4.3% Below Target

The consensus price target for ALV is $131.17, close to the current price of $125.79 (4.3% implied move). Based on 37 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.

ALV has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 37 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 20 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $131.17 implies 4.3% upside from current levels.

With a forward P/E of 11.9953x, ALV trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $131.17 implies 4.3% appreciation, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $143 for ALV, while the most conservative target is $116. The consensus of $131.17 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $187 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

ALV is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 37 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 16 have Buy ratings, 20 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

The 12-month ALV stock forecast based on 37 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $131.17, with estimates ranging from $116 (bear case) to $143 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $142, with bear/bull scenarios of $89/$187.

Our quantitative valuation model calculates ALV's fair value at $142 (base case), with a bear case of $89 and bull case of $187. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 53/100.

ALV trades at a forward P/E ratio of 12.0x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 13.2x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

ALV appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Hold" rating and minimal upside to the $131.17 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

ALV analyst price targets range from $116 to $143, a 21% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $131.17 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $89-$187 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.