Aerospace & Defense
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SPR vs TDG
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Aerospace & Defense
SPR vs TDG — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Aerospace & Defense | Aerospace & Defense |
| Market Cap | $4.64B | $69.67B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $6.39B | $9.11B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-2.60B | $1.97B |
| Gross Margin | -27.7% | 59.0% |
| Operating Margin | -34.6% | 46.5% |
| Forward P/E | 31.5x | 31.8x |
| Total Debt | $5.38B | $30.03B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $537M | $2.81B |
SPR vs TDG — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | Dec 25 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spirit AeroSystems … (SPR) | 100 | 182.3 | +82.3% |
| TransDigm Group Inc… (TDG) | 100 | 320.2 | +220.2% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: SPR vs TDG
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
SPR is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 0.67
- Lower volatility, beta 0.67, current ratio 1.05x
- Beta 0.67, current ratio 1.05x
TDG carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 11.2%, EPS growth 25.2%, 3Y rev CAGR 17.6%
- 6.0% 10Y total return vs SPR's -11.2%
- 11.2% revenue growth vs SPR's 4.4%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 11.2% revenue growth vs SPR's 4.4% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (31.5x vs 31.8x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 21.6% margin vs SPR's -40.7% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.67 vs TDG's 0.79 | |
| Dividends | 13.4% yield; 2-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +10.4% vs TDG's -4.9% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 8.6% ROA vs SPR's -42.6%, ROIC 20.9% vs -50.9% |
SPR vs TDG — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
SPR vs TDG — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
TDG leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
TDG and SPR operate at a comparable scale, with $9.1B and $6.4B in trailing revenue. TDG is the more profitable business, keeping 21.6% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to SPR's -40.7%. On growth, TDG holds the edge at +13.9% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $6.4B | $9.1B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$2.0B | $4.6B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$2.6B | $2.0B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$803M | $1.9B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | -27.7% | +59.0% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -34.6% | +46.5% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -40.7% | +21.6% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -12.6% | +20.6% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +7.8% | +13.9% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -51.3% | -13.1% |
Valuation Metrics
SPR leads this category, winning 3 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $4.6B | $69.7B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $9.5B | $96.9B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -2.16x | 38.46x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 31.52x | 31.79x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 1.24x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 21.38x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.73x | 7.89x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | — | — |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 38.36x |
Profitability & Efficiency
TDG leads this category, winning 5 of 7 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), TDG scores 6/9 vs SPR's 2/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | — | — |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -42.6% | +8.6% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -50.9% | +20.9% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -44.9% | +20.8% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 2 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | — | — |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $4.8B | $27.2B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $537M | $2.8B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $5.4B | $30.0B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -5.57x | 2.55x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
TDG leads this category, winning 4 of 5 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in TDG five years ago would be worth $24,241 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $8,944 for SPR. Over the past 12 months, SPR leads with a +10.4% total return vs TDG's -4.9%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors TDG at 22.9% vs SPR's 17.2% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | — | -9.2% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +10.4% | -4.9% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +61.2% | +85.6% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -10.6% | +142.4% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -11.2% | +596.5% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +17.2% | +22.9% |
Risk & Volatility
SPR leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
SPR is the less volatile stock with a 0.67 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than TDG's 0.79 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. SPR currently trades 93.3% from its 52-week high vs TDG's 76.0% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.67x | 0.79x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $42.33 | $1623.83 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $34.62 | $1123.61 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +93.3% | +76.0% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 67.1 | 49.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 5.8M | 371K |
Analyst Outlook
TDG leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates SPR as "Hold" and TDG as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 31.1% upside for TDG (target: $1618) vs 16.8% for SPR (target: $46). TDG is the only dividend payer here at 13.41% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $46.15 | $1617.88 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 43 | 39 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +13.4% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 2 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $165.45 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +0.7% |
TDG leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). SPR leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Risk & Volatility).
SPR vs TDG: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is SPR or TDG a better buy right now?
For growth investors, TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) is the stronger pick with 11.
2% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 4. 4% for Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc. (SPR). TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) offers the better valuation at 38. 5x trailing P/E (31. 8x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) a "Buy" — based on 39 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — SPR or TDG?
On forward P/E, Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc.
is actually cheaper at 31. 5x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — SPR or TDG?
Over the past 5 years, TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) delivered a total return of +142.
4%, compared to -10. 6% for Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc. (SPR). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: TDG returned +596. 5% versus SPR's -11. 2%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — SPR or TDG?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc.
(SPR) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 67β versus TransDigm Group Incorporated's 0. 79β — meaning TDG is approximately 18% more volatile than SPR relative to the S&P 500.
05Which is growing faster — SPR or TDG?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) is pulling ahead at 11.
2% versus 4. 4% for Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc. (SPR). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: TransDigm Group Incorporated grew EPS 25. 2% year-over-year, compared to -208. 4% for Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, TDG leads at 17. 6% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — SPR or TDG?
TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) is the more profitable company, earning 23.
5% net margin versus -33. 9% for Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc. — meaning it keeps 23. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: TDG leads at 47. 2% versus -28. 3% for SPR. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — TDG leads at 60. 1%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is SPR or TDG more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc.
(SPR) trades at 31. 5x forward P/E versus 31. 8x for TransDigm Group Incorporated — 0. 3x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for TDG: 31. 1% to $1617. 88.
08Which pays a better dividend — SPR or TDG?
In this comparison, TDG (13.
4% yield) pays a dividend. SPR does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is SPR or TDG better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
79), 13. 4% yield, +596. 5% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (TDG: +596. 5%, SPR: -11. 2%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between SPR and TDG?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: SPR is a small-cap quality compounder stock; TDG is a mid-cap income-oriented stock. TDG pays a dividend while SPR does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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