Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) Price Target Analysis
Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated May 1, 2026
Current Price
$38.00
Price Target
$36.00
Target Range
$33.00 — $43.00
Analyst Rating
Buy
Forward P/E14.3x
Trailing P/E16.0x
Forward PEG0.49
Implied Growth—
Median Target$35.00
Analyst Spread27.8%
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Bear Case
$33
-13.2%
Consensus
$36
-5.3%
Bull Case
$43
+13.2%
Valuation Model TargetsConfidence: 50/100
Bear$3
Base$53
Bull$77
MTCH Price Target Analysis
Updated May 6, 2026As of May 6, 2026, Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $36.00, based on estimates from 32 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $38.00, this represents a potential downside of -5.3%. The company has a market capitalization of $8.84B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $33.00 to a high of $43.00, representing a 28% spread in expectations. The median target of $35.00 aligns closely with the consensus average.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 17 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,15 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, MTCH trades at a trailing P/E of 16.0x and forward P/E of 14.3x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.49 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $53.29, with bear and bull scenarios of $2.61 and $77.16 respectively. Model confidence stands at 50/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Technology stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside+18.6%
Avg Forward P/E24.0x
Peers with Coverage10 / 10
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BMBLBumble Inc. | $378M | $3.43 | $4.25 | +23.9% | Hold | 3.5x | 23 |
 MFGMizuho Financial Group, Inc. | $108.9B | $8.85 | $10.00 | +13.0% | Hold | 0.1x | 5 |
 IACIAC InterActive Corp. | $3.1B | $42.25 | $49.17 | +16.4% | Buy | 107.5x | 33 |
 METAMeta Platforms, Inc. | $1.6T | $612.88 | $821.80 | +34.1% | Buy | 20.2x | 60 |
 SNAPSnap Inc. | $10.4B | $6.13 | $7.89 | +28.7% | Hold | — | 72 |
 PINSPinterest, Inc. | $14.1B | $21.17 | $25.36 | +19.8% | Buy | 11.6x | 47 |
 MOMOHello Group Inc. | $2.2B | $6.44 | $8.10 | +25.8% | Buy | 1.1x | 16 |
 AAPLApple Inc. | $4.2T | $287.46 | $317.11 | +10.3% | Buy | 33.8x | 110 |
 GOOGLAlphabet Inc. | $4.8T | $397.82 | $406.28 | +2.1% | Buy | 29.6x | 82 |
 PYPLPayPal Holdings, Inc. | $42.6B | $46.26 | $51.67 | +11.7% | Hold | 8.7x | 70 |
Upside Potential Comparison
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Start ComparisonMTCH — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying MTCH stock.
What is the MTCH stock price target for 2026?
Wall Street's consensus price target for MTCH is $36, -5.3% from its current price of $38. The below-market target from 32 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.
Is MTCH a buy, sell, or hold?
MTCH has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 32 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 17 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $36 implies -5.3% downside from current levels.
Is MTCH stock overvalued or undervalued?
With a forward P/E of 14.304x, MTCH trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $36 implies -5.3% move, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.
How high can MTCH stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $43 for MTCH, while the most conservative target is $33. The consensus of $36 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $77 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover MTCH stock?
MTCH is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 32 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 17 have Buy ratings, 15 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the MTCH stock forecast?
The 12-month MTCH stock forecast based on 32 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $36, with estimates ranging from $33 (bear case) to $43 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $53, with bear/bull scenarios of $3/$77.
What is MTCH's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates MTCH's fair value at $53 (base case), with a bear case of $3 and bull case of $77. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 50/100.
What is MTCH's forward P/E ratio?
MTCH trades at a forward P/E ratio of 14.3x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 16.0x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy MTCH stock?
Analysts are cautious on MTCH, with 0 Sell ratings and a price target of $36 (-5.3% from current price). The "Buy" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do MTCH price targets vary so much?
MTCH analyst price targets range from $33 to $43, a 28% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $36 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $3-$77 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.