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TRC vs FOR
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Real Estate - Development
TRC vs FOR — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Conglomerates | Real Estate - Development |
| Market Cap | $553M | $1.39B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $50M | $1.71B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $73K | $167M |
| Gross Margin | 12.3% | 21.3% |
| Operating Margin | -16.0% | 12.3% |
| Forward P/E | 341.3x | 9.2x |
| Total Debt | $94M | $817M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $10M | $379M |
TRC vs FOR — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tejon Ranch Co. (TRC) | 100 | 142.8 | +42.8% |
| Forestar Group Inc. (FOR) | 100 | 179.7 | +79.7% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: TRC vs FOR
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
TRC is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 0.44
- Rev growth 18.4%, EPS growth -97.2%, 3Y rev CAGR -14.5%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.44, Low D/E 19.2%, current ratio 4.14x
FOR carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for long-term compounding.
- 118.1% 10Y total return vs TRC's -2.5%
- Lower P/E (9.2x vs 341.3x)
- 9.8% margin vs TRC's 0.1%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 18.4% revenue growth vs FOR's 10.1% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (9.2x vs 341.3x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 9.8% margin vs TRC's 0.1% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.44 vs FOR's 1.14, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +39.4% vs TRC's +18.8% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 5.3% ROA vs TRC's 0.0%, ROIC 7.8% vs -1.1% |
TRC vs FOR — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
TRC vs FOR — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
FOR leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
FOR is the larger business by revenue, generating $1.7B annually — 34.4x TRC's $50M. FOR is the more profitable business, keeping 9.8% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to TRC's 0.1%. On growth, TRC holds the edge at +17.7% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $50M | $1.7B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$47,000 | $213M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $73,000 | $167M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$33M | $266M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +12.3% | +21.3% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -16.0% | +12.3% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +0.1% | +9.8% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -65.9% | +15.5% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +17.7% | +6.6% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -65.5% | +1.6% |
Valuation Metrics
FOR leads this category, winning 4 of 4 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 8.3x trailing earnings, FOR trades at a 100% valuation discount to TRC's 7312.5x P/E.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $553M | $1.4B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $637M | $1.8B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 7312.50x | 8.29x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 341.25x | 9.22x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 0.39x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 8.59x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 11.15x | 0.83x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.12x | 0.78x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
Evenly matched — TRC and FOR each lead in 4 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
FOR delivers a 9.5% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $9 in annual profit, vs $0 for TRC. TRC carries lower financial leverage with a 0.19x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to FOR's 0.46x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), TRC scores 6/9 vs FOR's 1/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +0.0% | +9.5% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +0.0% | +5.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -1.1% | +7.8% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -1.3% | +8.2% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 1 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.19x | 0.46x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $84M | $438M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $10M | $379M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $94M | $817M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | — | — |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
FOR leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in TRC five years ago would be worth $13,025 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $10,800 for FOR. Over the past 12 months, FOR leads with a +39.4% total return vs TRC's +18.8%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors FOR at 11.2% vs TRC's 6.7% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +30.7% | +12.1% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +18.8% | +39.4% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +21.5% | +37.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +30.2% | +8.0% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -2.5% | +118.1% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +6.7% | +11.2% |
Risk & Volatility
TRC leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
TRC is the less volatile stock with a 0.44 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than FOR's 1.14 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. TRC currently trades 96.1% from its 52-week high vs FOR's 88.7% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.44x | 1.14x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $21.31 | $30.74 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $15.31 | $18.50 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +96.1% | +88.7% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 55.6 | 52.5 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 98K | 134K |
Analyst Outlook
FOR leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates TRC as "Buy" and FOR as "Buy".
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | $28.38 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 1 | 12 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +0.1% |
FOR leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). TRC leads in 1 (Risk & Volatility). 1 tied.
TRC vs FOR: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is TRC or FOR a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Tejon Ranch Co.
(TRC) is the stronger pick with 18. 4% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 10. 1% for Forestar Group Inc. (FOR). Forestar Group Inc. (FOR) offers the better valuation at 8. 3x trailing P/E (9. 2x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Tejon Ranch Co. (TRC) a "Buy" — based on 1 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — TRC or FOR?
On trailing P/E, Forestar Group Inc.
(FOR) is the cheapest at 8. 3x versus Tejon Ranch Co. at 7312. 5x. On forward P/E, Forestar Group Inc. is actually cheaper at 9. 2x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — TRC or FOR?
Over the past 5 years, Tejon Ranch Co.
(TRC) delivered a total return of +30. 2%, compared to +8. 0% for Forestar Group Inc. (FOR). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: FOR returned +118. 1% versus TRC's -2. 5%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — TRC or FOR?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Tejon Ranch Co.
(TRC) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 44β versus Forestar Group Inc. 's 1. 14β — meaning FOR is approximately 159% more volatile than TRC relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Tejon Ranch Co. (TRC) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 19% versus 46% for Forestar Group Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — TRC or FOR?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Tejon Ranch Co.
(TRC) is pulling ahead at 18. 4% versus 10. 1% for Forestar Group Inc. (FOR). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Forestar Group Inc. grew EPS -17. 8% year-over-year, compared to -97. 2% for Tejon Ranch Co.. Over a 3-year CAGR, FOR leads at 3. 1% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — TRC or FOR?
Forestar Group Inc.
(FOR) is the more profitable company, earning 10. 1% net margin versus 0. 2% for Tejon Ranch Co. — meaning it keeps 10. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: FOR leads at 12. 6% versus -16. 0% for TRC. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — FOR leads at 21. 9%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is TRC or FOR more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Forestar Group Inc.
(FOR) trades at 9. 2x forward P/E versus 341. 3x for Tejon Ranch Co. — 332. 0x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis.
08Which pays a better dividend — TRC or FOR?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
09Is TRC or FOR better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Tejon Ranch Co.
(TRC) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 44)). Both have compounded well over 10 years (TRC: -2. 5%, FOR: +118. 1%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between TRC and FOR?
These companies operate in different sectors (TRC (Industrials) and FOR (Real Estate)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: TRC is a small-cap high-growth stock; FOR is a small-cap deep-value stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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