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SWIM vs TREX
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Construction
SWIM vs TREX — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Construction | Construction |
| Market Cap | $673M | $4.12B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $552M | $1.18B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $9M | $191M |
| Gross Margin | 28.5% | 39.2% |
| Operating Margin | 5.5% | 22.1% |
| Forward P/E | 34.4x | 24.0x |
| Total Debt | $35M | $229M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $71M | $4M |
SWIM vs TREX — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Apr 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Latham Group, Inc. (SWIM) | 100 | 22.1 | -77.9% |
| Trex Company, Inc. (TREX) | 100 | 36.3 | -63.7% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: SWIM vs TREX
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
SWIM is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 2 yrs, beta 2.11
- Rev growth 7.4%, EPS growth 161.9%, 3Y rev CAGR -7.8%
- Lower volatility, beta 2.11, Low D/E 8.6%, current ratio 2.77x
TREX carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for long-term compounding and defensive.
- 239.9% 10Y total return vs SWIM's -78.9%
- Beta 1.47, current ratio 1.24x
- Lower P/E (24.0x vs 34.4x)
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 7.4% revenue growth vs TREX's 2.0% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (24.0x vs 34.4x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 16.3% margin vs SWIM's 1.5% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.47 vs SWIM's 2.11 | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | -3.7% vs TREX's -30.8% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 12.3% ROA vs SWIM's 1.0%, ROIC 16.4% vs 4.7% |
SWIM vs TREX — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
SWIM vs TREX — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
TREX leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
TREX is the larger business by revenue, generating $1.2B annually — 2.1x SWIM's $552M. TREX is the more profitable business, keeping 16.3% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to SWIM's 1.5%. On growth, SWIM holds the edge at +5.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $552M | $1.2B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $69M | $309M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $9M | $191M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $18M | $263M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +28.5% | +39.2% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +5.5% | +22.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +1.5% | +16.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +3.3% | +22.3% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +5.3% | +1.0% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -40.0% | +3.6% |
Valuation Metrics
SWIM leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 22.0x trailing earnings, TREX trades at a 64% valuation discount to SWIM's 62.0x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, SWIM's 7.6x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than TREX's 13.5x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $673M | $4.1B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $636M | $4.3B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 61.96x | 22.00x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 34.41x | 23.95x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 6.58x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 7.64x | 13.53x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.23x | 3.51x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.70x | 4.05x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 25.82x | 30.60x |
Profitability & Efficiency
Evenly matched — SWIM and TREX each lead in 4 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
TREX delivers a 18.8% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $19 in annual profit, vs $2 for SWIM. SWIM carries lower financial leverage with a 0.09x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to TREX's 0.22x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), SWIM scores 7/9 vs TREX's 6/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +2.1% | +18.8% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +1.0% | +12.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +4.7% | +16.4% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +4.3% | +23.2% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.09x | 0.22x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$36M | $225M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $71M | $4M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $35M | $229M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 1.66x | — |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
Evenly matched — SWIM and TREX each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in TREX five years ago would be worth $3,599 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $1,989 for SWIM. Over the past 12 months, SWIM leads with a -3.7% total return vs TREX's -30.8%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors SWIM at 31.0% vs TREX's -11.4% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -9.2% | +9.3% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -3.7% | -30.8% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +124.6% | -30.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -80.1% | -64.0% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -78.9% | +239.9% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +31.0% | -11.4% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — SWIM and TREX each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
TREX is the less volatile stock with a 1.47 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than SWIM's 2.11 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. SWIM currently trades 64.1% from its 52-week high vs TREX's 56.9% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 2.11x | 1.47x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $8.97 | $68.78 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $5.04 | $29.77 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +64.1% | +56.9% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 47.0 | 51.3 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 791K | 1.7M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates SWIM as "Buy" and TREX as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 43.5% upside for SWIM (target: $8) vs 13.6% for TREX (target: $45).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $8.25 | $44.50 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 8 | 31 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 2 | 2 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +1.3% |
TREX leads in 1 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow). SWIM leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 3 tied.
SWIM vs TREX: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is SWIM or TREX a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Latham Group, Inc.
(SWIM) is the stronger pick with 7. 4% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 2. 0% for Trex Company, Inc. (TREX). Trex Company, Inc. (TREX) offers the better valuation at 22. 0x trailing P/E (24. 0x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Latham Group, Inc. (SWIM) a "Buy" — based on 8 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — SWIM or TREX?
On trailing P/E, Trex Company, Inc.
(TREX) is the cheapest at 22. 0x versus Latham Group, Inc. at 62. 0x. On forward P/E, Trex Company, Inc. is actually cheaper at 24. 0x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — SWIM or TREX?
Over the past 5 years, Trex Company, Inc.
(TREX) delivered a total return of -64. 0%, compared to -80. 1% for Latham Group, Inc. (SWIM). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: TREX returned +239. 9% versus SWIM's -78. 9%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — SWIM or TREX?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Trex Company, Inc.
(TREX) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 47β versus Latham Group, Inc. 's 2. 11β — meaning SWIM is approximately 44% more volatile than TREX relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Latham Group, Inc. (SWIM) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 9% versus 22% for Trex Company, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — SWIM or TREX?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Latham Group, Inc.
(SWIM) is pulling ahead at 7. 4% versus 2. 0% for Trex Company, Inc. (TREX). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Latham Group, Inc. grew EPS 161. 9% year-over-year, compared to -14. 8% for Trex Company, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, TREX leads at 2. 0% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — SWIM or TREX?
Trex Company, Inc.
(TREX) is the more profitable company, earning 16. 2% net margin versus 2. 0% for Latham Group, Inc. — meaning it keeps 16. 2% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: TREX leads at 22. 0% versus 5. 8% for SWIM. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — TREX leads at 39. 2%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is SWIM or TREX more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Trex Company, Inc.
(TREX) trades at 24. 0x forward P/E versus 34. 4x for Latham Group, Inc. — 10. 5x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for SWIM: 43. 5% to $8. 25.
08Which pays a better dividend — SWIM or TREX?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
09Is SWIM or TREX better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Trex Company, Inc.
(TREX) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (+239. 9% 10Y return). Latham Group, Inc. (SWIM) carries a higher beta of 2. 11 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (TREX: +239. 9%, SWIM: -78. 9%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between SWIM and TREX?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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