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SHAK vs DNUT
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Grocery Stores
SHAK vs DNUT — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Restaurants | Grocery Stores |
| Market Cap | $3.89B | $634M |
| Revenue (TTM) | $1.45B | $1.52B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $46M | $-516M |
| Gross Margin | 18.0% | 14.1% |
| Operating Margin | 4.8% | -29.4% |
| Forward P/E | 70.0x | — |
| Total Debt | $902M | $1.42B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $360M | $-42M |
SHAK vs DNUT — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Jul 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK) | 100 | 96.0 | -4.0% |
| Krispy Kreme, Inc. (DNUT) | 100 | 23.1 | -76.9% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: SHAK vs DNUT
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
SHAK carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 1.75
- Rev growth 15.4%, EPS growth 354.2%, 3Y rev CAGR 17.1%
- 181.2% 10Y total return vs DNUT's -80.0%
DNUT is the clearest fit if your priority is defensive.
- Beta 1.51, yield 1.9%, current ratio 0.38x
- Beta 1.51 vs SHAK's 1.75
- 1.9% yield; the other pay no meaningful dividend
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 15.4% revenue growth vs DNUT's -8.6% | |
| Quality / Margins | 3.2% margin vs DNUT's -33.9% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.51 vs SHAK's 1.75 | |
| Dividends | 1.9% yield; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | -2.2% vs DNUT's -15.6% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 2.5% ROA vs DNUT's -18.9%, ROIC 6.0% vs -1.1% |
SHAK vs DNUT — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
SHAK vs DNUT — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
SHAK leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
DNUT and SHAK operate at a comparable scale, with $1.5B and $1.4B in trailing revenue. SHAK is the more profitable business, keeping 3.2% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to DNUT's -33.9%. On growth, SHAK holds the edge at +21.9% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $1.4B | $1.5B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $176M | -$311M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $46M | -$516M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $57M | -$64M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +18.0% | +14.1% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +4.8% | -29.4% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +3.2% | -33.9% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +3.9% | -4.2% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +21.9% | -2.9% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +33.3% | -23.1% |
Valuation Metrics
DNUT leads this category, winning 4 of 4 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, DNUT's 20.2x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than SHAK's 23.0x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $3.9B | $634M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $4.4B | $2.1B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 88.55x | -1.21x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 69.99x | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 23.02x | 20.24x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 2.69x | 0.42x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 7.29x | 0.93x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 68.77x | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
SHAK leads this category, winning 9 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
SHAK delivers a 8.7% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $9 in annual profit, vs $-64 for DNUT. SHAK carries lower financial leverage with a 1.63x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to DNUT's 2.10x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), SHAK scores 7/9 vs DNUT's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +8.7% | -64.0% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +2.5% | -18.9% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +6.0% | -1.1% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +5.4% | -1.4% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.63x | 2.10x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $542M | $1.5B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $360M | -$42M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $902M | $1.4B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 14.47x | -6.86x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
SHAK leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in SHAK five years ago would be worth $9,138 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $2,002 for DNUT. Over the past 12 months, SHAK leads with a -2.2% total return vs DNUT's -15.6%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors SHAK at 13.0% vs DNUT's -35.6% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +15.6% | -9.8% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -2.2% | -15.6% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +44.2% | -73.3% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -8.6% | -80.0% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +181.2% | -80.0% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +13.0% | -35.6% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — SHAK and DNUT each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
DNUT is the less volatile stock with a 1.51 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than SHAK's 1.75 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.75x | 1.51x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $144.65 | $5.73 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $76.51 | $2.50 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +66.7% | +64.2% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 48.2 | 50.3 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.3M | 2.4M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates SHAK as "Hold" and DNUT as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 25.2% upside for SHAK (target: $121) vs 22.3% for DNUT (target: $5). DNUT is the only dividend payer here at 1.90% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $120.89 | $4.50 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 35 | 11 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +1.9% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $0.07 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +0.2% |
SHAK leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). DNUT leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 1 tied.
SHAK vs DNUT: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is SHAK or DNUT a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Shake Shack Inc.
(SHAK) is the stronger pick with 15. 4% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -8. 6% for Krispy Kreme, Inc. (DNUT). Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK) offers the better valuation at 88. 6x trailing P/E (70. 0x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Krispy Kreme, Inc. (DNUT) a "Buy" — based on 11 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — SHAK or DNUT?
Over the past 5 years, Shake Shack Inc.
(SHAK) delivered a total return of -8. 6%, compared to -80. 0% for Krispy Kreme, Inc. (DNUT). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: SHAK returned +181. 2% versus DNUT's -80. 0%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — SHAK or DNUT?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Krispy Kreme, Inc.
(DNUT) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 51β versus Shake Shack Inc. 's 1. 75β — meaning SHAK is approximately 16% more volatile than DNUT relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 163% versus 2% for Krispy Kreme, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — SHAK or DNUT?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Shake Shack Inc.
(SHAK) is pulling ahead at 15. 4% versus -8. 6% for Krispy Kreme, Inc. (DNUT). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Shake Shack Inc. grew EPS 354. 2% year-over-year, compared to -170. 8% for Krispy Kreme, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, SHAK leads at 17. 1% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — SHAK or DNUT?
Shake Shack Inc.
(SHAK) is the more profitable company, earning 3. 2% net margin versus -33. 9% for Krispy Kreme, Inc. — meaning it keeps 3. 2% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: SHAK leads at 5. 9% versus -2. 2% for DNUT. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — SHAK leads at 18. 0%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is SHAK or DNUT more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for SHAK: 25.
2% to $120. 89.
07Which pays a better dividend — SHAK or DNUT?
In this comparison, DNUT (1.
9% yield) pays a dividend. SHAK does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
08Is SHAK or DNUT better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Krispy Kreme, Inc.
(DNUT) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (1. 9% yield). Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK) carries a higher beta of 1. 75 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (DNUT: -80. 0%, SHAK: +181. 2%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between SHAK and DNUT?
These companies operate in different sectors (SHAK (Consumer Cyclical) and DNUT (Consumer Defensive)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: SHAK is a small-cap high-growth stock; DNUT is a small-cap quality compounder stock. DNUT pays a dividend while SHAK does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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