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BABAAlibaba Group Holding Limited
$109.45$255.4B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗AnalysisVisualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
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BABA logo

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

BABA
NYSE · E-commerce & Online Marketplaces
$109.45
At close - USD
Market Cap$255.42B
P/E16.6x
52W High$181.10
Volume9.43M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2027Q1

Strategic Reinvestment Erodes Margins Amid Growth Deceleration

Alibaba's core e-commerce engine is decelerating, with revenue growth slowing to 1.7% in 2026Q3, forcing a strategic pivot toward heavy reinvestment that has compressed operating margins from a peak of 14.9% in 2025Q2 to just 2.2% in 2026Q2.

GrowthDecelerating
ProfitabilityStrained
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

BABA price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

7/12 Beats

EPS beat 7 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-44% Peers

P/E is 44% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 52 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 52)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystConfirmed earnings · Nov 24
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth has decelerated sharply to 1.7% in 2026Q3, while operating margin has compressed from 14.9% in 2025Q2 to 2.2% in 2026Q2, indicating that heavy reinvestment in SG&A and R&D is overwhelming any operating leverage.

Analyst Consensus+62.8% target
Buy(59 analysts)
51 Buy7 Hold1 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

AI and Cloud Growth

Alibaba's cloud revenue has consistently grown over 30% for multiple quarters, positioning it well to capture a significant share of China's AI cloud revenue.

Technological Advancements

The development of proprietary AI chips by Alibaba's T-Head unit could provide a competitive edge in the AI market.

Market Position and Ecosystem

Alibaba's strong presence in China's social commerce market and substantial net cash position enhance its revenue potential and liquidity for capital expenditures.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Intensifying Competition

Rivals like Tencent and e-commerce companies such as Meituan and JD.com are engaged in price wars, which could pressure Alibaba's margins.

Regulatory Scrutiny

Ongoing regulatory scrutiny in China could hinder Alibaba's ability to invest or form partnerships, impacting future growth.

Margin Pressure and Costs

Rising operational costs and heavy investments in AI infrastructure have led to a decline in net income and free cash flow.

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/7/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
BABA-29.05%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
BABA-34.07%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
BABA+34.91%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+70.66%
5-Year Return
BABA-28.98%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+58.42%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
24.0x
Forward P/EExpansion
2.5x
EV/EBITDA100th %ile
19.7x
FCF YieldCash Flow
N/A

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
24.0x
2.9x
100th· High
EV/EBITDA
19.7x
2.1x
100th· High
Price/FCF
N/A
3.4x
N/A
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$48.52-55.7%
Base (Fair)$97.83-10.6%
Bull$116.97+6.9%
$48.52 Bear$97.83 Base$116.97 Bull
Current Market Price: $109.45
Trades at a 11.9% premium to Base DCF ($97.83)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY26
$1023.67B+2.7% YoY
Net income FY26
$103.59B-20.4% YoY
Free cash flow FY26
-$50.72B-164.9% YoY
Operating margin FY26
5.8%-8.3 pts YoY
ROIC (FY26)3.8%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (FY26)9.4%
Piotroski Score4 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate7/12 (58%)
Revenue Beat Rate7/12 (58%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Aug 20, 2026
$1.25-35.6%
vs $1.94
$39.6B+0.3%
vs $39.5B
Q2 2026
May 13, 2026
$0.09-91.2%
vs $1.02
$35.3B-1.4%
vs $35.8B
Q2 2026
Mar 19, 2026
$1.01-47.1%
vs $1.91
$40.7B-1.5%
vs $41.4B
Q4 2025
Nov 25, 2025
$0.61-7.6%
vs $0.66
$34.8B+1.7%
vs $34.2B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
Seeking Alpha·11h ago
Alibaba FY Q2 2027 Preview: Quietly Winning The AI War

Alibaba is evolving from a China consumption proxy to a full-stack AI infrastructure leader with a proven AI monetization model. BABA's AI-related revenue is growing at a robust triple-digit rate, with improving AI revenue-to-capex ratios and expanding cloud EBITA margins. The stock trades at 16x forward earnings, a discount to peers, and could re-rate higher if AI revenue growth and margin expansion are confirmed.

Business Wire·1d ago
Alibaba Group Will Announce September Quarter 2026 Results on November 19, 2026

HONG KONG--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE: BABA and HKEX: 9988 (HKD Counter) and 89988 (RMB Counter), “Alibaba” or “Alibaba Group”) today announced that it will report its unaudited financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2026 before the U.S. market opens on Thursday, November 19, 2026, and will hold a conference call to discuss the financial results at 7:00 a.m. U.S. Eastern Time (8:00 p.m. Hong Kong Time) the same day. All participants must pre-register to.

Zacks Investment Research·1d ago
Alibaba (BABA) Increases Despite Market Slip: Here's What You Need to Know

In the latest trading session, Alibaba (BABA) closed at $108.07, marking a +2.64% move from the previous day.

The Motley Fool·4d ago
Alibaba Group Holding vs. Dick's Sporting Goods: Revenue Trends Between Online and Brick-and-Mortar Giants

Alibaba Group Holding currently maintains a consistently larger revenue base than Dick's Sporting Goods in reported U.S. dollars, leading the comparison across all eight reported periods. Both companies display seasonal quarter-over-quarter fluctuations, while Dick's Sporting Goods demonstrates higher year-over-year percentage increases over the last four quarters.

Filtered for Alibaba Group Holding LimitedMore Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark BABA against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
BABA logoBABAAlibaba Group Holding LimitedCurrent
$109.45$255.42B16.602.74%10.12%9.36%1.92%
JD logoJDJD.com, Inc.
$29.11$40.87B15.0612.97%1.12%5.08%3.59%
PDD logoPDDPDD Holdings Inc.
$83.03$118.18B8.499.65%24.59%27.29%—
AMZN logoAMZNAmazon.com, Inc.
$259.30$2.79T36.1612.38%16.9%26.71%—
BIDU logoBIDUBaidu, Inc.
$81.87$27.85B46.45-3.04%-2.9%-1.61%—
SE logoSESea Limited
$75.73$45.46B30.0536.38%5.91%13.37%—

Compare BABA vs Peers

Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs JD

Most directly comparable listed peer for BABA.

Scale Benchmark

vs MSFT

Larger-name benchmark to compare BABA against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs JD, PDD, AMZN, BIDU

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BABA Frequently Asked Questions

Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Alibaba Group Holding Limited's revenue?

Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) reported $1.04T in revenue over the trailing twelve months. Revenue was $1.02T in fiscal year 2026. That is 74957% more than the $1.36B of fiscal year 2007.

How fast is Alibaba Group Holding Limited growing?

Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) grew revenue by 2.7% in fiscal year 2026, compared with the prior fiscal year.

Is BABA profitable?

Yes. Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) earned $73.53B in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 7.0% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does BABA pay dividends?

Yes. Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) pays a dividend that yields 1.92% at the current price, a moderate yield.

What is BABA's return on equity?

Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) had a return on equity (ROE) of 9.4% in fiscal year 2026. That is below the market's typical 10-15%.

What is Alibaba Group Holding Limited's free cash flow?

Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) had negative free cash flow of $77.47B over the trailing twelve months.

What if you invested $1,000 in BABA back in 2007?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 19+ years of data

See returns →