -8.3% | 4.6% |
| Forward P/E | 20.6x | 73.5x | 58.4x | 53.6x |
| Total Debt | $2M | $180M | $64M | $115M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $18M | $561M | $41M | $25M |
RGR vs KTOS vs AVAV vs SWBI — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sturm, Ruger & Comp… (RGR) | 100 | 62.6 | -37.4% |
| Kratos Defense & Se… (KTOS) | 100 | 307.3 | +207.3% |
| AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) | 100 | 237.4 | +137.4% |
| Smith & Wesson Bran… (SWBI) | 100 | 162.0 | +62.0% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: RGR vs KTOS vs AVAV vs SWBI
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
RGR is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if value is your priority.
- Lower P/E (20.6x vs 53.6x)
KTOS is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 18.5%, EPS growth 18.2%, 3Y rev CAGR 14.5%
- 12.3% 10Y total return vs AVAV's 498.3%
- 18.5% revenue growth vs SWBI's -11.4%
AVAV lags the leaders in this set but could rank higher in a more targeted comparison.
SWBI carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 5 yrs, beta 0.74, yield 3.5%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.74, Low D/E 30.8%, current ratio 4.16x
- Beta 0.74, yield 3.5%, current ratio 4.16x
- 2.5% margin vs AVAV's -13.9%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 18.5% revenue growth vs SWBI's -11.4% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (20.6x vs 53.6x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 2.5% margin vs AVAV's -13.9% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.74 vs KTOS's 1.84 | |
| Dividends | 3.5% yield, 5-year raise streak, vs RGR's 1.6%, (2 stocks pay no dividend) | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +65.8% vs AVAV's +5.1% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 2.2% ROA vs AVAV's -5.0%, ROIC 4.1% vs 3.6% |
RGR vs KTOS vs AVAV vs SWBI — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
RGR vs KTOS vs AVAV vs SWBI — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
SWBI leads in 4 of 6 categories
RGR leads 1 • KTOS leads 1 • AVAV leads 0
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
SWBI leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AVAV is the larger business by revenue, generating $1.6B annually — 3.3x SWBI's $486M. SWBI is the more profitable business, keeping 2.5% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to AVAV's -13.9%. On growth, AVAV holds the edge at +143.4% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $552M | $1.4B | $1.6B | $486M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$5M | $72M | $82M | $30M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$12M | $29M | -$224M | $12M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $42M | -$133M | -$183M | $73M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +14.4% | +18.3% | +21.8% | +26.4% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -4.1% | +1.8% | -8.3% | +4.6% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -2.2% | +2.1% | -13.9% | +2.5% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +7.7% | -9.4% | -11.3% | +15.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +4.1% | +22.6% | +143.4% | +17.1% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -97.8% | +133.3% | -51.5% | +122.4% |
Valuation Metrics
RGR leads this category, winning 3 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 49.1x trailing earnings, SWBI trades at a 89% valuation discount to KTOS's 438.5x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, SWBI's 13.4x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than KTOS's 118.4x.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $623M | $10.7B | $8.4B | $655M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $606M | $10.3B | $8.4B | $745M |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -144.63x | 438.46x | 108.50x | 49.10x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 20.61x | 73.49x | 58.41x | 53.56x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 53.83x | 118.42x | 102.96x | 13.37x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.14x | 7.93x | 10.23x | 1.38x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 2.23x | 4.94x | 5.34x | 1.76x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 16.19x | — | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
SWBI leads this category, winning 4 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
SWBI delivers a 3.3% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $3 in annual profit, vs $-6 for AVAV. RGR carries lower financial leverage with a 0.01x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to SWBI's 0.31x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), RGR scores 4/9 vs SWBI's 3/9, reflecting mixed financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -4.2% | +1.3% | -6.4% | +3.3% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -4.7% | +1.0% | -5.0% | +2.2% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -3.0% | +1.4% | +3.6% | +4.1% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -3.8% | +1.5% | +4.5% | +4.9% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.01x | 0.09x | 0.07x | 0.31x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$17M | -$381M | $23M | $90M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $18M | $561M | $41M | $25M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $2M | $180M | $64M | $115M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -353.50x | 6.16x | -5.99x | 5.17x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
KTOS leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in KTOS five years ago would be worth $21,025 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $7,358 for RGR. Over the past 12 months, SWBI leads with a +65.8% total return vs AVAV's +5.1%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors KTOS at 62.8% vs RGR's -8.4% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +16.9% | -28.1% | -34.4% | +48.9% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +19.8% | +58.1% | +5.1% | +65.8% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -23.0% | +331.5% | +63.1% | +36.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -26.4% | +110.3% | +53.7% | -13.9% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -4.9% | +1231.8% | +498.3% | -3.7% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -8.4% | +62.8% | +17.7% | +10.9% |
