Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) Price Target Analysis
Updated Jun 18, 2026
Analyst Rating: Buy
Based on 32 analysts16.0% Below Target
MTCH trades 16.0% below Wall Street's consensus target of $41.13.
Current Price$35.45
Average Target$41.13
Target
Current
Low$37.00
Median$40.00
High$51.00
Analyst Target Range
Forward P/E13.4x
(Value)
PEG Ratio0.46
(Undervalued)
Implied Growth+4.9%
(Low)
Analyst Spread34.0%
(Moderate)
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Consensus Scenario Assumptions
The base valuation assumes MTCH achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 13.4x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 32 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
MTCH Price Target Analysis
Updated June 21, 2026As of June 21, 2026, Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $41.13, based on estimates from 32 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $35.45, this represents a potential upside of +16.0%. The company has a market capitalization of $8.25B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $37.00 to a high of $51.00, representing a 34% spread in expectations. The median target of $40.00 aligns closely with the consensus average.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 17 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,15 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, MTCH trades at a trailing P/E of 14.9x and forward P/E of 13.4x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.46 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +4.9% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $48.76, with bear and bull scenarios of $30.72 and $64.25 respectively. Model confidence stands at 50/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Technology stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside
+32.0%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
12.5x
(Value)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BMBLBumble Inc. | $345M | $2.96 | $4.13 | +39.5% | Hold | 2.9x | 23 |
 MFGMizuho Financial Group, Inc. | $125.6B | $10.30 | $10.00 | -2.9% | Hold | 0.1x | 5 |
 IACIAC InterActive Corp. | $3.2B | $42.72 | $51.33 | +20.2% | Buy | — | 33 |
 METAMeta Platforms, Inc. | $1.5T | $577.22 | $826.11 | +43.1% | Buy | 17.5x | 60 |
 SNAPSnap Inc. | $7.9B | $4.65 | $7.91 | +70.1% | Hold | — | 72 |
 PINSPinterest, Inc. | $13.5B | $20.29 | $25.66 | +26.5% | Buy | 10.7x | 48 |
 MOMOHello Group Inc. | $874M | $5.44 | $10.00 | +83.8% | Buy | 0.9x | 16 |
 AAPLApple Inc. | $4.4T | $298.01 | $326.47 | +9.6% | Buy | 34.0x | 110 |
 GOOGLAlphabet Inc. | $4.5T | $368.03 | $411.80 | +11.9% | Buy | 25.9x | 83 |
 PYPLPayPal Holdings, Inc. | $37.5B | $42.51 | $50.45 | +18.7% | Hold | 8.0x | 70 |
MTCH — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying MTCH stock.
What is the MTCH stock price target for 2026?
Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) has a consensus 12-month price target of $41.13, implying 16.0% upside from $35.45. The 32 analysts covering MTCH see moderate appreciation potential.
Is MTCH a buy, sell, or hold?
MTCH has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 32 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 17 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $41.13 implies 16.0% upside from current levels.
Is MTCH stock overvalued or undervalued?
With a forward P/E of 13.387x, MTCH trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $41.13 implies 16.0% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
How high can MTCH stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $51 for MTCH, while the most conservative target is $37. The consensus of $41.13 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $64 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover MTCH stock?
MTCH is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 32 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 17 have Buy ratings, 15 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the MTCH stock forecast?
The 12-month MTCH stock forecast based on 32 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $41.13, with estimates ranging from $37 (bear case) to $51 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $49, with bear/bull scenarios of $31/$64.
What is MTCH's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates MTCH's fair value at $49 (base case), with a bear case of $31 and bull case of $64. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 50/100.
What is MTCH's forward P/E ratio?
MTCH trades at a forward P/E ratio of 13.4x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 14.9x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy MTCH stock?
Wall Street analysts are optimistic on MTCH, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $41.13 price target (16.0% upside). 17 of 32 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do MTCH price targets vary so much?
MTCH analyst price targets range from $37 to $51, a 34% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $41.13 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $31-$64 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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