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TFPM vs NEM
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Gold
TFPM vs NEM — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Other Precious Metals | Gold |
| Market Cap | $6.69B | $125.72B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $453M | $17.23B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $311M | $5.26B |
| Gross Margin | 74.4% | 52.1% |
| Operating Margin | 62.8% | 49.3% |
| Forward P/E | 22.1x | 10.9x |
| Total Debt | $3M | $474M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $29M | $7.65B |
TFPM vs NEM — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Sep 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Triple Flag Preciou… (TFPM) | 100 | 354.5 | +254.5% |
| Newmont Corporation (NEM) | 100 | 209.0 | +109.0% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: TFPM vs NEM
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
TFPM carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 5 yrs, beta 0.53, yield 0.7%
- Rev growth 47.0%, EPS growth 11.9%, 3Y rev CAGR 37.6%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.53, Low D/E 0.1%, current ratio 3.92x
NEM is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding.
- 293.1% 10Y total return vs TFPM's 265.3%
- Lower P/E (10.9x vs 22.1x)
- +112.0% vs TFPM's +49.0%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 47.0% revenue growth vs NEM's 19.1% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (10.9x vs 22.1x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 68.6% margin vs NEM's 30.5% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.53 vs NEM's 0.75, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 0.7% yield, 5-year raise streak, vs NEM's 0.9% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +112.0% vs TFPM's +49.0% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 15.1% ROA vs NEM's 9.4%, ROIC 9.5% vs 24.9% |
TFPM vs NEM — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
TFPM vs NEM — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
TFPM leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NEM is the larger business by revenue, generating $17.2B annually — 38.0x TFPM's $453M. TFPM is the more profitable business, keeping 68.6% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to NEM's 30.5%. On growth, TFPM holds the edge at +76.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $453M | $17.2B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $344M | $12.7B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $311M | $5.3B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $179M | $12.9B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +74.4% | +52.1% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +62.8% | +49.3% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +68.6% | +30.5% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +39.4% | +75.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +76.3% | -100.0% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +143.5% | -100.0% |
Valuation Metrics
NEM leads this category, winning 5 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 17.7x trailing earnings, NEM trades at a 34% valuation discount to TFPM's 27.0x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), TFPM offers better value at 0.99x vs NEM's 1.38x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $6.7B | $125.7B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $6.7B | $118.6B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 27.00x | 17.70x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 22.11x | 10.89x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.99x | 1.38x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 21.13x | 9.03x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 16.93x | 5.69x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 3.24x | 3.69x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 72.17x | 17.22x |
Profitability & Efficiency
NEM leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
NEM delivers a 15.6% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $16 in annual profit, vs $16 for TFPM. TFPM carries lower financial leverage with a 0.00x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to NEM's 0.01x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), NEM scores 9/9 vs TFPM's 6/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +15.6% | +15.6% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +15.1% | +9.4% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +9.5% | +24.9% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +12.3% | +20.7% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 9 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.00x | 0.01x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$26M | -$7.2B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $29M | $7.6B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $3M | $474M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 99.45x | 50.54x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
NEM leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in TFPM five years ago would be worth $36,535 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $17,998 for NEM. Over the past 12 months, NEM leads with a +112.0% total return vs TFPM's +49.0%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors NEM at 34.3% vs TFPM's 24.8% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -1.0% | +12.4% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +49.0% | +112.0% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +94.2% | +142.1% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +265.3% | +80.0% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +265.3% | +293.1% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +24.8% | +34.3% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — TFPM and NEM each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
TFPM is the less volatile stock with a 0.53 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than NEM's 0.75 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. NEM currently trades 84.1% from its 52-week high vs TFPM's 77.7% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.53x | 0.75x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $41.70 | $134.88 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $19.36 | $48.27 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +77.7% | +84.1% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 43.9 | 53.5 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 553K | 9.2M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — TFPM and NEM each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates TFPM as "Buy" and NEM as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 32.7% upside for TFPM (target: $43) vs 21.2% for NEM (target: $138). For income investors, NEM offers the higher dividend yield at 0.88% vs TFPM's 0.71%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $43.00 | $137.50 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 4 | 36 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +0.7% | +0.9% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 5 | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.23 | $1.00 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.1% | +1.8% |
NEM leads in 3 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). TFPM leads in 1 (Income & Cash Flow). 2 tied.
TFPM vs NEM: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is TFPM or NEM a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp.
(TFPM) is the stronger pick with 47. 0% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 19. 1% for Newmont Corporation (NEM). Newmont Corporation (NEM) offers the better valuation at 17. 7x trailing P/E (10. 9x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. (TFPM) a "Buy" — based on 4 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — TFPM or NEM?
On trailing P/E, Newmont Corporation (NEM) is the cheapest at 17.
7x versus Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. at 27. 0x. On forward P/E, Newmont Corporation is actually cheaper at 10. 9x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. wins at 0. 81x versus Newmont Corporation's 0. 85x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — TFPM or NEM?
Over the past 5 years, Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp.
(TFPM) delivered a total return of +265. 3%, compared to +80. 0% for Newmont Corporation (NEM). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: NEM returned +293. 1% versus TFPM's +265. 3%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — TFPM or NEM?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp.
(TFPM) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 53β versus Newmont Corporation's 0. 75β — meaning NEM is approximately 42% more volatile than TFPM relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. (TFPM) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 0% versus 1% for Newmont Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — TFPM or NEM?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp.
(TFPM) is pulling ahead at 47. 0% versus 19. 1% for Newmont Corporation (NEM). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. grew EPS 1191% year-over-year, compared to 124. 1% for Newmont Corporation. Over a 3-year CAGR, TFPM leads at 37. 6% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — TFPM or NEM?
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp.
(TFPM) is the more profitable company, earning 61. 7% net margin versus 32. 1% for Newmont Corporation — meaning it keeps 61. 7% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: TFPM leads at 59. 3% versus 46. 9% for NEM. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — TFPM leads at 67. 6%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is TFPM or NEM more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. (TFPM) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 81x versus Newmont Corporation's 0. 85x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Newmont Corporation (NEM) trades at 10. 9x forward P/E versus 22. 1x for Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. — 11. 2x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for TFPM: 32. 7% to $43. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — TFPM or NEM?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Newmont Corporation (NEM) offers the highest yield at 0. 9%, versus 0. 7% for Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. (TFPM).
09Is TFPM or NEM better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp.
(TFPM) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 53), 0. 7% yield, +265. 3% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (TFPM: +265. 3%, NEM: +293. 1%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between TFPM and NEM?
Both stocks operate in the Basic Materials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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