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RKLB vs SPCE
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Aerospace & Defense
RKLB vs SPCE — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Aerospace & Defense | Aerospace & Defense |
| Market Cap | $48.74B | $168M |
| Revenue (TTM) | $602M | $2M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-198M | $-293M |
| Gross Margin | 34.4% | -46.5% |
| Operating Margin | -38.0% | -183.1% |
| Total Debt | $254M | $420M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $829M | $179M |
RKLB vs SPCE — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Nov 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) | 100 | 850.8 | +750.8% |
| Virgin Galactic Hol… (SPCE) | 100 | 0.5 | -99.5% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: RKLB vs SPCE
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
RKLB carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 38.0%, EPS growth 2.6%, 3Y rev CAGR 41.8%
- 7.7% 10Y total return vs SPCE's -98.7%
- 38.0% revenue growth vs SPCE's 3.5%
SPCE is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- beta 1.91
- Lower volatility, beta 1.91, current ratio 4.19x
- Beta 1.91, current ratio 4.19x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 38.0% revenue growth vs SPCE's 3.5% | |
| Quality / Margins | -32.9% margin vs SPCE's -176.2% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.91 vs RKLB's 2.91 | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +278.4% vs SPCE's -6.3% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | -10.8% ROA vs SPCE's -34.3%, ROIC -19.9% vs -42.0% |
RKLB vs SPCE — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
RKLB vs SPCE — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
RKLB leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
RKLB is the larger business by revenue, generating $602M annually — 362.3x SPCE's $2M. RKLB is the more profitable business, keeping -32.9% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to SPCE's -176.2%. On growth, RKLB holds the edge at +35.7% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $602M | $2M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$185M | -$287M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$198M | -$293M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$322M | -$460M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +34.4% | -46.5% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -38.0% | -183.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -32.9% | -176.2% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -53.5% | -277.1% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +35.7% | -9.2% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +7.6% | +59.0% |
Valuation Metrics
SPCE leads this category, winning 2 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $48.7B | $168M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $48.2B | $410M |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -228.78x | -0.19x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 80.99x | 23.88x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 26.09x | 0.21x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
RKLB leads this category, winning 9 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
RKLB delivers a -19.2% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $-19 in annual profit, vs $-130 for SPCE. RKLB carries lower financial leverage with a 0.15x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to SPCE's 1.30x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), RKLB scores 5/9 vs SPCE's 2/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -19.2% | -129.5% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -10.8% | -34.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -19.9% | -42.0% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -16.1% | -41.7% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 2 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.15x | 1.30x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$575M | $242M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $829M | $179M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $254M | $420M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -20.38x | -21.56x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
RKLB leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in RKLB five years ago would be worth $83,481 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $69 for SPCE. Over the past 12 months, RKLB leads with a +278.4% total return vs SPCE's -6.3%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors RKLB at 180.1% vs SPCE's -68.1% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +11.4% | -19.1% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +278.4% | -6.3% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +2098.7% | -96.7% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +734.8% | -99.3% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +768.7% | -98.7% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +180.1% | -68.1% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — RKLB and SPCE each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
SPCE is the less volatile stock with a 1.91 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than RKLB's 2.91 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. RKLB currently trades 85.0% from its 52-week high vs SPCE's 40.1% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 2.91x | 1.91x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $99.58 | $6.64 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $20.23 | $2.13 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +85.0% | +40.1% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 51.8 | 42.9 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 21.7M | 6.1M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates RKLB as "Buy" and SPCE as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 9.1% upside for RKLB (target: $92) vs -0.4% for SPCE (target: $3).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $92.33 | $2.65 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 18 | 17 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
RKLB leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). SPCE leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 1 tied.
RKLB vs SPCE: Frequently Asked Questions
8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is RKLB or SPCE a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Rocket Lab USA, Inc.
(RKLB) is the stronger pick with 38. 0% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 3. 5% for Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. (SPCE). Analysts rate Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) a "Buy" — based on 18 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — RKLB or SPCE?
Over the past 5 years, Rocket Lab USA, Inc.
(RKLB) delivered a total return of +734. 8%, compared to -99. 3% for Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. (SPCE). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: RKLB returned +768. 7% versus SPCE's -98. 7%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — RKLB or SPCE?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc.
(SPCE) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 91β versus Rocket Lab USA, Inc. 's 2. 91β — meaning RKLB is approximately 52% more volatile than SPCE relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 15% versus 130% for Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — RKLB or SPCE?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Rocket Lab USA, Inc.
(RKLB) is pulling ahead at 38. 0% versus 3. 5% for Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. (SPCE). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. grew EPS 53. 4% year-over-year, compared to 2. 6% for Rocket Lab USA, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, RKLB leads at 41. 8% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — RKLB or SPCE?
Rocket Lab USA, Inc.
(RKLB) is the more profitable company, earning -32. 9% net margin versus -49. 3% for Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. — meaning it keeps -32. 9% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: RKLB leads at -38. 0% versus -53. 5% for SPCE. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — RKLB leads at 34. 4%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Which pays a better dividend — RKLB or SPCE?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
07Is RKLB or SPCE better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Rocket Lab USA, Inc.
(RKLB) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (+768. 7% 10Y return). Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. (SPCE) carries a higher beta of 1. 91 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (RKLB: +768. 7%, SPCE: -98. 7%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
08What are the main differences between RKLB and SPCE?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: RKLB is a mid-cap high-growth stock; SPCE is a small-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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