AAR Corp. (AIR) Price Target Analysis
Updated Jun 18, 2026
Analyst Rating: Buy
Based on 20 analysts11.0% Above Target
AIR trades 11.0% above Wall Street's consensus target of $120.00.
Current Price$134.88
Average Target$120.00
Target
Current
Low$105.00
Median$121.00
High$135.00
Analyst Target Range
Forward P/E27.5x
(Growth Premium)
PEG Ratio—
Implied Growth+8.9%
(Low)
Analyst Spread25.0%
(High Agreement)
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Consensus Scenario Assumptions
The base valuation assumes AIR achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 27.5x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 20 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
AIR Price Target Analysis
Updated June 22, 2026As of June 22, 2026, AAR Corp. (AIR) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $120.00, based on estimates from 20 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $134.88, this represents a potential downside of -11.0%. The company has a market capitalization of $5.34B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $105.00 to a high of $135.00, representing a 25% spread in expectations. The median target of $121.00 aligns closely with the consensus average.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 14 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,6 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.
From a valuation perspective, AIR trades at a trailing P/E of 385.4x and forward P/E of 27.5x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +8.9% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $143.50, with bear and bull scenarios of $90.40 and $189.08 respectively. Model confidence stands at 47/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Industrials stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside
+26.7%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
41.9x
(Growth Premium)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 HEIHEICO Corporation | $47.0B | $337.10 | $378.44 | +12.3% | Buy | 55.6x | 35 |
 KAIKadant Inc. | $3.6B | $304.49 | $303.00 | -0.5% | Hold | 33.1x | 6 |
 HAYWHayward Holdings, Inc. | $3.3B | $15.00 | $15.75 | +5.0% | Hold | 17.5x | 10 |
 DRSLeonardo DRS, Inc. | $12.3B | $46.08 | $53.33 | +15.7% | Buy | 35.7x | 9 |
 TDGTransDigm Group Incorporated | $75.0B | $1328.31 | $1569.30 | +18.1% | Buy | 33.2x | 39 |
 FTAIFTAI Aviation Ltd. | $28.3B | $276.11 | $314.83 | +14.0% | Buy | 40.2x | 18 |
 AVAVAeroVironment, Inc. | $8.5B | $169.61 | $292.20 | +72.3% | Buy | 58.9x | 28 |
 KTOSKratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. | $10.2B | $54.21 | $110.00 | +102.9% | Buy | 70.9x | 24 |
 GEGE Aerospace | $373.7B | $357.64 | $380.14 | +6.3% | Buy | 47.4x | 34 |
 RTXRTX Corporation | $249.9B | $185.60 | $224.33 | +20.9% | Buy | 26.7x | 26 |
AIR — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying AIR stock.
What is the AIR stock price target for 2026?
AIR's consensus price target is $120, -11.0% below the current price of $134.88. The 20 analysts tracking AIR see downside risk at present valuations.
Is AIR a buy, sell, or hold?
AIR has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 20 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 14 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $120 implies -11.0% downside from current levels.
Is AIR stock overvalued or undervalued?
AIR trades at a forward P/E of 27.5187x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $120 (-11.0% implied move), the stock appears close to fair value.
How high can AIR stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $135 for AIR, while the most conservative target is $105. The consensus of $120 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $189 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover AIR stock?
AIR is well covered by analysts, with 20 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 14 have Buy ratings, 6 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the AIR stock forecast?
The 12-month AIR stock forecast based on 20 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $120, with estimates ranging from $105 (bear case) to $135 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $144, with bear/bull scenarios of $90/$189.
What is AIR's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates AIR's fair value at $144 (base case), with a bear case of $90 and bull case of $189. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 47/100.
What is AIR's forward P/E ratio?
AIR trades at a forward P/E ratio of 27.5x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 385.4x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy AIR stock?
Analysts are cautious on AIR, with 0 Sell ratings and a price target of $120 (-11.0% from current price). The "Buy" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do AIR price targets vary so much?
AIR analyst price targets range from $105 to $135, a 25% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $120 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $90-$189 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
Consensus-Based Analysis Tools
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