DUOL trades 8.5% below Wall Street's consensus target of $136.17.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes DUOL achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 44.3x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 22 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of June 22, 2026, Duolingo, Inc. (DUOL) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $136.17, based on estimates from 22 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $125.56, this represents a potential upside of +8.5%. The company has a market capitalization of $5.85B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $95.00 to a high of $245.00, representing a 110% spread in expectations. The median target of $110.00 differs from the mean, suggesting potential outlier estimates. The wide target spread reflects significant disagreement on fair value.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 8 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,13 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, DUOL trades at a trailing P/E of 14.7x and forward P/E of 44.3x. Analysts expect EPS to grow -68.7% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $82.97, with bear and bull scenarios of $52.27 and $109.33 respectively. Model confidence stands at 62/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CHGGChegg, Inc. | $118M | $1.05 | $30.42 | +2797.1% | Hold | — | 22 |
COURCoursera, Inc. | $906M | $5.35 | $7.79 | +45.6% | Buy | 13.0x | 17 |
UDMYUdemy, Inc. | $677M | $4.63 | $5.00 | +8.0% | Hold | 8.6x | 12 |
LSCCLattice Semiconductor Corporation | $21.1B | $153.72 | $141.11 | -8.2% | Buy | 146.4x | 17 |
PRDOPerdoceo Education Corporation | $2.0B | $32.03 | $44.00 | +37.4% | Hold | 11.0x | 9 |
STRAStrategic Education, Inc. | $1.7B | $75.33 | $87.00 | +15.5% | Buy | 10.5x | 18 |
LRNStride, Inc. | $3.5B | $82.80 | $109.50 | +32.2% | Hold | 11.8x | 17 |
GOTUGaotu Techedu Inc. | $599M | $1.65 | $2.94 | +78.2% | Hold | — | 10 |
TALTAL Education Group | $621M | $9.19 | $18.00 | +95.9% | Hold | 14.6x | 28 |
EDUNew Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. | $7.2B | $45.02 | $65.00 | +44.4% | Buy | 13.0x | 24 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying DUOL stock.
The consensus price target for DUOL is $136.17, close to the current price of $125.56 (8.5% implied move). Based on 22 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
DUOL has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 22 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 13 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $136.17 implies 8.5% upside from current levels.
At a forward P/E of 44.2986x, DUOL trades at a premium valuation. The consensus price target of $136.17 (8.5% upside) suggests analysts may view current valuations as stretched.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $245 for DUOL, while the most conservative target is $95. The consensus of $136.17 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $109 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
DUOL is well covered by analysts, with 22 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 8 have Buy ratings, 13 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month DUOL stock forecast based on 22 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $136.17, with estimates ranging from $95 (bear case) to $245 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $83, with bear/bull scenarios of $52/$109.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates DUOL's fair value at $83 (base case), with a bear case of $52 and bull case of $109. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 62/100.
DUOL trades at a forward P/E ratio of 44.3x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 14.7x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
DUOL appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Hold" rating and minimal upside to the $136.17 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
DUOL analyst price targets range from $95 to $245, a 110% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $136.17 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $52-$109 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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