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AIRAAR Corp.
$102.51$4.1B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
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P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
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AIR logo

AAR Corp.

AIR
NYSE · Aerospace & Defense
$102.51
At close - Oct 2, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$4.09B
P/E21.0x
52W High$154.00
Volume1.14M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2027Q1

Acquisition-Fueled Growth Masks Margin and Cash Flow Volatility

AAR Corp. is experiencing accelerating revenue growth, reaching 23.0% in Q4 2026, primarily driven by acquisition integration, which has expanded the balance sheet 21% to $3.4B. However, this growth is coupled with persistent margin pressure, as net margin was...

GrowthAccelerating
ProfitabilityModerate
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

AIR price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

12/12 Beats

EPS beat 12 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-36% Peers

P/E is 36% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 29 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 71% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Dec 28
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth accelerated to 23.0% in Q4 2026, but net margin remained constrained at 5.5% in the same period, suggesting that overhead costs are eroding operating leverage gains.

Analyst Consensus+41.9% target
Buy(20 analysts)
13 Buy7 Hold0 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Software scale potential

Unpriced Trax/Airvoyant software scale could unlock significant valuation upside as AAR re-rates toward a higher-multiple business.

Strong financial performance

Revenue rose to $739.6 million and net income nearly doubled to $34.4 million in Q1 FY2026, indicating robust growth.

Aviation services leadership

AAR is a leading provider of aviation services to commercial and government operators, MROs, and OEMs, reinforcing its market position.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 10/4/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
AIR+21.39%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+12.66%
1-Year Return
AIR+22.11%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.01%
3-Year Return
AIR+76.04%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+84.74%
5-Year Return
AIR+202.93%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+83.60%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y Low
21.0x
Forward P/EExpansion
20.9x
EV/EBITDA60th %ile
14.5x
FCF YieldCash Flow
2.4%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
21.0x
23.0x
20th· Low
EV/EBITDA
14.5x
13.1x
60th· Fair
Price/FCF
41.4x
43.8x
33rd· Fair
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$25.93-74.7%
Base (Fair)$77.50-24.4%
Bull$96.37-6.0%
$25.93 Bear$77.50 Base$96.37 Bull
Current Market Price: $102.51
Trades at a 32.3% premium to Base DCF ($77.50)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$3.31B+19.0% YoY
Net income
$188M+1401.6% YoY
Free cash flow
$99M+6950.0% YoY
Operating margin
8.2%+1.5 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)8.5%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)12.9%
Piotroski Score6 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate12/12 (100%)
Revenue Beat Rate8/12 (67%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Sep 28, 2026
$1.49+14.6%
vs $1.30
$918M+4.5%
vs $879M
Q3 2026
Jul 21, 2026
$1.53+10.9%
vs $1.38
$928M+3.9%
vs $893M
Q2 2026
Mar 24, 2026
$1.25+8.7%
vs $1.15
$845M+4.0%
vs $813M
Q1 2026
Jan 6, 2026
$1.18+15.7%
vs $1.02
$795M+4.1%
vs $764M
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
PRNewsWire·5d ago
AAR reports first quarter fiscal year 2027 results

WOOD DALE, Ill., Sept. 28, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- AAR CORP.

PRNewsWire·5d ago
AAR accelerates its aftermarket platform strategy by agreeing to acquire a controlling interest in MRO Holdings

Acquisition significantly enhances AAR's scale, margins, and cash flow profile Adds more than $1 billion in revenue supporting blue-chip, U.S. airline customers Expands AAR's consolidated adjusted EBITDA margins 1  from approximately 12% to 16%, before synergies Expected to be accretive to adjusted EPS in the first full fiscal year post closing Updating AAR's adjusted EBITDA margin target to approximately 19% to 20% within three to four years WOOD DALE, Ill., Sept. 28, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- AAR CORP.

Seeking Alpha·6d ago
AAR Corp Earnings Preview: What I Expect From The Upcoming Quarterly Results

AAR Corp maintains a Buy rating, supported by robust revenue growth and margin improvement potential. Q1 FY2027 expectations center on $880M revenue, $1.30 adjusted EPS, and EBITDA margins of 12.25%-12.75% ex-Legacy Commercial Programs. Strong organic growth in new parts distribution and margin recovery at HAECO are critical for further upside.

GlobeNewsWire·Sep 23, 2026
AIR Limited Successfully Prices U.S.$425,000,000 bond

DUBAI, United Arab Emirates, Sept. 23, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- AIR Limited (the “Issuer”), a direct wholly owned subsidiary of AIR Global PLC (Nasdaq: AIIR) (the “Company” or “AIR”), has priced senior unsecured notes in an aggregate principal amount of U.S.$425,000,000 (the “Notes”). The Notes have a term of 5 years, maturing in 2031, and a coupon of 7.875% per annum. The Notes will be guaranteed on a senior basis by AIR and certain of the Issuer's subsidiaries. The Issuer expects to use the gross proceeds from the offering of the Notes (the “Offering”) (i) to repay amounts outstanding under its term loan facility and revolving credit facility, including any accrued and unpaid interest, premiums, fees and expenses payable in connection with such repayment, and (ii) for general corporate purposes, including the payment of fees and expenses incurred in connection with the Offering. The Offering is expected to settle on or around October 1, 2026, subject to customary closing conditions.

Filtered for AAR Corp.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark AIR against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for AAR Corp. (AIR)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
AIR logoAIRAAR Corp.Current
$102.51$4.09B20.9618.97%5.67%12.88%—
HEI logoHEIHEICO Corporation
$302.45$42.14B61.7216.26%16.38%16.57%—
KAI logoKAIKadant Inc.
$268.83$3.17B31.08-0.11%9.52%10.99%—
HAYW logoHAYWHayward Holdings, Inc.
$12.40$2.69B18.246.71%13.83%10.2%—
DRS logoDRSLeonardo DRS, Inc.
$36.80$9.82B35.7312.8%8.52%11.76%—
TDG logoTDGTransDigm Group Incorporated
$1090.38$60.99B33.9911.22%21.28%——

Compare AIR vs Peers

AAR Corp. (AIR) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs HEI

Most directly comparable listed peer for AIR.

Scale Benchmark

vs GE

Larger-name benchmark to compare AIR against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs HEI, KAI, HAYW, DRS

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

AIR SEC Filings & Documents

AAR Corp. (AIR) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Sep 29, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Sep 28, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Sep 24, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

3
FY 2026

Jul 22, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Jul 22, 2025·SEC

FY 2024

Jul 19, 2024·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Sep 29, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Mar 25, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Jan 7, 2026·SEC

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AIR Frequently Asked Questions

AAR Corp. (AIR) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is AAR Corp.'s revenue?

AAR Corp. (AIR) reported $3.49B in revenue for fiscal year 2026. This represents a 492% increase from $589.3M in 1997.

How fast is AAR Corp. growing?

AAR Corp. (AIR) grew revenue by 19.0% over the past year. This is strong growth.

Is AIR profitable?

Yes, AAR Corp. (AIR) is profitable, generating $193.4M in net income for fiscal year 2026 (5.7% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
What is AIR's return on equity?

AAR Corp. (AIR) has a return on equity (ROE) of 12.9%. This is reasonable for most industries.

What is AAR Corp.'s free cash flow?

AAR Corp. (AIR) generated $149.7M in free cash flow for fiscal year 2026. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.

What if you invested $1,000 in AIR back in 1997?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 29+ years of data

See returns →