Aerospace & Defense
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SPR vs CW vs TDG vs KTOS
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Aerospace & Defense
Aerospace & Defense
Aerospace & Defense
SPR vs CW vs TDG vs KTOS — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Aerospace & Defense | Aerospace & Defense | Aerospace & Defense | Aerospace & Defense |
| Market Cap | $4.64B | $26.70B | $70.14B | $10.68B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $6.39B | $3.61B | $9.11B | $1.42B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-2.60B | $511M | $1.97B | $29M |
| Gross Margin | -27.7% | 37.2% | 59.0% | 18.3% |
| Operating Margin | -34.6% | 18.5% | 46.5% | 1.8% |
| Forward P/E | 31.5x | 48.3x | 30.6x | 76.4x |
| Total Debt | $5.38B | $1.31B | $30.03B | $180M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $537M | $371M | $2.81B | $561M |
SPR vs CW vs TDG vs KTOS — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | Dec 25 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spirit AeroSystems … (SPR) | 100 | 182.3 | +82.3% |
| Curtiss-Wright Corp… (CW) | 100 | 562.6 | +462.6% |
| TransDigm Group Inc… (TDG) | 100 | 320.2 | +220.2% |
| Kratos Defense & Se… (KTOS) | 100 | 410.2 | +310.2% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: SPR vs CW vs TDG vs KTOS
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
SPR is the clearest fit if your priority is stability.
- Beta 0.67 vs KTOS's 1.84
CW is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if long-term compounding is your priority.
- 8.2% 10Y total return vs KTOS's 12.3%
- +100.0% vs TDG's -3.7%
- 9.8% ROA vs SPR's -42.6%, ROIC 14.1% vs -50.9%
TDG carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 2 yrs, beta 0.79, yield 13.3%
- Rev growth 11.2%, EPS growth 25.2%, 3Y rev CAGR 17.6%
- PEG 0.98 vs CW's 2.22
- Beta 0.79, yield 13.3%, current ratio 3.21x
KTOS is the clearest fit if your priority is sleep-well-at-night.
- Lower volatility, beta 1.84, Low D/E 9.0%, current ratio 4.06x
- 18.5% revenue growth vs SPR's 4.4%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 18.5% revenue growth vs SPR's 4.4% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (30.6x vs 76.4x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 21.6% margin vs SPR's -40.7% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.67 vs KTOS's 1.84 | |
| Dividends | 13.3% yield, 2-year raise streak, vs CW's 0.1%, (2 stocks pay no dividend) | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +100.0% vs TDG's -3.7% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 9.8% ROA vs SPR's -42.6%, ROIC 14.1% vs -50.9% |
SPR vs CW vs TDG vs KTOS — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
SPR vs CW vs TDG vs KTOS — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
TDG leads in 2 of 6 categories
CW leads 2 • SPR leads 0 • KTOS leads 0 • 2 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
TDG leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
TDG is the larger business by revenue, generating $9.1B annually — 6.4x KTOS's $1.4B. TDG is the more profitable business, keeping 21.6% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to SPR's -40.7%. On growth, KTOS holds the edge at +22.6% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $6.4B | $3.6B | $9.1B | $1.4B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$2.0B | $729M | $4.6B | $72M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$2.6B | $511M | $2.0B | $29M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$803M | $591M | $1.9B | -$133M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | -27.7% | +37.2% | +59.0% | +18.3% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -34.6% | +18.5% | +46.5% | +1.8% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -40.7% | +14.2% | +21.6% | +2.1% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -12.6% | +16.4% | +20.6% | -9.4% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +7.8% | +13.4% | +13.9% | +22.6% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -51.3% | +29.1% | -13.1% | +133.3% |
Valuation Metrics
TDG leads this category, winning 4 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 38.7x trailing earnings, TDG trades at a 91% valuation discount to KTOS's 438.5x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), TDG offers better value at 1.24x vs CW's 2.58x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $4.6B | $26.7B | $70.1B | $10.7B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $9.5B | $27.6B | $97.4B | $10.3B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -2.16x | 56.20x | 38.72x | 438.46x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 31.52x | 48.34x | 30.56x | 76.41x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 2.58x | 1.24x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 43.32x | 21.48x | 118.42x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.73x | 7.63x | 7.94x | 7.93x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | — | 10.74x | — | 4.94x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 48.21x | 38.63x | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
CW leads this category, winning 4 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
CW delivers a 19.6% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $20 in annual profit, vs $1 for KTOS. KTOS carries lower financial leverage with a 0.09x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to CW's 0.52x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), CW scores 7/9 vs SPR's 2/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | — | +19.6% | — | +1.3% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -42.6% | +9.8% | +8.6% | +1.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -50.9% | +14.1% | +20.9% | +1.4% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -44.9% | +16.6% | +20.8% | +1.5% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 4 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | — | 0.52x | — | 0.09x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $4.8B | $943M | $27.2B | -$381M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $537M | $371M | $2.8B | $561M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $5.4B | $1.3B | $30.0B | $180M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -5.57x | 15.90x | 2.55x | 6.16x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
