Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated Feb 28, 2026
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
As of March 2, 2026, Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $36.00, based on estimates from 32 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $31.60, this represents a potential upside of +13.9%. The company has a market capitalization of $7.46B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $33.00 to a high of $43.00, representing a 28% spread in expectations. The median target of $35.00 aligns closely with the consensus average.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 17 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,15 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, MTCH trades at a trailing P/E of 13.3x and forward P/E of 11.9x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.41 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +10.3% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $38.59, with bear and bull scenarios of $1.73 and $56.05 respectively. Model confidence stands at 51/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
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Start ComparisonMatch Group, Inc. (MTCH) has a consensus 12-month price target of $36, implying 13.9% upside from $31.6. The 32 analysts covering MTCH see moderate appreciation potential.
MTCH has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 32 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 17 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $36 implies 13.9% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 11.8623x, MTCH trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $36 implies 13.9% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $43 for MTCH, while the most conservative target is $33. The consensus of $36 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $56 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
MTCH is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 32 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 17 have Buy ratings, 15 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month MTCH stock forecast based on 32 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $36, with estimates ranging from $33 (bear case) to $43 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $39, with bear/bull scenarios of $2/$56.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates MTCH's fair value at $39 (base case), with a bear case of $2 and bull case of $56. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 51/100.
MTCH trades at a forward P/E ratio of 11.9x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 13.3x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are optimistic on MTCH, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $36 price target (13.9% upside). 17 of 32 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
MTCH analyst price targets range from $33 to $43, a 28% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $36 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $2-$56 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.