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AFRMAffirm Holdings, Inc.
$70.77$23.6B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
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P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
AFRM logo

Affirm Holdings, Inc.

AFRM
NASDAQ · Infrastructure Software
$70.77
At close - Oct 2, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$23.57B
P/E471.8x
52W High$90.44
Volume2.51M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q4

Operating Leverage Emerges Amidst Volatile Funding and Earnings

Affirm is demonstrating a clear inflection toward profitability, with operating income scaling to $265.3M in Q4 2026 as revenue growth decelerated to 24.3% and SG&A discipline held costs near $240M per quarter. The core investment thesis hinges on the sustaina...

GrowthAccelerating
ProfitabilityModerate
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsMixed
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

AFRM price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

12/12 Beats

EPS beat 12 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+1632% Peers

P/E is 1632% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 75 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 75)

04

Mixed Trend

Mixed

Price < 50DMA but > 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Nov 27
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth has decelerated from over 50% to 24.3% as the hyper-growth phase matures, but operating margin has swung dramatically to 24.3% in Q4 2026, indicating significant operating leverage as SG&A expenses were held flat near $240M per quarter.

Analyst Consensus+36.2% target
Buy(38 analysts)
28 Buy10 Hold0 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

No hidden fees

Affirm offers buy now, pay later services without late fees or hidden interest, providing transparency and consistent payments.

BNPL market leadership

Affirm is a leader in the Buy Now, Pay Later space, with rapid growth and strong underwriting capabilities.

Offline expansion

The company is expanding its presence beyond online retail into offline markets, broadening its customer base.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 10/3/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
AFRM-4.40%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+12.66%
1-Year Return
AFRM-8.60%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.01%
3-Year Return
AFRM+246.06%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+81.19%
5-Year Return
AFRM-34.43%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+93.45%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
471.8x
Forward P/EExpansion
57.0x
EV/EBITDA0th %ile
218.2x
FCF YieldCash Flow
2.6%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
471.8x
460.9x
100th· High
EV/EBITDA
218.2x
218.3x
0th· Low
Price/FCF
39.2x
39.2x
50th· Fair
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$0.00N/A
Base (Fair)$68.50-3.2%
Bull$8.65-87.8%
$0.00 Bear$68.50 Base$8.65 Bull
Current Market Price: $70.77
Trades at a 3.3% premium to Base DCF ($68.50)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$3.22B+38.8% YoY
Net income
$52M+110.1% YoY
Free cash flow
$602M+106.9% YoY
Operating margin
-2.7%+23.8 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)-0.7%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)1.8%
Piotroski Score6 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate12/12 (100%)
Revenue Beat Rate12/12 (100%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Aug 27, 2026
$4.62+1230.3%
vs $0.35
$1.2B+5.3%
vs $1.1B
Q2 2026
May 7, 2026
$0.30+76.1%
vs $0.17
$1.0B+4.4%
vs $995M
Q1 2026
Feb 5, 2026
$0.37+32.1%
vs $0.28
$1.1B+6.4%
vs $1.1B
Q4 2025
Nov 6, 2025
$0.23+105.2%
vs $0.11
$933M+5.7%
vs $883M
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Zacks Investment Research·1d ago
Affirm Holdings (AFRM) Outperforms Broader Market: What You Need to Know

Affirm Holdings (AFRM) concluded the recent trading session at $70.44, signifying a +1.75% move from its prior day's close.

Zacks Investment Research·1d ago
How Is Affirm Card Reshaping AFRM's Direct-to-Consumer Growth?

AFRM Card is expanding AFRM's direct-to-consumer reach, boosting engagement and transactions while creating room for further adoption.

24/7 Wall Street·2d ago
Which Buy Now Pay Later Stock Dominated in September: Klarna, Affirm, or Sezzle?

Affirm Holdings (NASDAQ:AFRM | AFRM Price Prediction) stock was September's relative winner among the three buy now, pay later names, even after falling 10.5% to $69.61. Klarna Group (NYSE:KLAR) stock declined 12.5% to $12.42, while Sezzle (NASDAQ:SEZL) stock fell 13.

Zacks Investment Research·2d ago
Can Affirm's Crate & Barrel Deal Expand Its Home-Furnishing Reach?

AFRM's Crate & Barrel partnership expands its pay-over-time reach across major home-furnishing brands in the US and Canada.

Filtered for Affirm Holdings, Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark AFRM against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
AFRM logoAFRMAffirm Holdings, Inc.Current
$70.77$23.57B471.8038.8%1.62%1.8%—
SEZL logoSEZLSezzle Inc.
$107.41$3.61B28.8769.51%30.35%85.55%—
LPRO logoLPROOpen Lending Corporation
$3.14$371.53M-87.96557.55%-5.95%-7.04%—
UPST logoUPSTUpstart Holdings, Inc.
$22.81$2.18B50.6962.84%5.22%7.85%—
LC logoLCLendingClub Corporation
$19.21$2.22B16.7026.92%15.85%12.92%—
SOFI logoSOFISoFi Technologies, Inc.
$15.76$20.21B40.4038.32%11.4%6.18%—

Compare AFRM vs Peers

Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs SEZL

Most directly comparable listed peer for AFRM.

Scale Benchmark

vs AMZN

Larger-name benchmark to compare AFRM against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs SEZL, LPRO, UPST, LC

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

AFRM SEC Filings & Documents

Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Aug 27, 2026·SEC

Material company update

May 7, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Feb 5, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

3
FY 2026

Aug 27, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Aug 28, 2025·SEC

FY 2024

Aug 28, 2024·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

May 7, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Feb 5, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Nov 6, 2025·SEC

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AFRM Frequently Asked Questions

Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Affirm Holdings, Inc.'s revenue?

Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM) reported $3.41B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 1191% increase from $264.4M in 2019.

How fast is Affirm Holdings, Inc. growing?

Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM) grew revenue by 38.8% over the past year. This is strong growth.

Is AFRM profitable?

Yes, Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM) is profitable, generating $1.93B in net income for fiscal year 2025 (1.6% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
What is AFRM's return on equity?

Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM) has a return on equity (ROE) of 1.8%. This is below average, suggesting room for improvement.

What is Affirm Holdings, Inc.'s free cash flow?

Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM) generated $993.1M in free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.

What if you invested $1,000 in AFRM back in 2019?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 7+ years of data

See returns →