Specialty Business Services
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TH vs STWD
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
REIT - Mortgage
TH vs STWD — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Specialty Business Services | REIT - Mortgage |
| Market Cap | $1.56B | $6.90B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $321M | $1.89B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-37M | $412M |
| Gross Margin | 8.3% | 57.2% |
| Operating Margin | -10.3% | 51.6% |
| Forward P/E | — | 10.2x |
| Total Debt | $11M | $22.20B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $8M | $499M |
TH vs STWD — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Target Hospitality … (TH) | 100 | 663.4 | +563.4% |
| Starwood Property T… (STWD) | 100 | 138.2 | +38.2% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: TH vs STWD
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
TH is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 2 yrs, beta 0.79
- Lower volatility, beta 0.79, Low D/E 2.7%, current ratio 0.87x
- +115.6% vs STWD's +5.4%
STWD carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth -7.9%, EPS growth 8.9%, 3Y rev CAGR 6.6%
- 91.7% 10Y total return vs TH's 58.9%
- Beta 0.45, current ratio 0.36x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | -7.9% FFO/revenue growth vs TH's -17.0% | |
| Value | Better valuation composite | |
| Quality / Margins | 21.8% margin vs TH's -11.6% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.45 vs TH's 0.79 | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +115.6% vs STWD's +5.4% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 0.7% ROA vs TH's -6.9%, ROIC 4.8% vs -5.8% |
TH vs STWD — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
TH vs STWD — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
STWD leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
STWD is the larger business by revenue, generating $1.9B annually — 5.9x TH's $321M. STWD is the more profitable business, keeping 21.8% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to TH's -11.6%. On growth, STWD holds the edge at +12.9% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $321M | $1.9B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $40M | $1.0B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$37M | $412M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $39M | $957M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +8.3% | +57.2% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -10.3% | +51.6% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -11.6% | +21.8% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +12.3% | +50.6% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +7.3% | +12.9% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -2.3% | +114.3% |
Valuation Metrics
STWD leads this category, winning 4 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, STWD's 18.9x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than TH's 37.8x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $1.6B | $6.9B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $1.6B | $28.6B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -42.30x | 14.97x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 10.20x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 14.76x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 37.84x | 18.92x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 4.87x | 3.67x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 4.00x | 0.82x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 221.44x | 7.06x |
Profitability & Efficiency
STWD leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
STWD delivers a 5.5% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $5 in annual profit, vs $-9 for TH. TH carries lower financial leverage with a 0.03x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to STWD's 2.96x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), STWD scores 6/9 vs TH's 5/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -9.2% | +5.5% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -6.9% | +0.7% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -5.8% | +4.8% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -6.8% | +2.4% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.03x | 2.96x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $2M | $21.7B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $8M | $499M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $11M | $22.2B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -5.09x | 1.12x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
Evenly matched — TH and STWD each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in TH five years ago would be worth $55,893 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $10,986 for STWD. Over the past 12 months, TH leads with a +115.6% total return vs STWD's +5.4%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors STWD at 12.7% vs TH's 7.8% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +93.2% | +1.7% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +115.6% | +5.4% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +25.4% | +43.3% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +458.9% | +9.9% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +58.9% | +91.7% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +7.8% | +12.7% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — TH and STWD each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
STWD is the less volatile stock with a 0.45 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than TH's 0.79 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. TH currently trades 97.1% from its 52-week high vs STWD's 86.7% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.79x | 0.45x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $16.12 | $21.05 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $5.97 | $16.90 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +97.1% | +86.7% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 67.2 | 50.5 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.1M | 3.0M |
Analyst Outlook
TH leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates TH as "Buy" and STWD as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 4.1% upside for STWD (target: $19) vs -7.3% for TH (target: $15).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $14.50 | $19.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 6 | 21 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 2 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
STWD leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). TH leads in 1 (Analyst Outlook). 2 tied.
TH vs STWD: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is TH or STWD a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Starwood Property Trust, Inc.
(STWD) is the stronger pick with -7. 9% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -17. 0% for Target Hospitality Corp. (TH). Starwood Property Trust, Inc. (STWD) offers the better valuation at 15. 0x trailing P/E (10. 2x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Target Hospitality Corp. (TH) a "Buy" — based on 6 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — TH or STWD?
Over the past 5 years, Target Hospitality Corp.
(TH) delivered a total return of +458. 9%, compared to +9. 9% for Starwood Property Trust, Inc. (STWD). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: STWD returned +90. 8% versus TH's +60. 3%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — TH or STWD?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Starwood Property Trust, Inc.
(STWD) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 45β versus Target Hospitality Corp. 's 0. 79β — meaning TH is approximately 74% more volatile than STWD relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Target Hospitality Corp. (TH) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 3% versus 3% for Starwood Property Trust, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — TH or STWD?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Starwood Property Trust, Inc.
(STWD) is pulling ahead at -7. 9% versus -17. 0% for Target Hospitality Corp. (TH). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Starwood Property Trust, Inc. grew EPS 8. 9% year-over-year, compared to -152. 9% for Target Hospitality Corp.. Over a 3-year CAGR, STWD leads at 6. 6% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — TH or STWD?
Starwood Property Trust, Inc.
(STWD) is the more profitable company, earning 21. 9% net margin versus -11. 6% for Target Hospitality Corp. — meaning it keeps 21. 9% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: STWD leads at 76. 2% versus -10. 0% for TH. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — STWD leads at 80. 5%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is TH or STWD more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for STWD: 4.
1% to $19. 00.
07Which pays a better dividend — TH or STWD?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
08Is TH or STWD better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Starwood Property Trust, Inc.
(STWD) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 45)). Both have compounded well over 10 years (STWD: +90. 8%, TH: +60. 3%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between TH and STWD?
These companies operate in different sectors (TH (Industrials) and STWD (Real Estate)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: TH is a small-cap quality compounder stock; STWD is a small-cap deep-value stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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