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TMDE vs SOC
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Oil & Gas Drilling
TMDE vs SOC — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing | Oil & Gas Drilling |
| Market Cap | $21M | $1.84T |
| Revenue (TTM) | $689M | $1M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $2M | $-498M |
| Gross Margin | 2.3% | -8.7% |
| Operating Margin | 0.9% | -367.6% |
| Forward P/E | 12.9x | 7.5x |
| Total Debt | $80M | $0.00 |
| Cash & Equiv. | $16M | $98M |
TMDE vs SOC — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Apr 25 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| TMD Energy Limited (TMDE) | 100 | 71.4 | -28.6% |
| Sable Offshore Corp. (SOC) | 100 | 68.8 | -31.2% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: TMDE vs SOC
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
TMDE carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for sleep-well-at-night and defensive.
- Lower volatility, beta -1.99, current ratio 0.86x
- Beta -1.99, current ratio 0.86x
- 0.3% margin vs SOC's -391.5%
SOC is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- EPS growth 40.6%
- 32.4% 10Y total return vs TMDE's -71.1%
- 9.5% revenue growth vs TMDE's 8.8%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 9.5% revenue growth vs TMDE's 8.8% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (7.5x vs 12.9x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 0.3% margin vs SOC's -391.5% | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | -27.1% vs SOC's -36.8% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 1.8% ROA vs SOC's -28.9%, ROIC 7.2% vs -44.6% |
TMDE vs SOC — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
TMDE leads this category, winning 4 of 4 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
TMDE is the larger business by revenue, generating $689M annually — 541.8x SOC's $1M. TMDE is the more profitable business, keeping 0.3% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to SOC's -391.5%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $689M | $1M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | — | -$454M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | — | -$498M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | — | -$611M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +2.3% | -8.7% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +0.9% | -367.6% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +0.3% | -391.5% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -4.1% | -480.4% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | — | — |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | — | -5.4% |
Valuation Metrics
Evenly matched — TMDE and SOC each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $21M | $1.84T |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $85M | $1.84T |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 12.92x | -3.07x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 7.50x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 7.87x | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.03x | — |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.27x | 2359.43x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
TMDE leads this category, winning 6 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
TMDE delivers a 9.1% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $9 in annual profit, vs $-114 for SOC. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), TMDE scores 4/9 vs SOC's 2/9, reflecting mixed financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +9.1% | -113.8% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +1.8% | -28.9% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +7.2% | -44.6% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +28.2% | -37.5% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 2 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 4.17x | — |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $64M | -$98M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $16M | $98M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $80M | $0 |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 1.30x | -2.28x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
SOC leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in SOC five years ago would be worth $13,264 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $2,893 for TMDE. Over the past 12 months, TMDE leads with a -27.1% total return vs SOC's -36.8%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors SOC at 8.2% vs TMDE's -33.9% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +137.0% | +9.5% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -27.1% | -36.8% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -71.1% | +26.5% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -71.1% | +32.6% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -71.1% | +32.4% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -33.9% | +8.2% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — TMDE and SOC each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
TMDE is the less volatile stock with a -1.99 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than SOC's 1.51 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. SOC currently trades 36.7% from its 52-week high vs TMDE's 22.0% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | -1.99x | 1.51x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $4.77 | $35.00 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $0.41 | $3.72 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +22.0% | +36.7% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 42.4 | 45.8 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 8.0M | 5.4M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | — | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | $27.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | — | 4 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
TMDE leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). SOC leads in 1 (Total Returns). 2 tied.
TMDE vs SOC: Frequently Asked Questions
8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is TMDE or SOC a better buy right now?
TMD Energy Limited (TMDE) offers the better valuation at 12.
9x trailing P/E, making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Sable Offshore Corp. (SOC) a "Buy" — based on 4 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — TMDE or SOC?
Over the past 5 years, Sable Offshore Corp.
(SOC) delivered a total return of +32. 6%, compared to -71. 1% for TMD Energy Limited (TMDE). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: SOC returned +32. 4% versus TMDE's -71. 1%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — TMDE or SOC?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), TMD Energy Limited (TMDE) is the lower-risk stock at -1.
99β versus Sable Offshore Corp. 's 1. 51β — meaning SOC is approximately -176% more volatile than TMDE relative to the S&P 500.
04Which is growing faster — TMDE or SOC?
On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Sable Offshore Corp.
grew EPS 40. 6% year-over-year, compared to -5. 9% for TMD Energy Limited. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — TMDE or SOC?
TMD Energy Limited (TMDE) is the more profitable company, earning 0.
3% net margin versus -391. 5% for Sable Offshore Corp. — meaning it keeps 0. 3% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: TMDE leads at 0. 9% versus -367. 6% for SOC. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — TMDE leads at 2. 3%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Which pays a better dividend — TMDE or SOC?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
07Is TMDE or SOC better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, TMD Energy Limited (TMDE) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β -1.
99)). Sable Offshore Corp. (SOC) carries a higher beta of 1. 51 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (TMDE: -71. 1%, SOC: +32. 4%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
08What are the main differences between TMDE and SOC?
Both stocks operate in the Energy sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: TMDE is a small-cap deep-value stock; SOC is a mega-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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