CW leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in CW five years ago would be worth $54,902 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $8,973 for SPR. Over the past 12 months, CW leads with a +100.0% total return vs TDG's -3.7%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors CW at 64.7% vs SPR's 17.2% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | — | +26.4% | -8.6% | -28.1% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +10.1% | +100.0% | -3.7% | +58.1% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +61.2% | +347.1% | +86.7% | +331.5% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -10.3% | +449.0% | +140.2% | +110.3% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -11.1% | +815.8% | +595.3% | +1231.8% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +17.2% | +64.7% | +23.1% | +62.8% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — SPR and CW each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
SPR is the less volatile stock with a 0.67 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than KTOS's 1.84 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. CW currently trades 96.4% from its 52-week high vs KTOS's 42.5% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.68x | 1.24x | 0.79x | 1.87x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $42.33 | $750.00 | $1623.83 | $134.00 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $34.62 | $359.48 | $1123.61 | $32.85 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +93.3% | +96.4% | +76.5% | +42.5% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 67.1 | 59.8 | 56.5 | 38.8 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 5.8M | 303K | 370K | 4.3M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — CW and TDG each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: SPR as "Hold", CW as "Buy", TDG as "Buy", KTOS as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 92.2% upside for KTOS (target: $110) vs 2.4% for CW (target: $741). For income investors, TDG offers the higher dividend yield at 13.32% vs CW's 0.13%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $46.15 | $741.00 | $1568.30 | $109.58 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 43 | 25 | 39 | 24 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +0.1% | +13.3% | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 10 | 2 | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $0.92 | $165.45 | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +1.7% | +0.7% | 0.0% |
TDG leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). CW leads in 2 (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns). 2 tied.
SPR vs CW vs TDG vs KTOS: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is SPR or CW or TDG or KTOS a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.
(KTOS) is the stronger pick with 18. 5% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 4. 4% for Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc. (SPR). TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) offers the better valuation at 38. 7x trailing P/E (30. 6x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Curtiss-Wright Corporation (CW) a "Buy" — based on 25 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — SPR or CW or TDG or KTOS?
On trailing P/E, TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) is the cheapest at 38.
7x versus Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. at 438. 5x. On forward P/E, TransDigm Group Incorporated is actually cheaper at 30. 6x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: TransDigm Group Incorporated wins at 0. 98x versus Curtiss-Wright Corporation's 2. 22x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — SPR or CW or TDG or KTOS?
Over the past 5 years, Curtiss-Wright Corporation (CW) delivered a total return of +449.
0%, compared to -10. 3% for Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc. (SPR). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: KTOS returned +1253% versus SPR's -11. 1%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — SPR or CW or TDG or KTOS?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc.
(SPR) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 68β versus Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. 's 1. 87β — meaning KTOS is approximately 174% more volatile than SPR relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (KTOS) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 9% versus 52% for Curtiss-Wright Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — SPR or CW or TDG or KTOS?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.
(KTOS) is pulling ahead at 18. 5% versus 4. 4% for Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc. (SPR). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: TransDigm Group Incorporated grew EPS 25. 2% year-over-year, compared to -208. 4% for Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, TDG leads at 17. 6% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — SPR or CW or TDG or KTOS?
TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) is the more profitable company, earning 23.
5% net margin versus -33. 9% for Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc. — meaning it keeps 23. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: TDG leads at 47. 2% versus -28. 3% for SPR. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — TDG leads at 60. 1%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is SPR or CW or TDG or KTOS more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 98x versus Curtiss-Wright Corporation's 2. 22x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) trades at 30. 6x forward P/E versus 76. 4x for Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. — 45. 9x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for KTOS: 92. 2% to $109. 58.
08Which pays a better dividend — SPR or CW or TDG or KTOS?
In this comparison, TDG (13.
3% yield), CW (0. 1% yield) pay a dividend. SPR, KTOS do not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is SPR or CW or TDG or KTOS better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
79), 13. 3% yield, +583. 3% 10Y return). Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (KTOS) carries a higher beta of 1. 87 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (TDG: +583. 3%, KTOS: +1253%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between SPR and CW and TDG and KTOS?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: SPR is a small-cap quality compounder stock; CW is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; TDG is a mid-cap income-oriented stock; KTOS is a mid-cap high-growth stock. TDG pays a dividend while SPR, CW, KTOS do not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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