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WDSWoodside Energy Group Ltd
$23.66$45.3B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
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P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
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WDS logo

Woodside Energy Group Ltd

WDS
NYSE · Oil & Gas E&P
$23.66
At close - Oct 23, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$45.32B
P/E16.7x
52W High$25.19
Volume585.29K
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

LNG Growth Capex Overwhelms Post-Crisis Margin Normalization

Woodside's investment thesis is centered on its strategic transformation into a larger LNG producer via the BHP merger, which has doubled its asset base to $67.7B and positioned it for long-term volume growth. However, this expansion is occurring against a bac...

GrowthDecelerating
ProfitabilityModerate
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsHealthy
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

WDS price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

9/12 Beats

EPS beat 9 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-27% Peers

P/E is 27% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 77 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 77)

04

Healthy Uptrend

Uptrend

Price > 50DMA > 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Nov 24
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth has decelerated to -1.5% year-over-year, while gross margins have compressed by nearly half from their 2022 peak to 33.3% in 2026Q2, indicating a full normalization from the energy crisis super-cycle.

Analyst Consensus-1.9% target
Hold(2 analysts)
0 Buy2 Hold0 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Production bottleneck resolution

The 2026 production dip and Scarborough project completion are seen as temporary hurdles before a significant cash-flow inflection point.

Analyst price target upside

Wall Street analysts project a 12.7% upside with a $24.30 price target, supported by bullish institutional commentary.

AI-driven price forecast

AI models predict a 15% price increase to $26.53 by 2026, indicating strong algorithmic confidence in growth.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 10/24/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
WDS+55.22%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+11.24%
1-Year Return
WDS+55.81%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+13.13%
3-Year Return
WDS+22.35%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+85.45%
5-Year Return
WDS+73.66%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+65.34%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
16.7x
Forward P/EExpansion
12.9x
EV/EBITDA100th %ile
5.7x
FCF YieldCash Flow
N/A

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
16.7x
8.3x
80th· High
EV/EBITDA
5.7x
4.0x
100th· High
Price/FCF
N/A
31.6x
N/A
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$55.72+135.5%
Base (Fair)$102.93+335.0%
Bull$152.21+543.3%
$55.72 Bear$102.93 Base$152.21 Bull
Current Market Price: $23.66
Trades at a 77.0% discount to Base DCF ($102.93)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$12.98B-1.5% YoY
Net income
$2.72B-23.9% YoY
Free cash flow
-$782M-182.8% YoY
Operating margin
29.8%-18.0 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)6.3%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)7.2%
Piotroski Score4 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate9/12 (75%)
Revenue Beat Rate8/12 (67%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Aug 24, 2026
$0.88+13.3%
vs $0.78
$7.4B+1.0%
vs $7.4B
Q1 2026
Feb 24, 2026
$0.74+5.9%
vs $0.70
$6.4B+0.4%
vs $6.4B
Q3 2025
Aug 18, 2025
$0.69-0.6%
vs $0.69
$6.6B-0.1%
vs $6.6B
Q1 2025
Feb 24, 2025
$0.66+1.2%
vs $0.65
$7.2B+2.7%
vs $7.0B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
GuruFocus·3d ago
Woodside Energy Third Quarter Report for Period Ended 30 September 2026

Woodside Energy Group (ASX: WDS) (NYSE: WDS):2026 full-year guidancePriorCurrentCommentTotal production volumes1MMboe174—185174—181Beaumont New Ammonia volu

Business Wire·3d ago
Woodside Energy Third Quarter Report for Period Ended 30 September 2026

PERTH, Australia--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Woodside Energy Group (ASX: WDS) (NYSE: WDS): 2026 full-year guidance   Prior Current Comment Total production volumes1 MMboe 174—185 174—181 Beaumont New Ammonia volumes revised to 1.5-2.5 MMboe Narrowing of window for Scarborough first LNG cargo Reduced production at Okha FPSO Completion of start-up and performance testing of Julimar Development Phase 3 in September   Gas hub exposure2 % ~30 No change   Capital expenditure3 $ million 4,000—4,500 No change  .

Proactive Investors·3d ago
Woodside Energy cuts production outlook as Scarborough LNG start window tightens

Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX:WDS, LSE:WDS, OTC:WOPEF) has cut the top end of its 2026 production guidance as the window narrows for first LNG from its flagship Scarborough gas project. The company now expects full-year production of 174 million to 181 million barrels of oil equivalent, down from previous guidance of 174 million to 185 million barrels.

Reuters·3d ago
Australia's Woodside narrows annual production forecast, posts higher quarterly revenue

Australia's Woodside narrows annual production forecast, posts higher quarterly revenue

Filtered for Woodside Energy Group LtdMore Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark WDS against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Woodside Energy Group Ltd (WDS)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
WDS logoWDSWoodside Energy Group LtdCurrent
$23.66$45.32B16.66-1.48%20.93%7.15%4.44%
LNG logoLNGCheniere Energy, Inc.
$298.67$62.59B12.3824.44%13.11%26.1%—
CVX logoCVXChevron Corporation
$233.21$464.46B35.18-4.64%9.87%10.66%—
XOM logoXOMExxon Mobil Corporation
$183.21$759.4B27.34-4.52%9.07%12.34%—
BP logoBPBP p.l.c.
$51.32$134.01B2515.690.08%2.51%7.19%—
SHEL logoSHELShell plc
$108.18$301.62B18.03-6.13%8.76%14.64%—

Compare WDS vs Peers

Woodside Energy Group Ltd (WDS) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs LNG

Most directly comparable listed peer for WDS.

Scale Benchmark

vs XOM

Larger-name benchmark to compare WDS against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs LNG, CVX, XOM, BP

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WDS Frequently Asked Questions

Woodside Energy Group Ltd (WDS) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Woodside Energy Group Ltd's revenue?

Woodside Energy Group Ltd (WDS) reported $27.63B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 4248% increase from $635.5M in 1996.

How fast is Woodside Energy Group Ltd growing?

Woodside Energy Group Ltd (WDS) saw revenue decline by 1.5% over the past year.

Is WDS profitable?

Yes, Woodside Energy Group Ltd (WDS) is profitable, generating $6.03B in net income for fiscal year 2025 (20.9% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does WDS pay dividends?

Yes, Woodside Energy Group Ltd (WDS) pays a dividend with a yield of 4.44%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.

What is WDS's return on equity?

Woodside Energy Group Ltd (WDS) has a return on equity (ROE) of 7.2%. This is below average, suggesting room for improvement.

What is Woodside Energy Group Ltd's free cash flow?

Woodside Energy Group Ltd (WDS) had negative free cash flow of $2.40B in fiscal year 2025, likely due to heavy capital investments.

What if you invested $1,000 in WDS back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →