I rate Astera Labs a Buy with a 12-month target price of $265.52, 18.9% above the recent close. ALAB has outperformed consensus revenue every quarter in FY26, yet the stock is down 53.8% from its June peak. The market and consensus have both priced in a 2027 revenue plateau, setting a low bar, while second-wave customer growth is underrepresented in consensus.

