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ULCC vs SPIR
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Specialty Business Services
ULCC vs SPIR — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Airlines, Airports & Air Services | Specialty Business Services |
| Market Cap | $1.10B | $601.52B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $3.80B | $72M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-366M | $-25.02B |
| Gross Margin | 31.2% | 40.8% |
| Operating Margin | -10.1% | -121.4% |
| Forward P/E | — | 11.4x |
| Total Debt | $5.46B | $8.76B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $671M | $24.81B |
ULCC vs SPIR — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Apr 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frontier Group Hold… (ULCC) | 100 | 22.7 | -77.3% |
| Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR) | 100 | 23.1 | -76.9% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: ULCC vs SPIR
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
ULCC carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 2.84
- Rev growth -1.4%, EPS growth -257.9%, 3Y rev CAGR 3.8%
- -74.6% 10Y total return vs SPIR's -75.9%
SPIR is the clearest fit if your priority is momentum.
- +93.2% vs ULCC's +39.4%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | -1.4% revenue growth vs SPIR's -35.2% | |
| Quality / Margins | -9.6% margin vs SPIR's -349.6% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 2.84 vs SPIR's 2.93 | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +93.2% vs ULCC's +39.4% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | -5.3% ROA vs SPIR's -47.3%, ROIC -2.3% vs -0.1% |
ULCC vs SPIR — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
ULCC vs SPIR — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ULCC leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ULCC is the larger business by revenue, generating $3.8B annually — 53.2x SPIR's $72M. ULCC is the more profitable business, keeping -9.6% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to SPIR's -349.6%. On growth, ULCC holds the edge at +8.8% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $3.8B | $72M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$253M | -$74M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$366M | -$25.0B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$509M | -$16.2B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +31.2% | +40.8% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -10.1% | -121.4% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -9.6% | -349.6% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -13.4% | -227.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +8.8% | -26.9% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -5.2% | +59.5% |
Valuation Metrics
ULCC leads this category, winning 3 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $1.1B | $601.5B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $5.9B | $585.5B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -7.97x | 11.37x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.29x | 8406.65x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 2.24x | 5.18x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
SPIR leads this category, winning 7 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
SPIR delivers a -88.4% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $-88 in annual profit, vs $-89 for ULCC. SPIR carries lower financial leverage with a 0.08x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to ULCC's 11.13x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), SPIR scores 5/9 vs ULCC's 0/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -88.6% | -88.4% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -5.3% | -47.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -2.3% | -0.1% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -3.2% | -0.1% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 0 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 11.13x | 0.08x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $4.8B | -$16.1B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $671M | $24.8B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $5.5B | $8.8B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -40.00x | 9.20x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
SPIR leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in ULCC five years ago would be worth $2,385 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $2,311 for SPIR. Over the past 12 months, SPIR leads with a +93.2% total return vs ULCC's +39.4%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors SPIR at 50.1% vs ULCC's -16.1% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +4.6% | +134.3% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +39.4% | +93.2% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -41.0% | +238.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -76.1% | -76.9% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -74.6% | -75.9% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -16.1% | +50.1% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — ULCC and SPIR each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
ULCC is the less volatile stock with a 2.84 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than SPIR's 2.93 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. SPIR currently trades 77.6% from its 52-week high vs ULCC's 71.8% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 2.84x | 2.93x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $6.66 | $23.59 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $3.02 | $6.60 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +71.8% | +77.6% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 59.2 | 48.9 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 5.6M | 1.6M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates ULCC as "Hold" and SPIR as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 39.5% upside for ULCC (target: $7) vs -5.7% for SPIR (target: $17).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $6.67 | $17.25 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 13 | 12 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
ULCC leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). SPIR leads in 2 (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns). 1 tied.
ULCC vs SPIR: Frequently Asked Questions
8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is ULCC or SPIR a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.
(ULCC) is the stronger pick with -1. 4% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -35. 2% for Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR). Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR) offers the better valuation at 11. 4x trailing P/E, making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR) a "Buy" — based on 12 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — ULCC or SPIR?
Over the past 5 years, Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.
(ULCC) delivered a total return of -76. 1%, compared to -76. 9% for Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: ULCC returned -74. 6% versus SPIR's -75. 9%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — ULCC or SPIR?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.
(ULCC) is the lower-risk stock at 2. 84β versus Spire Global, Inc. 's 2. 93β — meaning SPIR is approximately 3% more volatile than ULCC relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 8% versus 11% for Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — ULCC or SPIR?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.
(ULCC) is pulling ahead at -1. 4% versus -35. 2% for Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Spire Global, Inc. grew EPS 137. 8% year-over-year, compared to -257. 9% for Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, ULCC leads at 3. 8% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — ULCC or SPIR?
Spire Global, Inc.
(SPIR) is the more profitable company, earning 71. 7% net margin versus -3. 7% for Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. — meaning it keeps 71. 7% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: ULCC leads at -4. 0% versus -121. 4% for SPIR. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — SPIR leads at 40. 8%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Which pays a better dividend — ULCC or SPIR?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
07Is ULCC or SPIR better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.
(ULCC) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding. Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR) carries a higher beta of 2. 93 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (ULCC: -74. 6%, SPIR: -75. 9%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
08What are the main differences between ULCC and SPIR?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: ULCC is a small-cap quality compounder stock; SPIR is a large-cap deep-value stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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