Airlines, Airports & Air Services
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ULCC vs UAL
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Airlines, Airports & Air Services
ULCC vs UAL — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Airlines, Airports & Air Services | Airlines, Airports & Air Services |
| Market Cap | $1.10B | $32.48B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $3.80B | $60.47B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-366M | $3.67B |
| Gross Margin | 31.2% | 64.2% |
| Operating Margin | -10.1% | 8.4% |
| Forward P/E | — | 10.7x |
| Total Debt | $5.46B | $31.04B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $671M | $5.94B |
ULCC vs UAL — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Apr 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frontier Group Hold… (ULCC) | 100 | 22.7 | -77.3% |
| United Airlines Hol… (UAL) | 100 | 183.9 | +83.9% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: ULCC vs UAL
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
ULCC is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 2.84
- +39.4% vs UAL's +36.1%
UAL carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 3.5%, EPS growth 8.1%, 3Y rev CAGR 9.5%
- 118.9% 10Y total return vs ULCC's -74.6%
- Lower volatility, beta 2.25, current ratio 0.65x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 3.5% revenue growth vs ULCC's -1.4% | |
| Quality / Margins | 6.1% margin vs ULCC's -9.6% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 2.25 vs ULCC's 2.84, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +39.4% vs UAL's +36.1% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 4.7% ROA vs ULCC's -5.3%, ROIC 9.1% vs -2.3% |
ULCC vs UAL — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
ULCC vs UAL — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
UAL leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
UAL is the larger business by revenue, generating $60.5B annually — 15.9x ULCC's $3.8B. UAL is the more profitable business, keeping 6.1% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to ULCC's -9.6%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $3.8B | $60.5B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$253M | $8.1B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$366M | $3.7B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$509M | $3.2B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +31.2% | +64.2% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -10.1% | +8.4% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -9.6% | +6.1% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -13.4% | +5.3% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +8.8% | +10.6% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -5.2% | +84.5% |
Valuation Metrics
ULCC leads this category, winning 2 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $1.1B | $32.5B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $5.9B | $57.6B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -7.97x | 9.79x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 10.69x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 7.52x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.29x | 0.55x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 2.24x | 2.14x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 12.70x |
Profitability & Efficiency
UAL leads this category, winning 7 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
UAL delivers a 24.9% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $25 in annual profit, vs $-89 for ULCC. UAL carries lower financial leverage with a 2.03x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to ULCC's 11.13x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), UAL scores 8/9 vs ULCC's 0/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -88.6% | +24.9% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -5.3% | +4.7% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -2.3% | +9.1% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -3.2% | +9.3% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 0 | 8 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 11.13x | 2.03x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $4.8B | $25.1B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $671M | $5.9B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $5.5B | $31.0B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -40.00x | 4.61x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
UAL leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in UAL five years ago would be worth $18,856 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $2,385 for ULCC. Over the past 12 months, ULCC leads with a +39.4% total return vs UAL's +36.1%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors UAL at 29.7% vs ULCC's -16.1% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +4.6% | -11.5% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +39.4% | +36.1% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -41.0% | +118.1% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -76.1% | +88.6% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -74.6% | +118.9% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -16.1% | +29.7% |
Risk & Volatility
UAL leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
UAL is the less volatile stock with a 2.25 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than ULCC's 2.84 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. UAL currently trades 83.9% from its 52-week high vs ULCC's 71.8% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 2.84x | 2.25x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $6.66 | $119.21 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $3.02 | $71.55 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +71.8% | +83.9% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 59.2 | 50.2 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 5.6M | 8.2M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates ULCC as "Hold" and UAL as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 39.5% upside for ULCC (target: $7) vs 36.1% for UAL (target: $136).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $6.67 | $136.10 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 13 | 47 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +2.0% |
UAL leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). ULCC leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics).
ULCC vs UAL: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is ULCC or UAL a better buy right now?
For growth investors, United Airlines Holdings, Inc.
(UAL) is the stronger pick with 3. 5% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -1. 4% for Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC). United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) offers the better valuation at 9. 8x trailing P/E (10. 7x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) a "Buy" — based on 47 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — ULCC or UAL?
Over the past 5 years, United Airlines Holdings, Inc.
(UAL) delivered a total return of +88. 6%, compared to -76. 1% for Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: UAL returned +118. 9% versus ULCC's -74. 6%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — ULCC or UAL?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), United Airlines Holdings, Inc.
(UAL) is the lower-risk stock at 2. 25β versus Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. 's 2. 84β — meaning ULCC is approximately 26% more volatile than UAL relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 2% versus 11% for Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — ULCC or UAL?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), United Airlines Holdings, Inc.
(UAL) is pulling ahead at 3. 5% versus -1. 4% for Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: United Airlines Holdings, Inc. grew EPS 8. 1% year-over-year, compared to -257. 9% for Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, UAL leads at 9. 5% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — ULCC or UAL?
United Airlines Holdings, Inc.
(UAL) is the more profitable company, earning 5. 7% net margin versus -3. 7% for Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. — meaning it keeps 5. 7% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: UAL leads at 8. 0% versus -4. 0% for ULCC. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — UAL leads at 64. 1%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is ULCC or UAL more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for ULCC: 39.
5% to $6. 67.
07Which pays a better dividend — ULCC or UAL?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
08Is ULCC or UAL better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, United Airlines Holdings, Inc.
(UAL) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (+118. 9% 10Y return). Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC) carries a higher beta of 2. 84 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (UAL: +118. 9%, ULCC: -74. 6%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between ULCC and UAL?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: ULCC is a small-cap quality compounder stock; UAL is a mid-cap deep-value stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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