GRND trades 23.1% below Wall Street's consensus target of $19.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes GRND achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 26.3x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 7 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of September 24, 2026, Grindr Inc. (GRND) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $19.00, based on estimates from 7 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $15.44, this represents a potential upside of +23.1%. The company has a market capitalization of $2.74B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $18.00 to a high of $20.00, representing a 11% spread in expectations. The median target of $19.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 7 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,0 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.
From a valuation perspective, GRND trades at a trailing P/E of 31.5x and forward P/E of 26.3x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +10.0% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $10.68, with bear and bull scenarios of $6.73 and $14.07 respectively. Model confidence stands at 59/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 MTCHMatch Group, Inc. | $9.4B | $40.48 | $42.29 | +4.5% | Buy | 14.5x | 32 |
 BMBLBumble Inc. | $350M | $2.68 | $3.25 | +21.3% | Hold | — | 23 |
 METAMeta Platforms, Inc. | $1.9T | $744.10 | $729.93 | -1.9% | Buy | 23.8x | 65 |
 SNAPSnap Inc. | $8.9B | $5.30 | $7.78 | +46.8% | Hold | — | 73 |
 PINSPinterest, Inc. | $11.7B | $18.46 | $27.93 | +51.3% | Buy | 9.2x | 48 |
 GOOGLAlphabet Inc. | $4.1T | $337.83 | $431.57 | +27.7% | Buy | 16.4x | 83 |
 AAPLApple Inc. | $4.9T | $337.02 | $342.13 | +1.5% | Buy | 38.2x | 112 |
 TWLOTwilio Inc. | $44.1B | $290.70 | $257.38 | -11.5% | Buy | 49.0x | 52 |
 BRZEBraze, Inc. | $2.9B | $25.87 | $37.27 | +44.1% | Buy | 40.3x | 25 |
 SPOTSpotify Technology S.A. | $104.9B | $510.40 | $602.50 | +18.0% | Buy | 41.4x | 53 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying GRND stock.
The consensus Wall Street price target for GRND is $19, representing 23.1% upside from the current price of $15.44. With 7 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
GRND has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 7 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 7 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $19 implies 23.1% upside from current levels.
GRND trades at a forward P/E of 26.2809x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $19 (23.1% implied move), the stock appears reasonably valued with upside.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $20 for GRND, while the most conservative target is $18. The consensus of $19 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $14 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
GRND is moderately covered, with 7 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 7 have Buy ratings, 0 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month GRND stock forecast based on 7 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $19, with estimates ranging from $18 (bear case) to $20 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $11, with bear/bull scenarios of $7/$14.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates GRND's fair value at $11 (base case), with a bear case of $7 and bull case of $14. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 59/100.
GRND trades at a forward P/E ratio of 26.3x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 31.5x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on GRND, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $19 price target (23.1% upside). 7 of 7 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
GRND analyst price targets range from $18 to $20, a 11% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $19 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $7-$14 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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