Industrial - Machinery
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SERV vs SPIR
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Specialty Business Services
SERV vs SPIR — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Industrial - Machinery | Specialty Business Services |
| Market Cap | $563M | $541.04B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $3M | $72M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-101M | $-25.02B |
| Gross Margin | -5.8% | 40.8% |
| Operating Margin | -42.5% | -121.4% |
| Forward P/E | — | 10.2x |
| Total Debt | $5M | $8.76B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $106M | $24.81B |
SERV vs SPIR — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Mar 24 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Serve Robotics Inc. (SERV) | 100 | 177.5 | +77.5% |
| Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR) | 100 | 137.2 | +37.2% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: SERV vs SPIR
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
SERV carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 46.3%, EPS growth -52.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 190.8%
- 71.8% 10Y total return vs SPIR's -78.3%
- Lower volatility, beta 4.09, Low D/E 1.5%, current ratio 18.13x
SPIR is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and defensive.
- beta 2.93
- Beta 2.93, current ratio 1.30x
- Beta 2.93 vs SERV's 4.09
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 46.3% revenue growth vs SPIR's -35.2% | |
| Quality / Margins | -38.2% margin vs SPIR's -349.6% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 2.93 vs SERV's 4.09 | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +77.8% vs SERV's +44.2% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | -36.9% ROA vs SPIR's -47.3%, ROIC -64.9% vs -0.1% |
SERV vs SPIR — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
SERV vs SPIR — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — SERV and SPIR each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
SPIR is the larger business by revenue, generating $72M annually — 27.0x SERV's $3M. SERV is the more profitable business, keeping -38.2% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to SPIR's -349.6%. On growth, SERV holds the edge at +4.0% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $3M | $72M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$105M | -$74M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$101M | -$25.0B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$118M | -$16.2B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | -5.8% | +40.8% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -42.5% | -121.4% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -38.2% | -349.6% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -44.5% | -227.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +4.0% | -26.9% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -27.8% | +59.5% |
Valuation Metrics
SERV leads this category, winning 3 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $563M | $541.0B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $463M | $525.0B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -5.61x | 10.22x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 212.56x | 7561.39x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.62x | 4.66x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
SPIR leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
SERV delivers a -38.5% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $-39 in annual profit, vs $-88 for SPIR. SERV carries lower financial leverage with a 0.01x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to SPIR's 0.08x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), SPIR scores 5/9 vs SERV's 3/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -38.5% | -88.4% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -36.9% | -47.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -64.9% | -0.1% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -46.3% | -0.1% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 3 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.01x | 0.08x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$101M | -$16.1B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $106M | $24.8B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $5M | $8.8B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -10950.46x | 9.20x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
SPIR leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in SERV five years ago would be worth $17,180 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $2,078 for SPIR. Over the past 12 months, SPIR leads with a +77.8% total return vs SERV's +44.2%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors SPIR at 49.0% vs SERV's 19.8% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -22.7% | +110.8% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +44.2% | +77.8% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +71.8% | +231.1% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +71.8% | -79.2% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +71.8% | -78.3% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +19.8% | +49.0% |
Risk & Volatility
SPIR leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
SPIR is the less volatile stock with a 2.93 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than SERV's 4.09 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. SPIR currently trades 69.8% from its 52-week high vs SERV's 49.0% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 4.09x | 2.93x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $18.64 | $23.59 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $5.87 | $6.60 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +49.0% | +69.8% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 50.9 | 52.8 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 3.7M | 1.5M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates SERV as "Buy" and SPIR as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 78.7% upside for SERV (target: $16) vs 4.8% for SPIR (target: $17).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $16.33 | $17.25 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 20 | 12 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
SPIR leads in 3 of 6 categories (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns). SERV leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 1 tied.
SERV vs SPIR: Frequently Asked Questions
8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is SERV or SPIR a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Serve Robotics Inc.
(SERV) is the stronger pick with 46. 3% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -35. 2% for Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR). Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR) offers the better valuation at 10. 2x trailing P/E, making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Serve Robotics Inc. (SERV) a "Buy" — based on 20 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — SERV or SPIR?
Over the past 5 years, Serve Robotics Inc.
(SERV) delivered a total return of +71. 8%, compared to -79. 2% for Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: SERV returned +71. 8% versus SPIR's -78. 3%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — SERV or SPIR?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Spire Global, Inc.
(SPIR) is the lower-risk stock at 2. 93β versus Serve Robotics Inc. 's 4. 09β — meaning SERV is approximately 40% more volatile than SPIR relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Serve Robotics Inc. (SERV) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 1% versus 8% for Spire Global, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — SERV or SPIR?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Serve Robotics Inc.
(SERV) is pulling ahead at 46. 3% versus -35. 2% for Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Spire Global, Inc. grew EPS 137. 8% year-over-year, compared to -52. 3% for Serve Robotics Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, SERV leads at 190. 8% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — SERV or SPIR?
Spire Global, Inc.
(SPIR) is the more profitable company, earning 71. 7% net margin versus -38. 2% for Serve Robotics Inc. — meaning it keeps 71. 7% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: SPIR leads at -121. 4% versus -42. 5% for SERV. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — SPIR leads at 40. 8%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Which pays a better dividend — SERV or SPIR?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
07Is SERV or SPIR better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Serve Robotics Inc.
(SERV) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding. Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR) carries a higher beta of 2. 93 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (SERV: +71. 8%, SPIR: -78. 3%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
08What are the main differences between SERV and SPIR?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: SERV is a small-cap high-growth stock; SPIR is a large-cap deep-value stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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