Risk & Volatility
SWBI leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
SWBI is the less volatile stock with a 0.74 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than KTOS's 1.84 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. SWBI currently trades 93.3% from its 52-week high vs AVAV's 40.2% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.00x | 1.84x | 1.57x | 0.74x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $48.21 | $134.00 | $417.86 | $15.79 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $28.33 | $32.85 | $155.69 | $7.73 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +81.0% | +42.5% | +40.2% | +93.3% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 42.6 | 38.8 | 39.8 | 51.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 163K | 4.3M | 1.7M | 596K |
Analyst Outlook
SWBI leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: RGR as "Buy", KTOS as "Buy", AVAV as "Buy", SWBI as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 104.3% upside for AVAV (target: $344) vs 3.5% for SWBI (target: $15). For income investors, SWBI offers the higher dividend yield at 3.53% vs RGR's 1.60%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | $110.58 | $343.60 | $15.25 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 12 | 22 | 28 | 4 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +1.6% | — | — | +3.5% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | — | — | 5 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.62 | — | — | $0.52 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +4.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | +3.9% |
SWBI leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). RGR leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics).
RGR vs KTOS vs AVAV vs SWBI: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is RGR or KTOS or AVAV or SWBI a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.
(KTOS) is the stronger pick with 18. 5% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -11. 4% for Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. (SWBI). Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. (SWBI) offers the better valuation at 49. 1x trailing P/E (53. 6x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc. (RGR) a "Buy" — based on 12 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — RGR or KTOS or AVAV or SWBI?
On trailing P/E, Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc.
(SWBI) is the cheapest at 49. 1x versus Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. at 438. 5x. On forward P/E, Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc. is actually cheaper at 20. 6x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — RGR or KTOS or AVAV or SWBI?
Over the past 5 years, Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.
(KTOS) delivered a total return of +110. 3%, compared to -26. 4% for Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc. (RGR). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: KTOS returned +1232% versus RGR's -4. 9%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — RGR or KTOS or AVAV or SWBI?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc.
(SWBI) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 74β versus Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. 's 1. 84β — meaning KTOS is approximately 149% more volatile than SWBI relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc. (RGR) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 1% versus 31% for Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — RGR or KTOS or AVAV or SWBI?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.
(KTOS) is pulling ahead at 18. 5% versus -11. 4% for Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. (SWBI). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. grew EPS 18. 2% year-over-year, compared to -115. 3% for Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, AVAV leads at 22. 6% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — RGR or KTOS or AVAV or SWBI?
AeroVironment, Inc.
(AVAV) is the more profitable company, earning 5. 3% net margin versus -0. 8% for Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc. — meaning it keeps 5. 3% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: SWBI leads at 5. 0% versus -2. 1% for RGR. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — AVAV leads at 39. 4%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is RGR or KTOS or AVAV or SWBI more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc.
(RGR) trades at 20. 6x forward P/E versus 73. 5x for Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. — 52. 9x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for AVAV: 104. 3% to $343. 60.
08Which pays a better dividend — RGR or KTOS or AVAV or SWBI?
In this comparison, SWBI (3.
5% yield), RGR (1. 6% yield) pay a dividend. KTOS, AVAV do not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is RGR or KTOS or AVAV or SWBI better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc.
(SWBI) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 74), 3. 5% yield). AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) carries a higher beta of 1. 57 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (SWBI: -3. 7%, AVAV: +498. 3%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between RGR and KTOS and AVAV and SWBI?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: RGR is a small-cap quality compounder stock; KTOS is a mid-cap high-growth stock; AVAV is a small-cap quality compounder stock; SWBI is a small-cap income-oriented stock. RGR, SWBI pay a dividend while KTOS, AVAV do not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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